Impressive system SW of Cape Verde Islands

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TheEuropean
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Impressive system SW of Cape Verde Islands

#1 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Jul 17, 2006 8:45 am

may be the first system which will cross the atlantic and may develop? I think we have to watch this system:

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#2 Postby skysummit » Mon Jul 17, 2006 8:48 am

Wow! That one is sweet! I wonder if it'll survive!?!?!?!
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#3 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jul 17, 2006 8:49 am

It's pretty far north too.
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#4 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jul 17, 2006 8:51 am

I've changed my mind, now that is the most organized thing I have seen in the Atlantic during the 06' Season.
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#5 Postby tgenius » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:01 am

That looks Wayyyy too organized to just be off the coast of Africa I think.
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#6 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:07 am

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wm7sht.GIF

Looking at this shear tendency map, shear should be somewhat of a problem if this wants to develop.
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#7 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:08 am

That looks very good. I think we are going to get something out of this, even if it's just a short-lived recurver, which would seem to be likely, given its apparent northerly position.
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#8 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:09 am

we are getting ever so closer to the true start of the CV season and we are nearing August - let's see what happens with this one
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#9 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:12 am

what's also interesting is that the thunderstorms blew up when the wave was off the African coast - the opposite of what has been happening...

this is the best looking blob off Africa we have seen. I believe it is embedded within the Monsoon trough so not sure how conditions look for it down the road (SAL, shear, etc)

Also, it will not recurve as the Azores high is firmly in control north of the system.
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#10 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:19 am

The power of a Wet MJO just amazes me.
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#11 Postby Weatherboy1 » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:28 am

It's definitely time to start turning our eyes to the east. You don't usually see lots of strong systems develop that far out until August. But it's certainly possible for something to form in the central or eastern Atlantic in mid-to-late July. So yes, definitely watching.
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#12 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:31 am

plenty of moisture for this wave to work with also. Check out the water vapor image. You don't see any oranges out there at all anymore indicating lots of moist air for it to work with

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

The only problem I see is that the SSTs are a bit cool at that lattitude still:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/atl_anal.gif
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#13 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:32 am

http://www.nwhhc.com/SAL/0716.html

TPW values are much higher near the COA as well
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#14 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:33 am

Derek Ortt wrote:http://www.nwhhc.com/SAL/0716.html

TPW values are much higher near the COA as well


Derek look at the SSTs out there. They only look marginally favorable for development at that lattitude.
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#15 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:35 am

28 C from WeatherUnderground...hmm...
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#16 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:38 am

If this continues on a western track without getting massacred by shear then it can move into warmer waters.
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#17 Postby stormchazer » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:42 am

I am holding off on interest tell we see if it persist. It looks great but could fizzle before passing the CVs. That does not mean that it would not be a player in the Western Atl. but it is just exiting Africa.
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#18 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:52 am

What a gorgeous little wave! I am holding back for now too though. I think. Maybe.
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#19 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:57 am

AnnularCane wrote:What a gorgeous little wave! I am holding back for now too though. I think. Maybe.


If it hasn't gone poof by this time tomorrow I'd say something could happen out of this wave.
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#20 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2006 9:58 am

If it persists,can we say 98L invest?
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