Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #2

[wxman57]

Thought y'all might like to see a couple of high-res McIDAS images of what I think should soon be 97L:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl1.gif

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl2.gif

Seems to have a nice mid to lower level circulation. Can't tell if it has an actual LLC. I do notice that the GFS is forecasting it to move into a region of 40-50kt easterly winds between 10,000-20,000 ft tomorrow. That might knock it down considerably - assuming the GFS has a clue about the winds in the eastern Atlantic.

If it does develop in the next 2-3 days, then it may recurve more quickly and possibly be a fish storm. The slower it is in developing, the farther west the possible threat. With the MJO phase producing lots of east Pac activity this week, it's poised to begin impacting the western Atlantic Basin next week. The action will likely begin in the near future.

I told you that when I saw anything that I actually thought had a chance of developing that I'd mention it.

[gatorcane]

Thought y'all might like to see a couple of high-res McIDAS images of what I think should soon be 97L:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl1.gif

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl2.gif

Seems to have a nice mid to lower level circulation. Can't tell if it has an actual LLC. I do notice that the GFS is forecasting it to move into a region of 40-50kt easterly winds between 10,000-20,000 ft tomorrow. That might knock it down considerably - assuming the GFS has a clue about the winds in the eastern Atlantic.

If it does develop in the next 2-3 days, then it may recurve more quickly and possibly be a fish storm. The slower it is in developing, the farther west the possible threat. With the MJO phase producing lots of east Pac activity this week, it's poised to begin impacting the western Atlantic Basin next week. The action will likely begin in the near future.

I told you that when I saw anything that I actually thought had a chance of developing that I'd mention it.

WxMan you did say that and my eyes are wide open now

[skysummit]

Wow wxman57! I'm impressed! You kept your word!!!! LOL I guess it's time to board the windows!!! I also see you named your images "Beryl".

[cycloneye]

Nice images 57.It looks impressive to say the least.But it has to move into hurdles while it tracks westward.I say Invest 97L if not later this afternoon,by tonight or tommorow morning.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Thought y'all might like to see a couple of high-res McIDAS images of what I think should soon be 97L:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl1.gif

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl2.gif

Seems to have a nice mid to lower level circulation. Can't tell if it has an actual LLC. I do notice that the GFS is forecasting it to move into a region of 40-50kt easterly winds between 10,000-20,000 ft tomorrow. That might knock it down considerably - assuming the GFS has a clue about the winds in the eastern Atlantic.

If it does develop in the next 2-3 days, then it may recurve more quickly and possibly be a fish storm. The slower it is in developing, the farther

west the possible threat. With the MJO phase producing lots of east Pac activity this week, it's poised to begin impacting the western Atlantic Basin next week. The action will likely begin in the near future.

I told you that when I saw anything that I actually thought had a chance of developing that I'd mention it.

WOW...that does look aweful good in them shots..

[wxman57]

Nice images 57.It looks impressive to say the least.But it has to move into hurdles while it tracks westward.I say Invest 97L if not later this afternoon,by tonight or tommorow morning.

I think that NHC/MRY may sit on it until tomorrow and see if the increased easterly flow in advance of the wave causes any weakening overnight before declaring 97L.

Again, the sooner it develops, the less threat to the U.S. and possibly the Caribbean. It's fairly far north for being so far east. Timing will be the key - of if/when it develops and the strength of the ridge to the north.

it has my attention, though.

[cycloneye]

Full Disk Image



Another view of this wave with the full disk image.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Those are real pictures! That looks like a TS to me!

[O Town]

Those are real pictures! That looks like a TS to me!

It sure does, too bad there aren't any bouys around that area.

[cycloneye]

Those are real pictures! That looks like a TS to me!

It sure does, too bad there aren't any bouys around that area.

Nor Recon.Recon will have to wait when this wave reaches 55w.Ships are the only way to find out in the Eastern Atlantic what is going on at the surface.

[Thunder44]

You can also see it on visible and infrared imagery here:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastfull.html
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastfullir.html

[SouthFloridawx]

wxman57 did say if he thought he saw possible future development he would call it.

[HurricaneHunter914]

The NHC will probably mention it in the next TWO: or possibly upgrade it to a TD like Vince.

[x-y-no]

Hey now ... that's none too shabby looking ...

Thanks for the pics, wxman57!

[cycloneye]

The NHC will probably mention it in the next TWO: or possibly upgrade it to a TD like Vince.

Not so fast.Your first part of the sentence maybe,the second part no.

[cheezyWXguy]

it needs more of a CDO) and needs to be able to sustain convection, although is doing a good job now, but needs to go one step further on the CD0

[HurricaneHunter914]

The NHC will probably mention it in the next TWO: or possibly upgrade it to a TD like Vince.

Not so fast.Your first part of the sentence maybe,the second part no.

Sorry got carried away, its just that this is the most organized thing I have seen in the 2006 Atlantic Season ever since Al.

[WmE]

Alberto and organized??? No it's looking good right now.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Very impressive for a "wave"

[ThunderMate]

Will the NHC put the floater on it soon?