TS Beryl Recon Reports

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StormsAhead
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#81 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:57 pm

URNT11 KNHC 181854
97779 18454 30325 73800 02600 29011 22228 /0013
43010
RMK AF308 0102A CYCLONE OB 10

Surface: 1013mb; wind WNW at 10 knots
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#82 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:58 pm

ok well the NHC 2pm has the center north of that point... they are just SW of the center.. yes 20 miles next set of minobs will see some pressure drops
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#83 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:58 pm

URNT11 KNHC 181855
97779 18534 30328 73400 02600 27018 22228 /0012
43115
RMK AF308 0102A CYCLONE OB 11

Surface: 1012mb; wind NW at 15 knots
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#84 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:00 pm

and that is just outside the center .. so 1012..center 1010 I would say maybe 1009
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#85 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:02 pm

AF308 0102A CYCLONE HDOB 22 KNHC
1850. 3241N 07336W 00262 0007 286 011 222 222 012 00280 0000000000
1851 3242N 07334W 00261 0007 290 011 220 220 012 00279 0000000000
1851. 3243N 07333W 00262 0006 287 012 220 220 012 00279 0000000000
1852 3244N 07331W 00262 0005 285 012 220 220 013 00278 0000000000
1852. 3245N 07330W 00260 0004 283 014 226 218 014 00276 0000000000
1853 3246N 07328W 00263 0003 276 015 220 220 016 00277 0000000000
1853. 3247N 07327W 00262 0002 275 017 220 220 017 00275 0000000000
1854 3248N 07325W 00261 0001 273 018 222 222 018 00273 0000000000
1854. 3249N 07324W 00262 5000 268 018 220 220 018 00273 0000000000
1855 3250N 07323W 00262 5002 263 018 222 222 019 00271 0000000000
1855. 3252N 07321W 00262 5003 260 019 224 214 019 00270 0000000000
1856 3253N 07320W 00262 5004 257 020 220 220 020 00268 0000000000
1856. 3254N 07319W 00261 5006 255 022 220 220 022 00266 0000000000
1857 3256N 07318W 00263 5008 251 024 220 220 024 00266 0000000000
1857. 3258N 07318W 00261 5012 248 026 220 220 027 00260 0000000000
1858 3259N 07317W 00261 5016 245 028 220 220 028 00256 0000000000
1858. 3301N 07317W 00235 5023 244 030 216 216 030 00223 0000000000
1859 3302N 07317W 00186 5032 243 024 222 222 028 00164 0000000000
1859. 3304N 07318W 00181 5036 223 011 226 226 017 00157 0000000000
1900 3306N 07318W 00205 5033 155 003 222 222 004 00184 0000000000

Wind shift at 33.1N 73.3W
Last edited by StormsAhead on Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:05 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#86 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:03 pm

30 kts so far
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#87 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:06 pm

USAF High Density Observations
Storm Name: CYCLONE (02L)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 22
Recon Position: 210 mi SE of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina

01: 18:50:30; 32.7°N 73.6°W; PA: 860ft; D-Val: 23ft; Wnd: WNW (286°) @ 13mph (Max: 14mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 919ft
02: 18:51:00; 32.7°N 73.6°W; PA: 856ft; D-Val: 23ft; Wnd: WNW (290°) @ 13mph (Max: 14mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 915ft
03: 18:51:30; 32.7°N 73.6°W; PA: 860ft; D-Val: 20ft; Wnd: WNW (287°) @ 14mph (Max: 14mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 915ft
04: 18:52:00; 32.7°N 73.5°W; PA: 860ft; D-Val: 16ft; Wnd: WNW (285°) @ 14mph (Max: 15mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 912ft
05: 18:52:30; 32.8°N 73.5°W; PA: 853ft; D-Val: 13ft; Wnd: WNW (283°) @ 16mph (Max: 16mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 906ft
06: 18:53:00; 32.8°N 73.5°W; PA: 863ft; D-Val: 10ft; Wnd: W (276°) @ 17mph (Max: 18mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 909ft
07: 18:53:30; 32.8°N 73.5°W; PA: 860ft; D-Val: 7ft; Wnd: W (275°) @ 20mph (Max: 20mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 902ft
08: 18:54:00; 32.8°N 73.4°W; PA: 856ft; D-Val: 3ft; Wnd: W (273°) @ 21mph (Max: 21mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 896ft
09: 18:54:30; 32.8°N 73.4°W; PA: 860ft; D-Val: 0 ft; Wnd: W (268°) @ 21mph (Max: 21mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 896ft
10: 18:55:00; 32.8°N 73.4°W; PA: 860ft; D-Val: -7 ft; Wnd: W (263°) @ 21mph (Max: 22mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 889ft
11: 18:55:30; 32.9°N 73.4°W; PA: 860ft; D-Val: -10 ft; Wnd: W (260°) @ 22mph (Max: 22mph); T: 72F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 886ft
12: 18:56:00; 32.9°N 73.3°W; PA: 860ft; D-Val: -13 ft; Wnd: WSW (257°) @ 23mph (Max: 23mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 879ft
13: 18:56:30; 32.9°N 73.3°W; PA: 856ft; D-Val: -20 ft; Wnd: WSW (255°) @ 25mph (Max: 25mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 873ft
14: 18:57:00; 32.9°N 73.3°W; PA: 863ft; D-Val: -26 ft; Wnd: WSW (251°) @ 28mph (Max: 28mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 873ft
15: 18:57:30; 33°N 73.3°W; PA: 856ft; D-Val: -39 ft; Wnd: WSW (248°) @ 30mph (Max: 31mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 853ft
16: 18:58:00; 33°N 73.3°W; PA: 856ft; D-Val: -52 ft; Wnd: WSW (245°) @ 32mph (Max: 32mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 840ft
17: 18:58:30; 33°N 73.3°W; PA: 771ft; D-Val: -75 ft; Wnd: WSW (244°) @ 35mph (Max: 35mph); T: 71F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 732ft
18: 18:59:00; 33°N 73.3°W; PA: 610ft; D-Val: -105 ft; Wnd: WSW (243°) @ 28mph (Max: 32mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 538ft
19: 18:59:30; 33.1°N 73.3°W; PA: 594ft; D-Val: -118 ft; Wnd: SW (223°) @ 13mph (Max: 20mph); T: 73F; D: 73F; Radar Alt: 515ft
20: 19:00:00; 33.1°N 73.3°W; PA: 673ft; D-Val: -108 ft; Wnd: SSE (155°) @ 3mph (Max: 5mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 604ft
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#88 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:07 pm

