TS Beryl Recon Reports

#101 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:17 pm

Why is everyone saying Beryl??? Recon hasn't found TS winds just yet. Maybe when they get into the east side they will.

Noles2006 · #102 Postby **Noles2006** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:19 pm

Because the latest models initialized under the header of "Tropical Storm Two"...

Thunder44 · #103 Postby **Thunder44** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:20 pm

WindRunner wrote:[img][/img]

Now on a westward jog . . . not sure why.

They got to close off a center first.

#104 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:22 pm

Noles2006 wrote:Because the latest models initialized under the header of "Tropical Storm Two"...

Correct....the latest models initialized as a TS, however, it's not official yet. Recon hasn't found TS winds yet.

#105 Postby **drezee** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:25 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
WindRunner wrote:[img][/img]

Now on a westward jog . . . not sure why.

They got to close off a center first.

IMO, the center is closed off from the eariler obs, they are trying to see how far the strongest winds extend on the west side...since they believe the center won't pass over land. It will help with the warnings or lack there of if they fell it won't come close enough. Take a look at the models none on this side of 75 now...

Noles2006 · #106 Postby **Noles2006** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:25 pm

Yes, I was just saying that's why everyone else is calling it Beryl... I know to hold off... hopefully this will become official soon enough, though! :wink:

WindRunner · #107 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:26 pm

Went in for another center fix it appears . . .

Thunder44 · #108 Postby **Thunder44** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:35 pm

472
SXXX50 KNHC 181930
AF308 0102A CYCLONE HDOB 25 KNHC
1920. 3315N 07321W 00200 5031 061 009 226 226 010 00180 0000000000
1921 3316N 07322W 00200 5030 057 012 226 226 013 00181 0000000000
1921. 3317N 07323W 00198 5027 042 021 222 222 022 00182 0000000000
1922 3318N 07325W 00202 5025 043 024 220 220 025 00188 0000000000
1922. 3319N 07326W 00199 5022 036 025 220 220 026 00188 0000000000
1923 3320N 07327W 00200 5019 033 027 218 218 027 00191 0000000000
1923. 3321N 07328W 00201 5016 037 024 220 220 025 00196 0000000000
1924 3322N 07330W 00200 5014 043 021 220 220 022 00197 0000000000
1924. 3323N 07331W 00201 5012 038 021 218 218 027 00200 0000000000
1925 3324N 07332W 00198 5010 035 026 224 224 026 00199 0000000000
1925. 3325N 07334W 00200 5008 036 025 224 224 026 00203 0000000000
1926 3326N 07335W 00201 5006 039 025 226 226 026 00206 0000000000
1926. 3327N 07336W 00198 5005 041 026 224 224 026 00204 0000000000
1927 3328N 07338W 00210 5004 049 026 224 224 027 00217 0000000000
1927. 3329N 07339W 00250 5001 054 026 222 222 027 00260 0000000000
1928 3330N 07340W 00263 0001 057 027 222 218 027 00275 0000000000
1928. 3332N 07342W 00262 0002 058 027 220 220 028 00275 0000000000
1929 3333N 07343W 00261 0003 058 027 220 220 028 00275 0000000000
1929. 3334N 07344W 00262 0006 053 024 218 218 026 00279 0000000000
1930 3335N 07346W 00260 0007 044 023 218 218 023 00278 0000000000

WindRunner · #109 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:37 pm

Headed out NW, probably for the exact reason dreeze mentioned.

StormsAhead · #110 Postby **StormsAhead** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:47 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 181940
AF308 0102A CYCLONE HDOB 26 KNHC
1930. 3336N 07347W 00262 0007 043 022 220 220 022 00281 0000000000
1931 3337N 07348W 00262 0009 043 022 218 218 023 00282 0000000000
1931. 3338N 07350W 00261 0009 048 022 222 222 023 00281 0000000000
1932 3339N 07351W 00263 0010 053 021 220 220 021 00284 0000000000
1932. 3340N 07353W 00262 0010 055 021 220 220 022 00283 0000000000
1933 3341N 07354W 00261 0011 059 022 222 220 022 00284 0000000000
1933. 3342N 07355W 00263 0012 059 020 220 220 022 00286 0000000000
1934 3343N 07357W 00260 0013 058 019 220 220 020 00284 0000000000
1934. 3344N 07358W 00262 0014 057 018 220 220 018 00287 0000000000
1935 3345N 07359W 00261 0015 059 018 220 220 018 00287 0000000000
1935. 3347N 07401W 00262 0016 061 018 220 220 018 00289 0000000000
1936 3348N 07402W 00262 0016 062 017 222 212 018 00288 0000000000
1936. 3349N 07404W 00260 0016 062 017 222 214 018 00287 0000000000
1937 3350N 07405W 00263 0017 065 017 220 220 017 00291 0000000000
1937. 3351N 07406W 00262 0018 066 017 220 220 017 00290 0000000000
1938 3352N 07408W 00262 0018 067 016 220 220 016 00291 0000000000
1938. 3353N 07409W 00261 0019 065 015 220 220 015 00291 0000000000
1939 3354N 07411W 00261 0019 068 015 220 220 015 00292 0000000000
1939. 3354N 07412W 00265 0019 068 015 224 210 015 00295 0000000000
1940 3353N 07413W 00260 0019 060 014 222 212 014 00290 0000000000

