Advisorie #1 for TD#2 from weathercentral of storm2k

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 9:41 pm

This forecast is from the weathercentral of storm2k and it is NOT from NHC.

Advisorie #1 Tropical Depression #2 11:00 PM EDT

Sattelite pics showed from this afternoon that the disturbance located midway between africa and the lesser antilles has organized and it is now TD#2.Deep convection and banding features are noted with the system as it moves west at 16 mph.It is difficult to say what will happen with this system because it is very early in june and never this has happened before.But I have an idea of what might happen and I will say that it will be moving into a hostil enviroment in the next 2 days but if it stays on a west course it may avoid the very hostil zone.Interests in the lesser antilles must monitor this depression as conditions favor intensification to a tropical storm.

Forecast for TD#2

Initial=9.6= 41.6 30kts
12 hours =9.8-44.1 30kts
24 hours =10.5-47.0 35 kts
36 hours=11.5-49.5 35 kts
48 hours= 12.5-52.0 30kts
72 hours=14.5-56.5 30kts

Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) Storm2k forecaster

The_Cycloman_PR · #2 Postby **The_Cycloman_PR** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 9:52 pm

History in the making my friend!! :o

First Ana and now TD#2!! Thisone will be an historical season!!

Great forecast today Cyc!! You were correct about TD#2!! Good job! :wink:

Cycloman.

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 9:57 pm

Thank you my friend and yes I called it early this afternoon as I saw those visible pics.

#4 Postby **MWatkins** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 9:58 pm

The statistical models aren't as down on the system as you may think...and there is some chance that the system will stay to the south of the forecast track from NHC. Although a hurricane is pretty much out of the question....there could be a Bill or a former Bill hanging around your vicinity in 5 days.

FYI here is a link to my first forecast for the system...I'd post here but it's too big and the formatting would get all screwed up. Enjoy...

MW

http://www.tropicalupdate.com/2003-TC02.htm

Guest · #5 Postby **Guest** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 10:04 pm

Thanks for the post Mike and the link for your forecast.

Patricia

chadtm80 · #6 Postby **chadtm80** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 10:04 pm

Good call Cycloneye!

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 10:07 pm

MWatkins I and Cycloman are watching very closely this indeed.

And thanks chad.

Guest · #8 Postby **Guest** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 10:08 pm

Excellent Job Ceye and the rest of the STORM2K forecasting Team!!!!!!

SUPERB!

The_Cycloman_PR · #9 Postby **The_Cycloman_PR** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 10:11 pm

Tika... Did you receive my picture this afternoon?? :?:

mf_dolphin · #10 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 10:23 pm

I just posted it Cycloman! :-)

Thanks for sending it in! :-)

weatherlover427 · #11 Postby **weatherlover427** » Tue Jun 10, 2003 10:26 pm

Good job Luis on the forecasts! :d

Advisorie #1 for TD#2 from weathercentral of storm2k

Advisorie #1 for TD#2 from weathercentral of storm2k

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