South Florida Watching 93L - NWS Mia Mentions It in Forecast

#41 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 8:41 pm

gatorcane wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
gatorcane wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
jusforsean wrote:so when are we expecting this weather to begin?

it starts when you want to have a barbie-q or shoot off some fireworks.

Sad but, very true.

funny, but you guys are right

NWS predicts most of the convection will be confined to Palm Beach Co. and north, sorry to give you the bad news.

You mean Palm Beach County and South right - ?

jusforsean · #42 Postby **jusforsean** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 8:44 pm

palm beach county and north works for me, we have plans for sunday to continue repairs from wilma and ofcourse tues a bbq and some fireworks, rain is not welcome!

#43 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 8:45 pm

He meant Palm Beach County and South - I only think South Florida will feel the effects of this wave

#44 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 8:46 pm

gatorcane wrote:He meant Palm Beach County and South - I only think South Florida will feel the effects of this wave

Only me

?

#45 Postby **jlauderdal** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 8:56 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
gatorcane wrote:He meant Palm Beach County and South - I only think South Florida will feel the effects of this wave

Only me ?

its going to be like frances, the damage stopped right around boca and delray, nws predicts the same thing for this event. sunny and pleasantlky hot in broward and points south

boca · #46 Postby **boca** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 10:58 pm

Good I'm going to the Marlins vs Red Sox Sat nite. Stay away wave until Sunday.

#47 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 7:56 am

looks like a huge blob of convection has fired on the northern fringe of this wave as it interacts with a surface trough - we should watch this area for persistence as the track would be directly into South Florida with a Bermuda High building in right now.

#48 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 8:38 am

gatorcane wrote:looks like a huge blob of convection has fired on the northern fringe of this wave as it interacts with a surface trough - we should watch this area for persistence as the track would be directly into South Florida with a Bermuda High building in right now.

It certainly looks like South Florida will be getting some soaking tropical rains sometimes late Sun into Mon and Tues.

#49 Postby **tgenius** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 8:51 am

boca wrote:Good I'm going to the Marlins vs Red Sox Sat nite. Stay away wave until Sunday.

Boca.. I am too!! W00t!

#50 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 8:52 am

Best chances for tropical downpours will be Sun...

000
FXUS62 KMFL 300724
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
324 AM EDT FRI JUN 30 2006

.DISCUSSION...TROPICAL WAVE AT 06Z WAS LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG 69W
OR THROUGH THE EASTERN PART OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THIS WAVE
IS MOVING WEST ABOUT 15 KNOTS WHICH PLACES THIS WAVE OVER
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BY EARLY SUNDAY. THIS AGREES WELL WITH THE NAM12
MODEL`S DEPICTION OF THE INCREASE OF MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND A
WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY. THE GFS IS ABOUT 6 HRS TOO SLOW. IN ANY CASE, THIS MAKES
THE WETTEST DAY ON SUNDAY AND WILL GO WITH A GOOD CHC WEST TO
LIKELY POPS EAST. WE WILL UNDER SOME SUBSIDENCE ON SAT AND THUS
ONLY SCATTERED POPS EXPECTED AND THIS CAN BE SEEN WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN PWAT`S SAT. POPS WILL RETURN TO AOB CLIMO EARLY IN
THE WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT TODAY AND TONIGHT AND THEN
INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE INFLUENCE OF THE WAVE. THE
WINDS WILL STILL BE AT 15 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS 4 FEET OR LESS SO
WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO PROBLEMS OR CONCERNS HERE WITH SCT TO NUMEROUS
TSTMS EACH AFTN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 88 76 89 78 / 45 20 40 35
FORT LAUDERDALE 89 79 88 79 / 45 25 40 35
MIAMI 89 78 89 79 / 45 25 40 40
NAPLES 90 74 91 75 / 45 25 40 30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

18

jusforsean · #51 Postby **jusforsean** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 9:40 am

Oh yeah for us :grr:

sunnyday · #52 Postby **sunnyday** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 11:38 am

The local mets mention only a chance of rain on Saturday and some thunderstorms on Sunday. Does there seem a chance for more in S. Fla.?
Thanks for the info.

