Two Possible LLCs in the Central Atlantic

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drezee
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Two Possible LLCs in the Central Atlantic

#1 Postby drezee » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:34 am

Last edited by drezee on Sat Jun 24, 2006 3:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby mufasa157 » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:59 am

Yes, I notice it this morning too. Nothing mentioned nor models hinting anything as of yet.
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Re: ITCZ: "Whole lot of spinning going on..."

#3 Postby bvigal » Sat Jun 24, 2006 1:29 pm

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#4 Postby drezee » Sat Jun 24, 2006 3:10 pm

Thanks.

I am thinking that we may get a blow up on the first little spinner tonight. It is heading into a higher heat content area.

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#5 Postby drezee » Sat Jun 24, 2006 3:18 pm

This should be better for night viewing:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =spect.pal
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#6 Postby weatherbee1982 » Sat Jun 24, 2006 3:51 pm

The circulation at 7.3N/40W looks more healthy. It is establishing convection close to it's center, and before the visual lost sunlight, the cloud tops looked to be gaining in height. That one might become an invest here shortly, if not a depression within the next 24 to 48 hours if this keeps up.
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#7 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jun 24, 2006 3:57 pm

wow...it went from quiet to active in 2 days w/ 2 invests and a soon to be invest
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#8 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sat Jun 24, 2006 3:59 pm

Yeah jeesh were talking about possibly 3 invests at one time and if they were all upgraded 3 TCs all at once in june not just 3 over all. Amazing. I know this means nothing of what the rest of the season will be like but still after last few years and being in an active period I wouldn't assume we'd have a non-active climax to our hurricane season come august-september timeframe.
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#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:01 pm

weatherbee1982 wrote:The circulation at 7.3N/40W looks more healthy. It is establishing convection close to it's center, and before the visual lost sunlight, the cloud tops looked to be gaining in height. That one might become an invest here shortly, if not a depression within the next 24 to 48 hours if this keeps up.



It it pops it head north of 12 north its a goner. But yes hopefully it will develop. Even so it is very very rare for a system in the Atlatnic to developp south of 10. I'v not really looked into this system might have to just do so.
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#10 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:05 pm

i can remember one storm that did this...its in the top 10 costliest list...Ivan the Terrible. I think it became a CAT 4 at 8N
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#11 Postby The Hurricaner » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:07 pm

cheezywxman wrote:i can remember one storm that did this...its in the top 10 costliest list...Ivan the Terrible. I think it became a CAT 4 at 8N


It was hotter when it formed. But we should watch this and those other waves out there.
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#12 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:10 pm

weatherbee1982 wrote:The circulation at 7.3N/40W looks more healthy. It is establishing convection close to it's center, and before the visual lost sunlight, the cloud tops looked to be gaining in height. That one might become an invest here shortly, if not a depression within the next 24 to 48 hours if this keeps up.


Hmmm, you could be right looking at it now...
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#13 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:14 pm

Here is another shot of the suspect area over 7.3N/40W. Looking pretty good right now as it moves W at 15 mph.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html
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#14 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:14 pm

The Atlantic is sizzling with activity everywhere you look, not good since June is supposed to be the least active month of the year.

Oh, I forgot. "Climatology" was retired in 2005!!!
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#15 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:15 pm

HURAKAN wrote:The Atlantic is sizzling with activity everywhere you look, not good since June is supposed to be the least active month of the year.

Oh, I forgot. "Climatology" was retired in 2005!!!


Well there are some suspect areas but nothing that really has high potential at this time - so we are all still reminded that it is June :)
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#16 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:15 pm

HURAKAN wrote:The Atlantic is sizzling with activity everywhere you look, not good since June is supposed to be the least active month of the year.

Oh, I forgot. "Climatology" was retired in 2005!!!


Well there are some suspect areas but nothing that really has high potential at this time - so we are all still reminded that it is June :)
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#17 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:17 pm

Hopefully that system at 34/50 will form. In maybe a few others being named. Wahoo!!!
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:20 pm

No mention of the area near 40w at 5:30 PM Tropical Weather Outlook.
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#19 Postby drezee » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:37 pm

Starting to look great now!

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#20 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:44 pm

I have a bad feeling about this season given what we are seeing in June here....now lets see what happens with our South American system....
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