Vigorous Central Atlantic Wave

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #61 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 8:42 pm

I expect invest 96L by tomarrow morning out of this.

#62 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:00 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:This wave is embedded in the ITCZ which is very far south for this time of year. It won't develop into anything until it moves further north.

And further north in latitud it will have to deal with dry air.

Water Vapor

Yes but, this wave has alot of moisture with it, it is not small by any means. Secondly when you watch the WV loop to its WNW it appears that the air is moistening up slowly.

#63 Postby **CrazyC83** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:02 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:This wave is embedded in the ITCZ which is very far south for this time of year. It won't develop into anything until it moves further north.

And further north in latitud it will have to deal with dry air.

Water Vapor

That's way too far to the north. It ain't going north of 20°N anytime soon.

Could Cape Verde be spinning up early???

#64 Postby **abajan** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:12 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I expect invest 96L by tomarrow morning out of this.

I'm inclined to agree with you, Matt.

#65 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:27 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 090226
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT JUL 8 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE COMBINATION OF A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND A TROPICAL WAVE IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING NORTHWARD
FROM NEAR HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A FEW
HUNDRED MILES. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT THE
SYSTEM MAY ENHANCE SHOWERS OVER HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS
AND A FEW SHOWERS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 15-20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/LANDSEA

It' now included at the Tropical Weather Outlook.

boca · #66 Postby **boca** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:33 pm

Slow to occur is interesting.

'CaneFreak · #67 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:35 pm

What do you think of wave, Cycloneye? It sure looks impressive....developing some banding features...some inflow...outflow developing.....low shear environment....SAL is well to the north of this wave....moisture increasing....does it have a chance though?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #68 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:35 pm

Added this into a special short discussion tonight...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 3&start=60

'CaneFreak · #69 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:37 pm

I like your forecast Matt....very interesting....

#70 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:37 pm

Wow, I knew this wave deserved its own thread, thanks Dean4storms for posting that loop!!! :lol:

#71 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:45 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Wow, I knew this wave deserved its own thread, thanks Dean4storms for posting that loop!!!

Slap Happy to have helped there Ivanhater!

#72 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:47 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Wow, I knew this wave deserved its own thread, thanks Dean4storms for posting that loop!!!

Slap Happy to have helped there Ivanhater!

meteorologyman · #73 Postby **meteorologyman** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:48 pm

Interesting wave, Hello everyone I'm back, I have been very busy for the past month, sorry if I made you think that I was gone for good

'CaneFreak · #74 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:49 pm

meteorologyman wrote:Interesting wave, Hello everyone I'm back, I have been very busy for the past month, sorry if I made you think that I was gone for good

glad to have you back....

#75 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:50 pm

What I find interesting is the TWO said nothing about unfavorable conditions, which they normally say. Also the first time they mention this wave, they say development may be slow, meaning they think it has a chance to develop. Just looking at trends and reading between the lines. Here is a good image of our wave...

'CaneFreak · #76 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:51 pm

don't know about you fellows....but I can't wait until the 00Z model runs come out....hopefully something interesting will pop up; not getting my hopes up though...

whereverwx · #77 Postby **whereverwx** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:53 pm

My forecast is so short, I don't think it deserves this:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Impressive system, poof by tomorrow, IMO.

meteorologyman · #78 Postby **meteorologyman** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:54 pm

So what I have I been missing besides the fact that almost every freakin wave that formed hit Florida, which is giving me a very bad feeling what beholds for the next three months

'CaneFreak · #79 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:54 pm

calamity wrote:My forecast is so short, I don't think it deserves this:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Impressive system, poof by tomorrow, IMO.

most people would hope so...not me though...

#80 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sat Jul 08, 2006 9:56 pm

calamity wrote:My forecast is so short, I don't think it deserves this:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Impressive system, poof by tomorrow, IMO.

Could very well do that, but one thing I do to determine that is to look out ahead of the system, and tonight I see thunderstorms firing ahead of it , making me skeptical it will just fizzle out, at the very least I think it will pulse in and out, but you could be right as well.

Vigorous Central Atlantic Wave

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