Dennis Anniversary thread, July 11th, R.I.P Dennis

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Ixolib
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#21 Postby Ixolib » Wed Jul 05, 2006 6:26 pm

MGC wrote:...Little did I realize that just a few weeks later the MS coast would be "gone with the waves."

Ain't THAT the truth!!

I do remember that Cindy killed most if not all the Least Terns that had just been hatched on the beach... :(
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Jim Cantore

#22 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jul 05, 2006 6:28 pm

and Katrina killed almost everything else. heck, the Red Drum dissapeared after Katrina.
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#23 Postby Droop12 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 6:33 pm

Ah, Dennis was something to remember. I spent most of the day the 8th boarding up my windows and preparing to evacuate to Pensacola. I had to work that night and we spent the evening battening things down there. The whole process you go through before a hurricane hits really reminds you just how used we are to routines. Before and after a hurricane moves through your area, there is no routine or sense of normalcy. It was really a surreal time for me, Dennis and Ivan alike. I wasnt worried about Dennis on the 9th, he weakened over Cuba and I didnt expect more than a Cat 2. Needless to say when he blew up, I was worried, but everything worked out and only lost power for 7 days, shingles gone, and 2 trees snapped in the yard.
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#24 Postby beachbum_al » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:20 pm

Dennis...A Pain in my Side

Lets see...I remember watching the forecast. I had not found storm 2k yet. It was shortly after though I believe. The night before...Governor Riley office started calling everyone south of I-10 in Alabama and ordering an evac. We boarded up the house and left with children and dog in tow. We went to City Hall where dh works in Daphne and rode out the storm. Well turns out that Dennis turned and headed toward FL. Everyone was relieved...except me...my sister lives in Pace, FL. Now I was worry about her and my nephews.

Turned out that everything was okay and she had minor damage to her fence.

That is what I was doing when Dennis decided to pay a visit.
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#25 Postby f5 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:55 pm

MGC wrote:Cindy was nothing over here in Miss. I think she spent most of her energy over in Louisisana. We had some gusty winds that morning. Little did I realize that just a few weeks later the MS coast would be "gone with the waves." Having a nice rain shower as I type this, it is nice to have some rain.....MGC


Who would of thought that in Cindy's wake a super powerful CAT 5 with 175 MPH sustained winds threatens to wipe N.O off the map with her tsunami like storm surge
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#26 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:57 pm

f5 wrote:
MGC wrote:Cindy was nothing over here in Miss. I think she spent most of her energy over in Louisisana. We had some gusty winds that morning. Little did I realize that just a few weeks later the MS coast would be "gone with the waves." Having a nice rain shower as I type this, it is nice to have some rain.....MGC


Who would of thought that in Cindy's wake a super powerful CAT 5 with 175 MPH sustained winds threatens to wipe N.O off the map with her tsunami like storm surge


threatened?
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#27 Postby f5 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:09 pm

it could have been worse for N.O
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#28 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:20 pm

Of course it could've been worse I preach that to people. But it was bad enough where I wouldn't consider threatened unless you mean a doomsday scenario.
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#29 Postby baygirl_1 » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:56 pm

Cindy... That was a scary night. Though certainly not as scary as the night of Hurricane Frederic, it was scary. I woke to the sound of the wind blowing over the swing set in the yard. We probably should've laid it over, but we really weren't expecting anything that strong. Wrong again! I was the only one awake in the house-- DH rolled over and started snoring again and my mother and kids slept through it. I had the news on and they were reporting tornadoes all over the place, it seemed. The weather started to ease up around 3AM or 4AM, I believe, and I managed to get a few hours sleep then.
Dennis.... We headed out of town to my sister's upstate around 4 in the morning to avoid traffic snarls (which we encountered in our evacuation for Ivan the year before). Traffic moved smoothly and we hit Montgomery just as they began reversing the flow of I-65 to northbound only. That was interesting to see.
I hope we won't be evacuating or seeing that again for awhile.
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#30 Postby beachbum_al » Wed Jul 05, 2006 9:34 pm

baygirl_1 wrote:Cindy... That was a scary night. Though certainly not as scary as the night of Hurricane Frederic, it was scary. I woke to the sound of the wind blowing over the swing set in the yard. .


