Impressive system SW of Cape Verde Islands

Grease Monkey · #81 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:45 pm

and the way this season has been going, it will then start dieing off.

HurricaneHunter914 · #82 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:47 pm

Or "A tropical wave off the Coast of Africa is very organized and continues to show signs of organization. Conditions are favorable for development and a Tropical Depression could form over the next day or so."

#83 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:49 pm

wouldnt surprise me though if they say:

"a vigorous tropical wave xxxx miles from yy is showing scattered to moderate convection. Development, if any, will be slow to occur as it moves westward at 15-20mph."

HurricaneHunter914 · #84 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:53 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:and the way this season has been going, it will then start dieing off.

I doubt we should start writing this off, I mean unlike the last wave that had cyclonic turning this one has actually persisted for a longer time.

HurricaneHunter914 · #85 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Jul 17, 2006 11:25 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

The wave's "outerbands" are starting to show up in the Central Atlantic.

#86 Postby **TheEuropean** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:14 am

Here is an update (July 18th, 06 UTC):

No invest by NRL so far.

Thunder44 · #87 Postby **Thunder44** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 4:07 am

157
ABNT20 KNHC 180854
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH[/b]

#88 Postby **abajan** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 4:50 am

Shear ahead of it isn't as hostile as it has been in recent weeks:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

#89 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 6:53 am

THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY ALONG 31W IS RELOCATED
JUST S OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG 25W...BASED ON VIS
SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING AND COMPUTER MODELS. SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN
22W-25W.

8 AM Discussion from TPC.

#90 Postby **TampaFl** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 7:18 am

Cyclone, will there be another "monk e mail update from you like yesterday

Really enjoyed that :lol:

Robert

Tampa_God · #91 Postby **Tampa_God** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 9:56 am

The wave has lost most of the convention we have seen, but it does still have a nice circulation and thunderstorms should pop up again near the center. The wave is located near 27 W and 13 N.

SWFLA_CANE · #92 Postby **SWFLA_CANE** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 9:57 am

I was just about to say that, you beat me to it.

DESTRUCTION5 · #93 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:03 am

cycloneye wrote:If it persists,can we say 98L invest?

Looks as good as any this year...Luis your long over due for a PR hit..

HurricaneHunter914 · #94 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:28 am

I'm suprised it lasted this long, I think we might be seeing 98L once this can gain more convection and move into favorable conditions.

Tampa_God · #95 Postby **Tampa_God** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:40 am

At the look of it, the wave( Maybe 98L) does have some storms that have recently popped up trying to wrap around the system or maybe I am seeing things

boca · #96 Postby **boca** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:41 am

It still lives although it doesn't like like it did yesterday.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/avn-l.jpg

HurricaneMaster_PR · #97 Postby **HurricaneMaster_PR** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:44 am

The NHC does not forsee tropical cyclone development...

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO... LOCATED ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION THIS AFTERNOON TO PROVIDE
A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF ITS LOCATION AND STRENGTH.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS BETWEEN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BERMUDA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THE AREA AND
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY
HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY... AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS
UNLIKELY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

#98 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:26 pm

18:00z Full Disk

:uarrow:

Still is with some convection as it is now SSW of the Cape Verde Islands.

SWFLA_CANE · #99 Postby **SWFLA_CANE** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:12 pm

Looks a little better then it did at 12z. Looks like there is wave behind it that will leave Africa soon.

#100 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:13 pm

SWFLA_CANE wrote:Looks a little better then it did at 12z. Looks like there is wave behind it that will leave Africa soon.

Yes...and there is another behind that one too!

Impressive system SW of Cape Verde Islands

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