CMC, couple runs in a row, east coast Storm!

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Dean4Storms
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CMC, couple runs in a row, east coast Storm!

#1 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:38 pm

The CMC has been depicting this storm for several runs now. I'm not trying to sound a siren here, but the consistancy is starting to develop with this model and with the trough dropping in, who knows.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
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CHRISTY

#2 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:44 pm

The Canadian model CMC is showing an area of low pressure forming in the Bahamas in less than 72. It appears to be a non-tropical system.
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#3 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:45 pm

CHRISTY wrote:The Canadian model CMC is showing an area of low pressure forming in the Bahamas in less than 72. It appears to be a non-tropical system.


Could be, but forming over the Gulf Stream always has potential.
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#4 Postby skysummit » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:45 pm

Christy...is this the same system Dean is talking about? I'm on a slow connection so I can't pull up model animations right now.
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#5 Postby Aquawind » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:45 pm

It's been mentioned, but no real concern thus far.. more rain for Florida.. :D

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85853
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#6 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:46 pm

Looks like a low forming on a cold front along the east U.S. Coast.
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#7 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:47 pm

skysummit wrote:Christy...is this the same system Dean is talking about? I'm on a slow connection so I can't pull up model animations right now.


I will say convection is again flareing up near the Bahamas.Check it out.

Image
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#8 Postby no advance » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:48 pm

When you have 82 degree water as in the Bahamas watch out. CMC has pulled a ringer in the past it might so again. Surf alert!
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#9 Postby Rainband » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:52 pm

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php ... &version=0

This talks about the ULL in the Bahamas
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CHRISTY

#10 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:56 pm

SHORT TERM... (TONIGHT - WED)...GFS/NAM/ECMWF/UKMET ALL IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LOW NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS TRACKING
SOUTHWEST ACROSS FL THROUGH THE PERIOD...

Nooooooo my 4th isnt gonna be a wash out!Please just spent 60 bucks on fireworks.
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#11 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:57 pm

CHRISTY wrote:
skysummit wrote:Christy...is this the same system Dean is talking about? I'm on a slow connection so I can't pull up model animations right now.


I will say convection is again flareing up near the Bahamas.Check it out.

Image


Geez that came out of no where.
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#12 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:57 pm

Image
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#13 Postby Aquawind » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:58 pm

CMC has hinted for a couple days.. :wink:
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#14 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:59 pm

GFS is showing an upper level feature moving towards the sw.

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=012hr
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CHRISTY

#15 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Jul 03, 2006 1:00 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:GFS is showing an upper level feature moving towards the sw.

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=012hr


This thing better not mess up my fireworks!iam starting to think its going to.
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#16 Postby Rainband » Mon Jul 03, 2006 1:01 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:GFS is showing an upper level feature moving towards the sw.

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=012hr
Thats what the link I posted was explaining :lol:
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#17 Postby storms in NC » Mon Jul 03, 2006 1:02 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:
skysummit wrote:Christy...is this the same system Dean is talking about? I'm on a slow connection so I can't pull up model animations right now.


I will say convection is again flareing up near the Bahamas.Check it out.

Image


Geez that came out of no where.


No not really! I have been watching it for a few days now. It had broke off from the front that just past thought.
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#18 Postby bucman1 » Mon Jul 03, 2006 1:05 pm

It looks like a nice a flareup-if shear just doesn't rip it apart we might have a little something!
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#19 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Jul 03, 2006 1:08 pm

Here is a visible loop.

Image
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#20 Postby Aquawind » Mon Jul 03, 2006 1:11 pm

bucman1 wrote:It looks like a nice a flareup-if shear just doesn't rip it apart we might have a little something!



Badda Bing.. :wink: Mr Shear again... he he he

As a ULL it has alot of work ahead anyways to get to the surface.. That is not a common occurance..
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