I remember Frederic too well. I was nine years old when it hit the area. My family (still lives there) was in Fairhope just about two miles from the Bay. I remember the sound of the wind sounding like ghost. I had a very imaginative mind at nine. And the sounds of pine trees popping and falling to the ground.

Ivan was also another experience for me that I would rather forget. I think the thought of having children now and protecting them makes the storms more scarier.
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#31 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:09 pm

I remember Ivan and Cindy, the remnents at least. Ivans remements caused major flooding along the Delaware River. Cindy just dumped 3 inches of rain.
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#32 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:15 pm

about one year ago right now Hurricane Cindy was coming ashore near Grand Isle Louisiana
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#33 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Jul 06, 2006 1:09 am

f5 wrote:it could have been worse for N.O

I hear/read this and I shake my head. 80% underwater and almost all buildings gutted. It could have been worse then that? The only thing worse would be 100% of the city underwater and the Superdome getting ripped apart all the way. I'm not sure if that would have killed many more people but those 2 things are not as big at all. Everything else was pure hellish.

Of course it could've been worse I preach that to people.

Peach it to me please. I can't see how much worse it could have gotten. The more powerful winds may have ripped off more objects but other then that...
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#34 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jul 06, 2006 10:24 am

Peach it to me please. I can't see how much worse it could have gotten. The more powerful winds may have ripped off more objects but other then that...


the ENTIRE city could have flooded, their could have been a ton more wind damage, the water could've been much higher. the death toll could've been higher, the damage total could've been higher, and downtown could've been underwater.
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#35 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:27 pm

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2005

...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES DENNIS
HAS BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
WESTWARD...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 6 PM EDT...2200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST OR ABOUT 315
MILES... 505 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 335
MILES... 540 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS WILL BE CENTERED NEAR
JAMAICA EARLY THURSDAY.

RECENT REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...
130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY ONE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA...EASTERN CUBA...AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF JAMAICA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 6 PM EDT POSITION...16.1 N... 72.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$
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#36 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:30 pm

Image
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Opal storm

#37 Postby Opal storm » Thu Jul 06, 2006 7:52 pm

Image
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Jim Cantore

#38 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jul 06, 2006 9:09 pm

the models and the NHC did very well with dennis
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Jim Cantore

#39 Postby Jim Cantore » Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:07 am

Dennis set his short lived record on this day

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

...DENNIS NOW A STRONGER CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 130
MILES... 205 KM... WEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 250 MILES... 405
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS OCCURRED...AS IS TYPICAL OF A MAJOR
HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD
MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON.

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS
IS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA...BUT IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 938 MB...27.70 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
IS EXPECTED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ. A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ. A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...21.4 N... 79.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 938 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

Image
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#40 Postby docjoe » Sat Jul 08, 2006 6:56 am

I remember this time last year very well...it was like deja vu all over again. For the second time in less than 10 months we were boarding up and stocking up. Due to Ivan the run on gasoline started about 3-4 days prior to Dennis. By today there was no gas to be found. Gas lines had been 3 and 4 hours long. As has been said many times Dennis was the "forgotten" storm last year due to its small size. However for Santa Rosa county it was quite a day. Thank God that it was small in size and moved quickly or it would have been significantly worse. Also the fact that the eyewall started to collapse helped. The front half of the eye was awesome. However once the eye passed over the house the worse we had afterwards was probably some short lived Cat 1 conditions and it was over...excpet for the roof...the chimney in the yard...the 20 or so trees that Ivan didnt take etc....we were fortunate that Dennis wasnt a major surge storm like Ivan, Katrina, Rita

docjoe
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