This area near the Bahamas is impressive

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stormtruth
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#181 Postby stormtruth » Wed Jul 05, 2006 9:55 am

Derek Ortt wrote:doper? the only team to actually not have doping problems?

I need a Kloden victory or high placing and Cunego not to lose more than 4 minutes


Is this the off topic thread? Kenny Boy just died and the Atlantic casinos have been shut down.
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#182 Postby skysummit » Wed Jul 05, 2006 9:58 am

Ok well....this thread has went to cr@p.
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#183 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:01 am

skysummit wrote:Ok well....this thread has went to cr@p.


Well we'll have have to get back on target then.

Anyone got any surface plots?
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#184 Postby skysummit » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:04 am

Image
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#185 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:06 am

SouthFloridawx and skysummit are right.Let's get back to the topic of this thread.
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#186 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:08 am

Looks like this thing has really made a comeback. This could be an Invest if the convection continues to increase.
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#187 Postby hiflyer » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:10 am

http://www.myacc.net/~tedler64/weather/indexmml.html
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#188 Postby stormtruth » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:15 am

Shouldn't there be an invest already? Unlike some of the other invests the NHC is showing somewhat of an interest in this one. The Reuters article was a little foreboding with its mention of the Gulf and the oil platforms.
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#189 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:15 am

ABNT20 KNHC 051514
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED JUL 5 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NORTHWARD
ACROSS CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
AND A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA TODAY AND THURSDAY. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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#190 Postby AJC3 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:19 am

You can make out the diffuse low level vort associated with the inverted trough across Florida. It looks like it's near Bartow in Polk County, about 20-30 miles east of the Tampa area.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... color=gray
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#191 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:23 am

THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.

That doesn't mean conditions are unfavorable though.
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#192 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:27 am

this likely will not develop

also, interesting to ntoe, Avila signed the wrong name on the TWO

ABNT20 KNHC 051521
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED JUL 5 2006

CORRECTED FOR FORECASTER NAME

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NORTHWARD
ACROSS CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
AND A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA TODAY AND THURSDAY. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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#193 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:30 am

But will give Florida a good downpour for the next 2 days.
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#194 Postby White Cap » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:31 am

THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA TODAY AND THURSDAY. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

I wonder what will happen after Thursday, since that is only a day away? My feeling is that once this crosses Florida and gets into the Gulf, something will develop. Wonder where will it go if that happens? I think this system will put a good dent into the drought situation!
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#195 Postby hiflyer » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:32 am

'THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME. '

May be as much as tired of all the questions from the previous issue which gave a nebulous open end two days out possibility which certainly started phones ringing in there.

Meanwhile there be thunder rumbling outside the window here....oh well
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#196 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:35 am

White Cap wrote:THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA TODAY AND THURSDAY. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

I wonder what will happen after Thursday, since that is only a day away? My feeling is that once this crosses Florida and gets into the Gulf, something will develop. Wonder where will it go if that happens? I think this system will put a good dent into the drought situation!


They always say that about the next day.
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#197 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:37 am

White Cap wrote:THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA TODAY AND THURSDAY. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

I wonder what will happen after Thursday, since that is only a day away? My feeling is that once this crosses Florida and gets into the Gulf, something will develop. Wonder where will it go if that happens? I think this system will put a good dent into the drought situation!
That always ends the TWO and its always only one or two days out...notice that that line is also talking about everywhere else in the Atlantic...;)
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#198 Postby tailgater » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:42 am

AJC3 wrote:You can make out the diffuse low level vort associated with the inverted trough across Florida. It looks like it's near Bartow in Polk County, about 20-30 miles east of the Tampa area.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... color=gray


Nice find AJC3, there is at least 1 more near Western Cuba and the Isle of Youth but much less pronounce.
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES ... BMIIMd.jpg
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#199 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 05, 2006 11:09 am

and the earlier part of the TWO said development is not expected for the Bahamas
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#200 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Jul 05, 2006 11:22 am

000
FXUS64 KHUN 051606 RRA
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1106 AM CDT WED JUL 5 2006

...
FURTHER DOWN THE LINE FROM THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD PUSH OFF OF THE EAST COAST BY THE
WEEKEND...WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING. THE RETURN OF MOISTURE
SHOULD BRING BACK A CHANCE OF CONVECTION ACROSS NW ALABAMA BY LATE
NEXT MONDAY...AND THE ENTIRE AREA ON TUESDAY AND POSSIBLE WED (WHICH
WILL BE DETERMINED BY THE DAY CREW). THE DGEX MODEL HAD AN OMINOUS
LOOKING SURFACE LOW NEARING THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND. THE OTHER
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS WERE SUGGESTING A MORE SUBTLE TROPICAL
RETURN...WHICH LOOKS MORE REASONABLE.
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