Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #2

Thunder44 · #301 Postby **Thunder44** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 2:38 am

It doesn't look so impressive anymore. The convection is diminishing.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

#302 Postby **wxman57** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 5:53 am

It's behaving pretty much as I expected. Convection is just about gone today. It should continue moving westward for the next week. My concern for development is late next week if/when it reaches the western Caribbean Sea. So don't expect anything to happen for a while. By the time it reaches the western Caribbean around the 20th, the current MJO phase producing the burst of storms in the East Pac. should have moved into the Atlantic Basin.

#303 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:46 am

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER IS NEAR
12N30W. A TROUGH GOES FROM THE 12N30W LOW CENTER TO 19N31W AND
22N31W.

8 AM Discussion.

Water Vapor

There is anything at the surface here as it's a middle to upper low.

Aquawind · #304 Postby **Aquawind** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 7:01 am

Qscat still shows it.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBas32.png

Derek Ortt · #305 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 7:41 am

That is the first I have ever heard of an upper low being associated with a tropical wave

cheezyWXguy · #306 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 8:19 am

I doubt theres an upper low in this thing...I think the surface circulation may have diminished somewhat but I disagree about the ULL...I think this things gonna pull a 96L on us...It dies out off of Africa and half way across the Atlantic it blows up and is declared 97L(just telling my gut feeling). Just remember, the less it developes now, the more of a threat it is to the U.S.

#307 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 8:24 am

cycloneye wrote: A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER IS NEAR
12N30W. A TROUGH GOES FROM THE 12N30W LOW CENTER TO 19N31W AND
22N31W.

8 AM Discussion.

Water Vapor

There is anything at the surface here as it's a middle to upper low.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 28W/29W SOUTH OF 17N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. CLEAR EVIDENCE OF CYCLONIC TURNING SHOWS UP
IN CURRENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN
26W AND 34W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS
OCCUR FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 28W AND 31W.

Well I was wrong about this thing flaring back up. I think capeverdewave was right. But, I would still watch it in the next coming days.

#308 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 8:29 am

Maybe this wave was a sacrifice for the wave right behind it moving off the african coast.

http://tinyurl.com/lblme

#309 Postby **wxman57** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 9:22 am

No more convection today. Here are a few McIDAS shots:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl3.gif

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl4.gif

The next wave moving off the coast of Africa will likely do the same. I don't think this wave is "history", I think we'll have to monitor it for a flare-up in about 7 days when it reaches the western Caribbean. For the next 4-5 days I don't expect much 'excitement" out there in the tropics.

HurricaneHunter914 · #310 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 9:35 am

Once again the Atlantic is quiet.

#311 Postby **AnnularCane** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 10:00 am

Ouch. This is not a good day for tropical systems. They all seem to be falling apart, and not just in the Atlantic.

HurricaneHunter914 · #312 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 10:01 am

Well, it is July, but I wish we had some Hurricanes right now to track like we did last year.

Tampa_God · #313 Postby **Tampa_God** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 10:05 am

Even a tropical storm. I am having hurricane depression

HurricaneHunter914 · #314 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 10:07 am

But we might aswell track this wave coming off of Africa, it looks kinda promising but shear is going to kill it.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

#315 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 10:12 am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 141503
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE TROPICS ARE QUIET AND CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA

Tampa_God · #316 Postby **Tampa_God** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 10:12 am

Maybe this wave that is dying out is just a guard for this wave.

HurricaneHunter914 · #317 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Jul 14, 2006 10:15 am

Probably and this wave might have a better chance at development but like the NHC said conditions are not favorable for tropical cyclone development.

Aquawind · #318 Postby **Aquawind** » Sat Jul 15, 2006 6:41 am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 150851
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT JUL 15 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH

:layout:

#319 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 15, 2006 6:52 am

Aquawind wrote:000
ABNT20 KNHC 150851
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT JUL 15 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH

Scorpion · #320 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat Jul 15, 2006 8:56 am

Is the wave still there?

Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #2

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