NW Pacific: Tropical Storm Ewiniar (0603)

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SouthFloridawx
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#141 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 06, 2006 6:03 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Maybe this storm will hush up that dictator in N. Korea

doubtfull
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#142 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 06, 2006 6:05 pm

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#143 Postby Normandy » Thu Jul 06, 2006 10:29 pm

Shame.

You all would flip out if a poster from N Korea wished a hurricane on the Gulf Coast, so why would you all wish one on N Korea?

People....yes people....live there.
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#144 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jul 06, 2006 10:57 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Maybe this storm will hush up that dictator in N. Korea

doubtfull


fun thought, that typhoon has more energy then all of his bombs.
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#145 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 06, 2006 11:38 pm

I wish a cat5 right into kim ils houses!
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#146 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Jul 06, 2006 11:42 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I wish a cat5 right into kim ils houses!

And his 20,000 movies he has.
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#147 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 06, 2006 11:46 pm

Another typhoon tips would shut him up in his no-dongs both. Sounds like a good idea, wents to aim a nuke at me.

:x
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#148 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 06, 2006 11:58 pm

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#149 Postby Cyclenall » Fri Jul 07, 2006 1:58 am

Right now it looks like Ewiniar has done his ERC and now his eye looks like Hurricane Katrina's eye. He looks stronger then during the past 36 hours. He is still pegged at 100 Knots which is lower then before which I think is wrong. I would guess Ewiniar is at 115 Knots to 120 Knots currently due to a great-looking typhoon.

Oh, and he reminds me of Hurricane Katrina for some reason. The bottom part though looks much different.

Another typhoon tips would shut him up in his no-dongs both. Sounds like a good idea, wents to aim a nuke at me.

:lol: And don't forget his 20,000 movies!
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#150 Postby P.K. » Fri Jul 07, 2006 4:36 am

Please remember that where ever this makes landfall normal people will be affected.

The current track is taking it between China and South Korea although closer to China http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/0603_l.html.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070600UTC 21.4N 127.4E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM SOUTH 200NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 080600UTC 23.9N 126.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
48HF 090600UTC 27.6N 124.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
72HF 100600UTC 33.0N 123.0E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNW 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
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#151 Postby Dr. Jonah Rainwater » Fri Jul 07, 2006 7:07 am

A track between China and South Korea into the Yellow Sea would actually make a North Korea landfall possible....

How often has that happened?
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#152 Postby P.K. » Fri Jul 07, 2006 8:42 am

As this is now aproaching land the JMA have started to give out hourly positions. http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/0603_l.html?type=2

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 071200UTC 22.1N 127.1E GOOD
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 250NM SOUTH 190NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 081200UTC 24.8N 125.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
48HF 091200UTC 29.1N 124.2E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
72HF 101200UTC 34.8N 122.3E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
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#153 Postby HurricaneBill » Fri Jul 07, 2006 2:23 pm

Some recent typhoons to affect North Korea:

Typhoon Prapiroon 2000
Typhoon Rusa 2002
Super Typhoon Maemi 2003

Typhoons that affect North Korea usually do so after making landfall on South Korea or by entering the country as tropical storms. However, Typhoon Prapiroon in 2000 made landfall on North Korea as a Category 1 typhoon.

All 3 typhoons listed above were very deadly and destructive on North Korea as well as South Korea.
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#154 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 07, 2006 7:26 pm

Image

I think this is the radar of Okinawa.
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#155 Postby WindRunner » Fri Jul 07, 2006 7:38 pm

Held at 80kts today.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 072100UTC 22.9N 126.6E GOOD
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT

50KT 80NM
30KT 250NM EAST 190NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 082100UTC 26.1N 124.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
45HF 091800UTC 30.1N 123.8E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
69HF 101800UTC 37.6N 123.4E 220NM 70%
MOVE N 18KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT =
NNNN
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#156 Postby WindRunner » Fri Jul 07, 2006 7:43 pm

Hong Kong Observatory now expecting a North/South Korea border landfall as a borderline TS.

Image

The rest (JMA, China, Korea) keep it further east in the Yellow Sea.
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#157 Postby HurricaneBill » Fri Jul 07, 2006 9:51 pm

China, Korea, and Japan. Those are the areas where "billion dollar" typhoons usually happen.
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#158 Postby RattleMan » Fri Jul 07, 2006 10:14 pm

On the NRL page, a note at the top says "NOTE: 04W NONAME is EWINIAR." I can't see why they aren't able to just change it to 04W.EWINIAR...what an odd problem...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

EDIT: The backup site is correct: http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
Last edited by RattleMan on Fri Jul 07, 2006 10:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#159 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 07, 2006 10:15 pm

NEW FROM WU!!!

Image

Now the plot all the storms in Planet Earth, before it was only the EPAC and Atlantic storms that got plotted!!!
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#160 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 07, 2006 10:32 pm

WTPN31 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 034
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 23.2N 126.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N 126.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 24.9N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 27.1N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 29.7N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 32.4N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 38.5N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 23.6N 126.3E.
TYPHOON (TY) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 080000Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z
AND 090300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNINGS (WTPN32
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN
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