http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... _ep_0.html
This thing has a little upper level shear...But has a well defined LLC on both satellite and quickscat. If this was in the Atlatnic it would be a 45 to 50 knot tropoical storm based on this quickscat. I will not say any more.
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... _ep_0.html
99E Invest at EPAC
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cycloneye
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 102201
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT MON JUL 10 2006
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF
INCREASED ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAS ALSO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE
CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Will the EPAC have Bud and Carlotta at the same time?
ABPZ20 KNHC 102201
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT MON JUL 10 2006
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF
INCREASED ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAS ALSO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE
CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Will the EPAC have Bud and Carlotta at the same time?
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cycloneye
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11/0000 UTC 12.9N 109.9W T1.5/1.5 99E -- East Pacific Ocean
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