Use visable, it's more accuratestorms in NC wrote:It looks like it is trying to wrap around the center and fireing up a little? Or am I seeing things?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html
Tropical Storm Beryl
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ncdowneast wrote:on the contrary even tho its disorganized seems the system is consolidating and seems to have more overall convection even tho its not terrbily organized convection.
If you are looking for this thing to bomb out - it is highly unlikely it will anytime soon. Now could there be slow development into a depression? Yes but the key word here is WEAK and that this system is not currently forecasted to become anything major at this time. We should all be in stand-by mode and just monitor it but there is nothing to get concerned with at this time.
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For example, you can use this high-powered visible here: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=10 I like it anyways...Rainband wrote:Use visable, it's more accuratestorms in NC wrote:It looks like it is trying to wrap around the center and fireing up a little? Or am I seeing things?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html
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gatorcane wrote:ncdowneast wrote:on the contrary even tho its disorganized seems the system is consolidating and seems to have more overall convection even tho its not terrbily organized convection.
If you are looking for this thing to bomb out - it is highly unlikely it will anytime soon. Now could there be slow development into a depression? Yes but the key word here is WEAK and that this system is not currently forecasted to become anything major at this time. We should all be in stand-by mode and just monitor it but there is nothing to get concerned with at this time.
not looking for this to bomb out but having lived here my whole life i am fully aware of the power of the gulfstream.It ramped bertha up from 85 to 105 in just 1 advisory and it did bomb out Alex and if Gaston had more time he would have gotten worse too.Being aware of the potential fuel and what that can do i'm not thinking its going to bomb but always watchful just in case.
And of note Katrina originally was NOT forecast to become a hurricane before hitting the east coast of Florida but we all saw what happened!
Last edited by shaggy on Mon Jul 17, 2006 12:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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ncdowneast wrote:gatorcane wrote:ncdowneast wrote:on the contrary even tho its disorganized seems the system is consolidating and seems to have more overall convection even tho its not terrbily organized convection.
If you are looking for this thing to bomb out - it is highly unlikely it will anytime soon. Now could there be slow development into a depression? Yes but the key word here is WEAK and that this system is not currently forecasted to become anything major at this time. We should all be in stand-by mode and just monitor it but there is nothing to get concerned with at this time.
not looking for this to bomb out but having lived here my whole life i am fully aware of the power of the gulfstream.It ramped bertha up from 85 to 105 in just 1 advisory and it did bomb out Alex and if Gaston had more time he would have gotten worse too.Being aware of the potential fuel and what that can do i'm not thinking its going to bomb but always watchful just in case.
And of note Katrina originally was NOT forecast to become a hurricane before hitting the east coast of Florida but we all saw what happened!
I agree, we all know here in South Florida if Katrina had 24 more hours over the Gulfstream it would be a much different story here....
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Kennethb wrote:Still too early in the season for quick development.
the waters are warm and shear is not to bad so i am not saying this is going to become some crazy cat 3 or anything but just simply saying that the gulfstream is a powerful fuel just like the loop current in the gulf and if this was over the gulf then people would be screaming "watchout"
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ncdowneast wrote:Kennethb wrote:Still too early in the season for quick development.
the waters are warm and shear is not to bad so i am not saying this is going to become some crazy cat 3 or anything but just simply saying that the gulfstream is a powerful fuel just like the loop current in the gulf and if this was over the gulf then people would be screaming "watchout"
This likely would not do such, but it could become a tropical storm very quickly.
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curtadams wrote:ncdowneast wrote:on the contrary even tho its disorganized seems the system is consolidating and seems to have more overall convection even tho its not terrbily organized convection.
I disagree. I think the convection *is* terribly organized.
Nothing more can be expected at this point in time!!!
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I changed the big graphic to hypertext link to not have to scroll in the thread.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 97L
INITIAL TIME 12Z JUL 17
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 32.0 75.3 190./ 4.1
6 32.3 74.9 50./ 4.4
12 32.3 74.8 80./ .9
12z GFDL has it alive for only 12 hours.Also it has it crawling.
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 97L
INITIAL TIME 12Z JUL 17
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 32.0 75.3 190./ 4.1
6 32.3 74.9 50./ 4.4
12 32.3 74.8 80./ .9
12z GFDL has it alive for only 12 hours.Also it has it crawling.
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