#53 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:07 pm

sunnyday wrote:The local mets mention only a chance of rain on Saturday and some thunderstorms on Sunday. Does there seem a chance for more in S. Fla.?
Thanks for the info.

hmmmmm....yes our rain chances will be highest on Sun it looks like - the mets need to see the wave that will come through then - it may even be more than that - we have to wait and see if an invest is issued for the area of storms north of Puerto Rico

Click this link - unless this blob goes poof then Florida should see some nice rains:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

#54 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Jul 02, 2006 3:51 pm

Looks like Sunday was indeed the day of rainfall for South Florida. Lot's of storms and clouds all over the peninsula enhanced by the wave passage. 8-)

southerngale · #55 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:18 pm

gatorcane wrote:Looks like Sunday was indeed the day of rainfall for South Florida. Lot's of storms and clouds all over the peninsula enhanced by the wave passage.

Ex-93L over the Yucatan is what is causing all of the rain in Florida?

sunnyday · #56 Postby **sunnyday** » Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:19 pm

No rain at all in the NE part of PB County!

#57 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:20 pm

southerngale wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Looks like Sunday was indeed the day of rainfall for South Florida. Lot's of storms and clouds all over the peninsula enhanced by the wave passage.

Ex-93L over the Yucatan is what is causing all of the rain in Florida?

Southerngale, We had a tropical wave move through here that had once spawned 93L a couple of days ago in the eastern caribbean but, we have been monitoring the wave that passed through this morning in this thread but, no one ever changed the thread title.

000
FXUS62 KMFL 021753
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
153 PM EDT SUN JUL 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERN AXIS OF TROP WV PASSED ACROSS S FLA THIS
MORNING BRINGING WITH IT AN ABUNDANCE OF TROP MOISTURE. PWAT NOW
WELL OVER TWO INCHES AND GFS SHOWS THIS TREND OF ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE CONTENT TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE GFS AND NAM DO
HAVE TOTALLY DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS OF UPPER LOW THAT IS CURRENTLY
NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. THE GFS SHOWS BROAD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER
OUR REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. THEN AS STRONG MID LATITUDE TROUGH
DIGS INTO THE SE U.S. IT SHOWS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS TO
RETREAT EASTWARD WHICH KEEPS THE UPPER LOW WELL TO THE NE OF
PUERTO RICO. THE NAM SHOWS THE LOW DRIFTING TO THE SW AND HAS IT
JUST OFF THE SE CST OF FLA BY LATE WED. I LIKE THE GFS SOLUTION
CONSIDERING THE DEEPENING TROUGH. EITHER WAY IT DOES LOOK LIKE A WET
WX PATTERN THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. AS THE MID LATITUDE TROUGH
STRENGTHENS WITH THE UPPER RIDGE RETROGRADING BACK TO THE E THEN
AT THE SAME TIME SFC RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER N FLA WILL MOVE BACK S
THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS PUTS US UNDER DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR MID
WEEK WITH SW FLOW FOR FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND AND KEEPS PWATS AT
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE TWO INCHES. SO HAVE THUSLY INCREASED THE
EXTENDED POPS TO ABOVE CLIMO EVERYWHERE THROUGH THURSDAY AND THEN
FOR INTERIOR AND E CST ZONES FOR FRIDAY AND BEYOND.

southerngale · #58 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:25 pm

Oh ok South. Now it makes more sense.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #59 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:36 pm

Ex-93L's Northern Axis created thunderstorms that brought
tropical storm force wind gusts over Tampa Bay...40 mph+ near
Skyway and reported in Pinellas County

I guess Ex-93L was a "TS" in the form of a strong thunderstorm

South Florida Watching 93L - NWS Mia Mentions It in Forecast

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