94L Invest (B0C),Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

[gatorcane]

Don't flame me.... yes it may be too close to the coast to develop but it looks much better on satellite then the system that was off the florida east coast ever looked. That one was extremely overrated. This one may be underrated in the end.

The system off the Florida East coast did not look that great either but certainly had a better chance than this thing will have but that is just my opinion...

I could be eating crow this weekend

[corpusbreeze]

There seems to be rotation in the nw side od the blob on IR loop, and it does seem to be moving nnw.

[southerngale]

Don't flame me.... yes it may be too close to the coast to develop but it looks much better on satellite then the system that was off the florida east coast ever looked. That one was extremely overrated. This one may be underrated in the end.

The system off the Florida East coast did not look that great either but certainly had a better chance than this thing will have but that is just my opinion...

I could be eating crow this weekend

I guess the NHC thinks there's at least a slight chance since there's now an Invest and the TWO says, "DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR."

I don't think it looks that great either (neither did the system off Florida IMO), but it's only an invest. I'm not sure how much more you'd expect.

[Starburst]

according to satellite weather radio station for what it's worth it is drifting to the nnw.

[skysummit]

Here's what I see on the last few images of this evening's visible loop. Impossible to see what's going on at the surface, but rotation of the thunderstorms is plainly visible....especially in the last 4 or 5 frames.

[WindRunner]

Don't flame me.... yes it may be too close to the coast to develop but it looks much better on satellite then the system that was off the florida east coast ever looked. That one was extremely overrated. This one may be underrated in the end.

The system off the Florida East coast did not look that great either but certainly had a better chance than this thing will have but that is just my opinion...

Pretty much the same here. 91 had a nice spin off apparent on radar the entire time it was within range, as well as a decent satellite presentation and 45kt surface winds. Definately better off than this one, I agree.

[hriverajr]

Most likely first visibles tommorow will tell the tale. It does have alot more convection with it then the east coast system did. Of course that system morphed into something else to cause all the flooding rains up the east coast.
We do not have much in the way of radar for this system at this point.

[PTrackerLA]

according to satellite weather radio station for what it's worth it is drifting to the nnw.

Looks that way on visible too. Send it north we need the rain!

[HollynLA]

This thread reminds me of a west coast / east coast competition, except FL vs TX. Floridians for the most part say nothing will development, Texans say it will, possibly into a hurricane. My invest is better than yours.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Heck if 91L would of just developed even the slightly north wind when the recon was there it would of been a 50 mph tropical storm Beryl. Thats how close it came.

[corpusbreeze]

Here's what I see on the last few images of this evening's visible loop. Impossible to see what's going on at the surface, but rotation of the thunderstorms is plainly visible....especially in the last 4 or 5 frames.

Look at IR and you can see rotation that is moving nnw.

[WindRunner]

We do not have much in the way of radar for this system at this point.

Actually . . .

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html

But the three BOC radars aren't working at this point in time (not clickable). So it appears we must do without for now . . .

[hriverajr]

Rivalry eh? I am sure we are all just a little biased in our opinions and our outlooks. Yes I am closer to the system so paying attention, and those in florida have nothing to fear. Who knows. Tommorow will tell the tale.

[hriverajr]

We do not have much in the way of radar for this system at this point.

Actually . . .

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html

But the three BOC radars aren't working at this point in time (not clickable). So it appears we must do without for now . . .

I try to use them when possible.. but Mexico radars are pretty much useless. I have a freind that lives south of the border and he relies on long range radar from KBRO.

[WindRunner]

I don't blame him . . . they are unreliable to say the least.

[SouthFloridawx]

To be honest with you... I don't see much movement from this area at all. It seems to be sitting pretty stationary but, does have some windshear moving in a general southeast to northeast movement.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

They can't buy good radar or recon planes. I thought they had become part of the 1 trillion dollar GDP club. They have money not as much as us by far but they do. They can do better. I wish they would be some radar.

[TampaFl]

We do not have much in the way of radar for this system at this point.

Actually . . .

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html

But the three BOC radars aren't working at this point in time (not clickable). So it appears we must do without for now . . .

Here you go, from Alvarado, Mx. no loop though.


http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/rad-alva.gif


Robert

[southerngale]

This thread reminds me of a west coast / east coast competition, except FL vs TX. Floridians for the most part say nothing will development, Texans say it will, possibly into a hurricane. My invest is better than yours.

Only ONE Texan said that. Please don't clump all Texans into that generalization. Some of us said it would likely just bring rain somewhere, but none of us know, however we are interested in whatever it does. That's common sense, given where it is.

And what on earth would be the point of a competition? That's just nuts. Beyond nuts. lol

[WindRunner]

So even though the link isn't there, the image is? Weird . . . thanks!