91L invest Bahamas,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

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Extremeweatherguy
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#241 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Jun 23, 2006 3:43 pm

I think something may try to form back further east or southeast where the deeper convection is.
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CHRISTY

#242 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 23, 2006 3:52 pm

I think the models are missing the affect of the ULL to the south ,which would tend to steer the system more west with time.
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Evil Jeremy
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#243 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:03 pm

why is the GFDL not moving it anywhere?
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#244 Postby skysummit » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:05 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:why is the GFDL not moving it anywhere?


It's dissipating it in that run.
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#245 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:06 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:why is the GFDL not moving it anywhere?


Keyword-- it

GFDL has no idea where it is or what it is and thus it's confused. :lol:
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SouthFloridawx
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#246 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:08 pm

Aquawind wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:why is the GFDL not moving it anywhere?


Keyword-- it

GFDL has no idea where it is or what it is and thus it's confused. :lol:


Is that anything like "Cousin It"?
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#247 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:18 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 232118
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE CONTINUED TO
GRADUALLY FALL BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND POORLY
ORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON SATURDAY...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI
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#248 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:20 pm

RECON will be needed to verify that.. :eek:
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#249 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:22 pm

LOL.. I visualize people hitting that refresh button for the update until it's smoking.. Luis must have a third hand.. :eek:
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#250 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:23 pm

Aquawind wrote:LOL.. I visualize people hitting that refresh button for the update until it's smoking.. Luis must have a third hand.. :eek:



lol!!!!!!!!!!!!! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Evil Jeremy
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#251 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:23 pm

i wonder what it is! please tell me
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#252 Postby jdray » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:24 pm

skysummit wrote:I still don't understand all the need for rain in Florida. From everything I look at and everyone I talk to, Florida is close to average when it comes to rainfall. Only the panhandle and Central Florida are moderately dry. Everywhere else is normal.

Image


http://www.fl-dof.com/fire_weather/KBDI/

Drought conditions.

Jacksonville area is 6.17 inches below normal for the year.
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#253 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:27 pm

Aquawind wrote:LOL.. I visualize people hitting that refresh button for the update until it's smoking.. Luis must have a third hand.. :eek:


Oh Paul. :lol: :lol:
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#254 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:29 pm

ACCUWEATHER....

Mega Moisture This Weekend A tropical disturbance to the northeast of the Bahamas will bring a copious amount of moisture into the East Coast this weekend. The disturbance will drift towards the Southeast this weekend, increasing the shower and thunderstorm activity across that region by Sunday.
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#255 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:32 pm

CHRISTY wrote:ACCUWEATHER....

Mega Moisture This Weekend A tropical disturbance to the northeast of the Bahamas will bring a copious amount of moisture into the East Coast this weekend. The disturbance will drift towards the Southeast this weekend, increasing the shower and thunderstorm activity across that region by Sunday.


AQUAWIND...

Duhhh...
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Opal storm

#256 Postby Opal storm » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:37 pm

Unless this thing ramps up overnight I don't see any reason for recon to go out there tomorrow.
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CHRISTY

#257 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:40 pm

This is the reason iam really starting to doupt this thing will ever develope....right now DRY AIR looks like its gonna suck it dry.this is why there is no thunderstorm activity on the east side.SEE

There's no way this is gonna develope with all this dry air around it.

Image
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Derek Ortt

#258 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:42 pm

it could develop subtropically with all of that dry air

this has a fairly classic subtropical signature to it at the present time
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#259 Postby wzrgirl1 » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:43 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:it could develop subtropically with all of that dry air

this has a fairly classic subtropical signature to it at the present time


would it still be named if it was subtropical?
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CHRISTY

#260 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:43 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:it could develop subtropically with all of that dry air

this has a fairly classic subtropical signature to it at the present time


true...
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