Aric Dunn,please let the data flow into this thread without interruptions.There is a discussion thread about the recon data where you can post all you want about this mission.
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#89 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:07 pm

last minob 3mph they went threw the center
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#90 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:08 pm

ok
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#91 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:08 pm

URNT11 KNHC 181905
97779 19034 30332 73200 02000 12016 23238 /0008
41320
RMK AF308 0102A CYCLONE OB 12

1008mb; wind SE at 20 knots
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#92 Postby WindRunner » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:09 pm

Image

Vortex shortly.
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#93 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:12 pm

507
WHXX01 KWBC 181911
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM TWO (AL022006) ON 20060718 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060718 1800 060719 0600 060719 1800 060720 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 32.9N 73.3W 33.6N 73.9W 34.6N 74.4W 35.7N 74.6W
BAMM 32.9N 73.3W 33.6N 74.0W 34.6N 74.5W 35.4N 74.7W
A98E 32.9N 73.3W 34.1N 73.2W 35.5N 72.6W 36.6N 71.4W
LBAR 32.9N 73.3W 33.9N 73.4W 35.4N 73.4W 37.0N 72.8W
SHIP 35KTS 41KTS 47KTS 50KTS
DSHP 35KTS 41KTS 47KTS 50KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060720 1800 060721 1800 060722 1800 060723 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 36.4N 74.7W 38.3N 72.3W 40.9N 61.3W 39.6N 47.9W
BAMM 36.4N 74.8W 38.9N 71.0W 42.0N 58.9W 41.8N 43.2W
A98E 37.8N 69.5W 40.7N 63.1W 43.2N 50.6W 39.1N 35.9W
LBAR 38.9N 71.7W 43.3N 65.1W 47.4N 52.0W .0N .0W
SHIP 50KTS 50KTS 44KTS 34KTS
DSHP 50KTS 50KTS 44KTS 34KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 32.9N LONCUR = 73.3W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 31.7N LONM12 = 73.4W DIRM12 = 19DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 31.1N LONM24 = 74.4W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 40NM RD34SE = 40NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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#94 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:12 pm

TROPICAL STORM BERYL!!!!
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#95 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:13 pm

It's about time.
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#96 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:13 pm

AF308 0102A CYCLONE HDOB 23 KNHC
1900. 3307N 07318W 00198 5032 077 003 228 228 003 00177 0000000000
1901 3308N 07318W 00203 5032 172 001 228 228 002 00182 0000000000
1901. 3310N 07316W 00198 5033 198 001 228 228 002 00177 0000000000
1902 3311N 07315W 00201 5034 014 001 226 226 001 00178 0000000000
1902. 3312N 07314W 00200 5037 122 003 226 226 004 00174 0000000000
1903 3313N 07312W 00199 5038 110 008 228 228 012 00171 0000000000
1903. 3314N 07311W 00201 5038 127 020 228 228 025 00175 0000000000
1904 3315N 07310W 00200 5034 136 027 226 226 028 00177 0000000000
1904. 3316N 07309W 00201 5030 142 028 226 226 029 00182 0000000000
1905 3318N 07308W 00199 5027 145 028 226 226 028 00184 0000000000
1905. 3319N 07307W 00201 5024 140 029 222 222 029 00188 0000000000
1906 3320N 07309W 00200 5025 130 026 220 220 027 00186 0000000000
1906. 3320N 07311W 00200 5027 119 026 224 224 027 00183 0000000000
1907 3320N 07313W 00199 5028 111 024 226 226 025 00182 0000000000
1907. 3320N 07315W 00201 5029 096 024 218 218 027 00183 0000000000
1908 3320N 07317W 00200 5028 077 029 214 214 030 00183 0000000000
1908. 3320N 07320W 00199 5026 070 031 220 220 032 00185 0000000000
1909 3320N 07322W 00199 5024 064 030 218 218 031 00187 0000000000
1909. 3320N 07324W 00199 5021 051 029 216 216 030 00190 0000000000
1910 3320N 07326W 00201 5018 048 030 218 218 030 00195 0000000000
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#97 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:14 pm

um ok .. recon still no tropical storm force winds only

31 kts 1909 3320N 07322W 00199 5024 064 030 218 218 031 00187 0000000000
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#98 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:14 pm

URNT11 KNHC 181911
97779 19084 30333 73408 02000 07030 22228 /0010
40325
RMK AF308 0102A CYCLONE OB 13

Surface: 1010mb; wind NE at 25 knots
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#99 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:16 pm

sorry 32kts

1908. 3320N 07320W 00199 5026 070 031 220 220 032 00185 0000000000
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#100 Postby WindRunner » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:16 pm

Image

Now on a westward jog . . . not sure why.
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