94L Invest Comments Thread #2

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Extremeweatherguy
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#181 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:04 pm

Opal storm wrote:That blob is moving towards MX/TX.
actually it is moving more northward right now. It looks to be moving more toward TX instead of MX.
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#182 Postby Frank P » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:06 pm

that blob is certainly moving north based on this IR sat presentation...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/s ... &type=mbir
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#183 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:07 pm

Frank P wrote:that blob is certainly moving north based on this IR sat presentation...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/s ... &type=mbir
wow. this shows it even better. It definitely is getting more circular/better organized.
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#184 Postby Frank P » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:10 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Frank P wrote:that blob is certainly moving north based on this IR sat presentation...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/s ... &type=mbir
wow. this shows it even better. It definitely is getting more circular/better organized.


well at the time being convection is on the rise... from the last few pixs on vis sat loops I could not see any type low level circulation with this blob... but it is gaining in size at the moment and looks to be on a due north movement...
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#185 Postby Frank P » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:17 pm

GOM surface plots don't show much .....confirming no low level circulation... just a nice little blob in the cruising in the GOM on a saturday evening... wish I was with it....

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/archi ... 070200.gif
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#186 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:18 pm

Frank P wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Frank P wrote:that blob is certainly moving north based on this IR sat presentation...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/s ... &type=mbir
wow. this shows it even better. It definitely is getting more circular/better organized.


well at the time being convection is on the rise... from the last few pixs on vis sat loops I could not see any type low level circulation with this blob... but it is gaining in size at the moment and looks to be on a due north movement...
yes, I would agree that at the moment there is no low level circulation. However, if this continues to deepen and expand that can change very quickly. It will be interesting to watch for sure, and if it is still here after 10 or 11pm then we may have to start worrying about possible weak TC development.
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#187 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:21 pm

It will be interesting once it gets within radar range.
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#188 Postby Frank P » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:22 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Frank P wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Frank P wrote:that blob is certainly moving north based on this IR sat presentation...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/s ... &type=mbir
wow. this shows it even better. It definitely is getting more circular/better organized.


well at the time being convection is on the rise... from the last few pixs on vis sat loops I could not see any type low level circulation with this blob... but it is gaining in size at the moment and looks to be on a due north movement...
yes, I would agree that at the moment there is no low level circulation. However, if this continues to deepen and expand that can change very quickly. It will be interesting to watch for sure, and if it is still here after 10 or 11pm then we may have to start worrying about possible weak TC development.


well seems like it might at the minimum be a big rain event the forecasts were alluding to for Texas.. sure wish we could get some of that rain over here in South MS....
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#189 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 8:23 pm

Frank P wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Frank P wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Frank P wrote:that blob is certainly moving north based on this IR sat presentation...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/s ... &type=mbir
wow. this shows it even better. It definitely is getting more circular/better organized.


well at the time being convection is on the rise... from the last few pixs on vis sat loops I could not see any type low level circulation with this blob... but it is gaining in size at the moment and looks to be on a due north movement...
yes, I would agree that at the moment there is no low level circulation. However, if this continues to deepen and expand that can change very quickly. It will be interesting to watch for sure, and if it is still here after 10 or 11pm then we may have to start worrying about possible weak TC development.


well seems like it might at the minimum be a big rain event the forecasts were alluding to for Texas.. sure wish we could get some of that rain over here in South MS....
yeah, hopefully you guys can get something out of all this convection too. You need it much more than we do.
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#190 Postby hriverajr » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:03 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:It will be interesting once it gets within radar range.


It is in radar range....

http://www.srh.weather.gov/ridge/radar. ... 1&loop=yes
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#191 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:06 pm

hriverajr wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:It will be interesting once it gets within radar range.


It is in radar range....
Only about 40% of it is. 60% still looks to be just out of range.
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#192 Postby southerngale » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:15 pm

Thanks EWG, but man...I can't stand the new NWS Java radar loops - they take forever to load. Same with the NOAA Java sat loops. All other radar links and sat loops load super fast. I wonder what's up with that.

This radar may not be as detailed, but I use it for long range stuff and you can see out into the GOM a good ways, plus it loads much faster.

Radar loop
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#193 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:36 pm

southerngale wrote:Thanks EWG, but man...I can't stand the new NWS Java radar loops - they take forever to load. Same with the NOAA Java sat loops. All other radar links and sat loops load super fast. I wonder what's up with that.

This radar may not be as detailed, but I use it for long range stuff and you can see out into the GOM a good ways, plus it loads much faster.

Radar loop
cool. thanks southerngale. This radar is MUCH faster. The only problem with it right now is that it does not show the area we are interested in.
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#194 Postby hriverajr » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:37 pm

Here is a nice view of the blob

http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/1207/kbro33dy.jpg
[/img]
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#195 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:41 pm

Latest IR shot of that area:

Image
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#196 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:41 pm

hriverajr wrote:Here is a nice view of the blob

http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/1207/kbro33dy.jpg
[/img]
Thanks hriverajr. Looks like very heavy rains at the minimum.
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Opal storm

#197 Postby Opal storm » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:47 pm

Texas is gonna get soaked.
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#198 Postby hriverajr » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:48 pm

Does anyone use Weatherscope? Is pretty nice. Access to GRLevel III data for free.
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#199 Postby Yankeegirl » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:56 pm

It really hasnt rained here too much today... I guess Im going to wait till tomorrow...
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#200 Postby Rainband » Sat Jul 01, 2006 9:58 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Latest IR shot of that area:

Image
links not pics please :D
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