Near Bahamas Blob

[Patrick99]

I clicked on the NHC website and viewed the satellite pics early this morning....wasn't that impressed. I've been returning about every hour or so, and every time I look at new imagery, this area looks better and better.

That said, I probably just jinxed it.

[gatorcane]

I clicked on the NHC website and viewed the satellite pics early this morning....wasn't that impressed. I've been returning about every hour or so, and every time I look at new imagery, this area looks better and better.

That said, I probably just jinxed it.

I am looking for SHIPS reports in the area but can't find any....anybody have any observations out there. This thing is starting to get really interesting

[bucman1]

couldn't agree with you more-it looks much more ominous than the BOC

blob. Does anyone see any LLC ?

[gatorcane]

I'm going to keep checking the Navy NRL site - wouldn't be surprised if we see our next invest 95L out of this....lets see

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[Damar91]

couldn't agree with you more-it looks much more ominous than the BOC

blob. Does anyone see any LLC ?

You took the words right out of my mouth, every time I check the sat, it seems to get bigger and more organized.

[bucman1]

What are the qualifications for an invest?

[gatorcane]

latest IR loop showing the blob becoming better organized this afternoon. Now lets see what the NHC says about it at their 2:05pm release. I think many are not wanting to jump the gun yet:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

[DESTRUCTION5]

don't look like nothing but a confused T-Storm to me...

[skysummit]

Well, at first I wasn't think much of it, but now looking at a close up visible loop, I think there may be a broad circulation under it all. Go here, and pic a 20 image animation with HIGH zooming. Once the images load, click the faster button at least 5 times to get a nice, fast loop going.....now looking at the loop, pay attention to the LOWER clouds in the areas where the red arrows are below.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[gatorcane]

yes I see some kind of broad circulation trying to get going here....

[HurricaneHunter914]

I think you might be right about where the circulation is. Though I doubt this will form.

[KWT]

Yeah i can see that as well Skysummit, seems to be some sort of circulation though its hard to tel lat what level it is at and its quite broad as well.

[greels]

Getting extremely windy here on Provo, TCI........

[skysummit]

RAMSDIS has moved their Floater #1 to it:

[gatorcane]

NHC still saying no development but it certainly looks like it has become alot better organized in the last 12 hours. Just take a look at it above. I don't see alot of shear tearing apart those cloud tops....

Latest 2:05 TWO

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTEND FROM THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FOR
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE STRONG IN THIS AREA
AND DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THE UPPER RIDGE THAT
DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS ACROSS FLORIDA INTO THE W
ATLC W OF 76W. THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS FROM
26N74W INTO THE CARIBBEAN ACROSS THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE ABOVE
MENTIONED SURFACE TROUGH RUNS FROM 21N73W NEWD TO 25N66W. BROAD
UPPER HIGH IS OVER THE W TROPICAL ATLC CENTERED NEAR 14N53W
COVERING THE CENTRAL ATLC S OF 21N FROM 30W-70W. AN UPPER TROUGH
EXTENDS MAINLY EAST TO WEST ALONG 24N/25W WEST OF 55W. AN UPPER
RIDGE EXTENDS OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA NEAR 13N16W EXTENDING W TO
30W AND COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC... INCLUDING THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. AT THE SURFACE...THE BERMUDA-AZORES HIGH LOCATED
NORTH OF THE AREA COVERS THE ATLC N OF 10N E OF 60W.

[vbhoutex]

All I see with this one so far is several outflow boundaries from collapsing tstorms. Maybe something later, but IMO, nothing yet.

[gatorcane]

Well, i'd just like to say that some people keep saying that Florida needs the rain...but people here need to realize parts of this state have had to much and some to little lol. We've all got to remember how big this state really is lol...

ANYWAY, I just had a thunderstorm RIGHT over the city of Naples lol. It was wierd, my friend 5 miles away had nothing, but the weather channel reported gusts up to Tropical Storm Strength lol. So, all in all, i'm not sure how much more rain my area needs lol.

This interaction between what's left of 93L and the ULL to it's north definately needs to be watched inmho. It even looks like it has good outflow and is starting to form the classic hurricane shape...or maybe it's just me lol. It really looks like it's becoming more and more tropical as this day progresses. Definatley something we need to watch.

k e v i n . c h o
Naples, FL

It certainly is taking on the classic hurricane shape and outflow is good with some kind of weak broad circulation -

Also there seems to be very little movement. Not sure how NHC gets NW at 10-15mph

[Opal storm]

This thing looks MUCH better than our BOC system.

[Damar91]

I agree Kevin, some very nice outflow with this area. Considering it's proximity to Florida and it's general direction, I would keep a close eye on this one.

[gatorcane]

I have seen situations like this where the system builds and anticyclone over itself - certainly looks like it is fighting the shear very nicely - how is getting such symmetric outflow?