This area near the Bahamas is impressive

boca · #141 Postby **boca** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:14 am

the ULL is moving west about 2mph not too quick. I still think they will lower our rain chances.

chadtm80 · #142 Postby **chadtm80** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:18 am

http://www.storm2k.org/sats.php?loc=watl&sat=clir&h=12

rockyman · #143 Postby **rockyman** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:56 am

The upper low is the swirl between Florida and Cuba...it is easy to see on this map (200mb vorticity):

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor1.html

rockyman · #144 Postby **rockyman** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:10 am

Upper level divergence best over north central Cuba (southeast of ULL--ventilation effect?):
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dvg.html

DESTRUCTION5 · #145 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:13 am

I can't believe noone is agreeing with the NHC..I think this ULL given its location and presentation has a great chance of making it to the surface..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE BAHAMAS...CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CUBA... AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AS WELL
AS THE ADJACENT WATERS... ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND
A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME... THEY MAY BECOME SOMEWHAT
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.

caneman · #146 Postby **caneman** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:13 am

rockyman wrote:Upper level divergence best over north central Cuba (southeast of ULL--ventilation effect?):
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dvg.html

yes, indeed. I mentioned earlier that storm overs and around Cuba persisted overnight. Visible show lots of low level clouds in that area. Pressures were fairly low overnight. BTW - Floater 2 is now positioned over this area. Bears Watching

caneman · #147 Postby **caneman** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:15 am

[quote="DESTRUCTION5"]I can't believe noone is agreeing with the NHC..I think this ULL given its location and presentation has a great chance of making it to the surface..

I have been agreeing. see my post at 5:00 AM

#148 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:15 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:I can't believe noone is agreeing with the NHC..I think this ULL given its location and presentation has a great chance of making it to the surface..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE BAHAMAS...CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CUBA... AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AS WELL
AS THE ADJACENT WATERS... ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND
A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME... THEY MAY BECOME SOMEWHAT
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.

Let's see....they say it should drift westward over the Florida Peninsula during the next couple of days, then they say "more conductive for some slow development of the system during the next day or two".....do they mean when it gets into the gulf, or do they mean just prior to making it over the Florida Peninsula?

#149 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:17 am

skysummit wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:I can't believe noone is agreeing with the NHC..I think this ULL given its location and presentation has a great chance of making it to the surface..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE BAHAMAS...CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CUBA... AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AS WELL
AS THE ADJACENT WATERS... ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND
A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME... THEY MAY BECOME SOMEWHAT
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.

Let's see....they say it should drift westward over the Florida Peninsula during the next couple of days, then they say "more conductive for some slow development of the system during the next day or two".....do they mean when it gets into the gulf, or do they mean just prior to making it over the Florida Peninsula?

Yes, i am wondering that myself. Actually this is the first time the NHC says conditions will become favorable for any system in this 2006 season :eek:

#150 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:20 am

I see a swirl that looks to be an ULL just southeast of the Florida Peninsula...is that what they're talking about?

Kennethb · #151 Postby **Kennethb** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:21 am

The New Orleans Weather Office has taken notice:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lix/cgi-bin/get ... n=0&max=11

DESTRUCTION5 · #152 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:22 am

skysummit wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:I can't believe noone is agreeing with the NHC..I think this ULL given its location and presentation has a great chance of making it to the surface..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE BAHAMAS...CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CUBA... AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AS WELL
AS THE ADJACENT WATERS... ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND
A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME... THEY MAY BECOME SOMEWHAT
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.

Let's see....they say it should drift westward over the Florida Peninsula during the next couple of days, then they say "more conductive for some slow development of the system during the next day or two".....do they mean when it gets into the gulf, or do they mean just prior to making it over the Florida Peninsula?

.

Well I don't think its going to cross FL at considering its in the straits..Im thinking in that General Area

bigmoney755 · #153 Postby **bigmoney755** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:25 am

According to the NHC it will move westward over the florida peninsula. If it gets into the gulf of mexico then all bets are off.

#154 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:33 am

If you look at the long range comp. refl. at the MIA site you can see the upper low clearly.

#155 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:35 am

SouthFloridawx wrote:If you look at the long range comp. refl. at the MIA site you can see the upper low clearly.

Then I went to MIA radar and it say's it's not available. LOL :lol:

canegrl04 · #156 Postby **canegrl04** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:38 am

Looks like we've got Beryl forming 8-)

So long as she doesn't become a hurricane,this will be cool to watch.Someones going to get a good amount of rain for sure over the next week

caneman · #157 Postby **caneman** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:39 am

lookat visible folks to the south of florida and you will see lots of low level clouds. looks to me like the ull is working its way down. it isn't crossing the peninsula but rather south of it

Derek Ortt · #158 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:40 am

we do not ahve anything resembling a tropical storm forming at the present time

caneman · #159 Postby **caneman** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:41 am

Floater 1 now on system. For NHC to have moved it they must be pretty interested

jusforsean · #160 Postby **jusforsean** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:41 am

Check this out, the cbs4 radar images that i always look at, i have never seen this before on the long range radar for miami they have a circle with green in the middle going to orange/yellow outside and i am supposing that is suppose to show the rain fall amounts. But I am not sure?? heres the link:
http://weather.cbs4.com/auto/cbs4V2/Reg ... me%20Radar

***you have to scroll down to the bottom and click on the miami long range radar to pull it up.

This area near the Bahamas is impressive

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