Tropical Depression Bud (03E) in EPAC

[P.K.]

That was quick. Go out for a few hours and it goes from 35kts to 65kts.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Okay actually a very strong Cat-2 Hurricane according to the NHC (110 MPH Winds).

[AnnularCane]

Whoa, look at Bud! He's going nuts!

[HurricaneHunter914]

Someone please change the name of this thread.

[CrazyC83]

We need to wait for cycloneye to come in to change it.

[Cyclenall]

Holy Crap!!!! I eat dinner and come back to hurricane Bud!! Rapid Strengthening as taken place indeed!! I thought it looked like a hurricane all this time.



I have make new % chances for Bud now!

[Thunder44]

It's a good call. Hurricane Bud I like that.

[curtadams]

AODT says 5.7 = 110 mph http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt6.html The official number is much lower but that's because they average over a long time period, which will grossly underestimate a boomer. By vis, this is obviously a boomer. You can see the widening inflow and outflow, as well as the emergent eye and spreading feeder bands.

[Cyclenall]

Very New % chances for Hurricane Bud:

Tropical Storm: 100%
Hurricane: 100%
Major Hurricane: 54%
Category 5 Hurricane: 5%

This is insane. My numbers have jumped upward by a huge amount. I have never seen rapid strengthening take place in a Tropical Storm and Depression. I have seen it taken place in hurricanes after CAT1. I asked some people on here if depressions can rapidly strengthen and here is my answer. Another thing, I would always think this is what it would look like if a TS is rapidly deepening.

Hurricane Bud looks great right now. There is a small eye now present and the NHC site is back to normal with usual TC forecasters! All I can say is I want this thing to bomb out as high as possible.

CrazyC83 got this one perfectly correct. It became a hurricane much faster then I thought too. BTW, this is the most powerful Tropical Cyclone worldwide currently and the most powerful this 2006 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I'v seen it with Wilma,Katrina and Rita.

[cycloneye]

We need to wait for cycloneye to come in to change it.

I am back and edited title.Wow I left earlier this afternoon Bud as a 50 mph storm now is a hurricane in 3 hours.

[CrazyC83]

Unlike those ones, at least this one can intensify all it wants without hurting anyone, except poor ships out there...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I hope this becomes a cat5!!!!

[CrazyC83]

I hope this becomes a cat5!!!!

Unlikely at this point, but ya never know.

I'm predicting a solid Category 3 right now (120 mph). However, that could change if it keeps rising fast...

[CrazyC83]

My estimated chances for this hurricane:

Tropical Storm: 100% (obviously)
Hurricane: 100% (obviously)
Major Hurricane: 70%
Category 4 Hurricane: 30%
Category 5 Hurricane: 5%

[WmE]

Yeah, I agree with Crazy's predictions!

[gatorcane]

go EPAC, kicking the Atlantic's butt!

[Cyclenall]

I'v seen it with Wilma,Katrina and Rita.

Yes, but I have never seen a topical storm rapidly strengthen. Only hurricanes I have seen do that, Wilma too.

I hope this becomes a cat5!!!!

Me too, that would rock. It is very rare though and hasn't happened in a long while (2002?). Remember, it's very possible this could become a category 4 because that has happened in June before.

Someone should create a very long loop of Bud's life once he is done. It would be very cool to have.

[Derek Ortt]

the convective activity surround the eye is quite weak, which gives me confidence that this is in fact a cat 1 hurricane at the present time, with winds likely around 75KT

Could reach major status by tomorrow, but should remain away from land

[Cyclenall]

but should remain away from land

Of course it will remain away from land, that would be freaky if it turned around!