Ex-96L Invest,Comments

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senorpepr
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#241 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 13, 2006 12:58 pm

boca wrote:It has a current date on it .


Actually, it's old. While the satellite image itself is current (and automated), the position is old (from the 12th).
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#242 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 13, 2006 1:54 pm

They have repositioned the satellite image further west. They maybe running models on it again.

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
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#243 Postby Starburst » Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:14 pm

Yes I see they put the invest back up on the navy site. When will they run models on this again as it is looking better today.
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#244 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:46 pm

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#245 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:48 pm

Wow that's a hugh upper low in the Western GOM.
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#246 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:51 pm

It still has a low pressure swirl at one level or another...although weak and naked. I have noticed the shear has decreased over the past 6 hours in its vicinity and ahead of it through the western Carribean. Over the next day, it might be entering some of the best conditions it's been in yet???

Image
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#247 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:53 pm

Well, as of this afternoon TPC didn't seem at all impressed with its chances.
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#248 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:53 pm

A lower level circulation is evident on visible imagery. But alot of outflow boundaries coming out on the west side this afternoon, like yesterday. It's not really getting better organized.
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#249 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:55 pm

Conditions are already getting better for development.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF

Also it looks like Some cloud cover is over the center.
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#250 Postby southerngale » Thu Jul 13, 2006 4:08 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUL 13 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE LEEWARD AND VIRGIN ISLANDS INTO THE
ADJACENT ATLANTIC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL
WAVE. PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.


DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...WESTERN CUBA...AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#251 Postby beachbum_al » Fri Jul 14, 2006 7:15 am

Is 96L still out there in the Carribean?

000
AXNT20 KNHC 141111
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE HAS REACHED THE EASTERN END OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 69W/70W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST
15 KT. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN NEAR 22N64W TO 16N72W. THE WAVE IS MOVING RIGHT THROUGH
THIS AREA. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA
AND IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N TO 25N BETWEEN 57W AND 68W.


Is this the wave that is/was 96L that they are talking about in the TWD today.
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#252 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jul 14, 2006 7:33 am

beachbum_al wrote:Is 96L still out there in the Carribean?

000
AXNT20 KNHC 141111
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE HAS REACHED THE EASTERN END OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 69W/70W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST
15 KT. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN NEAR 22N64W TO 16N72W. THE WAVE IS MOVING RIGHT THROUGH
THIS AREA. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA
AND IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N TO 25N BETWEEN 57W AND 68W.


Is this the wave that is/was 96L that they are talking about in the TWD today.


Yes and it looks terrible.
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#253 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 14, 2006 7:35 am

Thunder44 wrote:
beachbum_al wrote:Is 96L still out there in the Carribean?

000
AXNT20 KNHC 141111
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE HAS REACHED THE EASTERN END OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 69W/70W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST
15 KT. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN NEAR 22N64W TO 16N72W. THE WAVE IS MOVING RIGHT THROUGH
THIS AREA. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA
AND IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N TO 25N BETWEEN 57W AND 68W.


Is this the wave that is/was 96L that they are talking about in the TWD today.


Yes and it looks terrible.


The word "terrible" will be a complement according to the way it looks. It will be more like awful.
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#254 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jul 14, 2006 7:37 am

HURAKAN wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
beachbum_al wrote:Is 96L still out there in the Carribean?

000
AXNT20 KNHC 141111
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE HAS REACHED THE EASTERN END OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 69W/70W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST
15 KT. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN NEAR 22N64W TO 16N72W. THE WAVE IS MOVING RIGHT THROUGH
THIS AREA. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA
AND IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N TO 25N BETWEEN 57W AND 68W.


Is this the wave that is/was 96L that they are talking about in the TWD today.


Yes and it looks terrible.


The word "terrible" will be a complement according to the way it looks. It will be more like awful.


I think terrible is bad enough. I don't want to hurt its feelings. :D
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#255 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 14, 2006 7:41 am

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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

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#256 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 14, 2006 7:42 am

Thunder44 wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
beachbum_al wrote:Is 96L still out there in the Carribean?

000
AXNT20 KNHC 141111
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE HAS REACHED THE EASTERN END OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ALONG 69W/70W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST
15 KT. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN NEAR 22N64W TO 16N72W. THE WAVE IS MOVING RIGHT THROUGH
THIS AREA. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA
AND IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 13N TO 25N BETWEEN 57W AND 68W.


Is this the wave that is/was 96L that they are talking about in the TWD today.


Yes and it looks terrible.


The word "terrible" will be a complement according to the way it looks. It will be more like awful.


I think terrible is bad enough. I don't want to hurt its feelings. :D


:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#257 Postby drezee » Fri Jul 14, 2006 8:03 am

Watch the Northern Part of the wave that begot Invest 96L...
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#258 Postby beachbum_al » Fri Jul 14, 2006 8:33 am

And you know what happens when we start telling a wave that it looks terrible. It starts to pick up again.

So we need to watch the Northern part of the wave? Will do. Thanks drezee.
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#259 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Fri Jul 14, 2006 9:37 am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 140904
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS DIMINISHED.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB

96L is gone.
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#260 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 14, 2006 10:31 am

Another invest goes poof. Surprise, surprise.
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