WindRunner · #111 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:47 pm

StormsAhead · #112 Postby **StormsAhead** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:49 pm

URNT11 KNHC 181945
97779 19394 30339 74200 02600 06014 22212 /0014
40610
RMK AF308 0102A CYCLONE OB 15

Surface: 1014mb; wind ENE at 10 knots

StormsAhead · #113 Postby **StormsAhead** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:50 pm

URNT12 KNHC 181945
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/19:15:40Z
B. 33 deg 08 min N
073 deg 17 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 30 kt
E. 180 deg 008 nm
F. 070 deg 032 kt
G. 340 deg 013 nm
H. EXTRAP 1008 mb
I. 22 C/ 200 m
J. 23 C/ 199 m
K. 23 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1234 / 1
O. 0.05 / 5 nm
P. AF308 0102A CYCLONE OB 14
MAX FL WIND 32 KT NW QUAD 19:08:20 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #114 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:52 pm

32 knots=25.8 knots at the surface something like that...So no tropical storm.

StormsAhead · #115 Postby **StormsAhead** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:53 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 181950
AF308 0102A CYCLONE HDOB 27 KNHC
1940. 3351N 07413W 00261 0018 052 013 220 220 013 00291 0000000000
1941 3350N 07413W 00262 0018 044 013 220 220 013 00291 0000000000
1941. 3348N 07413W 00261 0018 041 012 220 220 012 00291 0000000000
1942 3347N 07413W 00252 0017 042 012 222 222 012 00280 0000000000
1942. 3345N 07413W 00213 0015 045 012 226 222 012 00240 0000000000
1943 3343N 07413W 00186 0013 040 012 228 226 012 00210 0000000000
1943. 3342N 07413W 00171 0012 040 013 230 226 013 00195 0000000000
1944 3340N 07413W 00170 0012 040 014 230 226 014 00193 0000000000
1944. 3339N 07413W 00170 0011 037 013 230 226 014 00193 0000000000
1945 3337N 07413W 00169 0011 033 014 230 228 014 00192 0000000000
1945. 3335N 07413W 00173 0011 031 013 228 228 013 00195 0000000000
1946 3334N 07412W 00170 0010 031 013 230 226 014 00191 0000000000
1946. 3332N 07412W 00168 0010 029 014 230 226 014 00189 0000000000
1947 3330N 07412W 00171 0009 027 013 230 226 013 00191 0000000000
1947. 3329N 07412W 00173 0009 022 013 230 226 014 00193 0000000000
1948 3327N 07412W 00169 0008 018 014 230 226 014 00188 0000000000
1948. 3325N 07412W 00170 0008 014 013 230 224 014 00189 0000000000
1949 3324N 07411W 00170 0007 010 014 230 224 014 00189 0000000000
1949. 3322N 07411W 00170 0007 008 013 230 226 013 00188 0000000000
1950 3321N 07411W 00169 0007 002 013 230 224 013 00187 0000000000

#116 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:53 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:32 knots=25.8 knots at the surface something like that...So no tropical storm.

We should expect stronger winds in the NE QUADRANT.

Grease Monkey · #117 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:55 pm

I guess it didn't hit any warm enough pockets.

WindRunner · #118 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:56 pm

Southward leg through a relatively clear and calm western semicircle.

StormsAhead · #119 Postby **StormsAhead** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 3:04 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 182000
AF308 0102A CYCLONE HDOB 28 KNHC
1950. 3319N 07411W 00171 0006 001 013 230 226 013 00188 0000000000
1951 3317N 07411W 00171 0006 356 013 230 226 013 00188 0000000000
1951. 3316N 07411W 00170 0006 354 012 230 224 013 00187 0000000000
1952 3314N 07411W 00170 0006 351 012 230 222 012 00187 0000000000
1952. 3312N 07410W 00169 0006 352 012 230 224 013 00186 0000000000
1953 3311N 07410W 00171 0006 349 012 230 230 013 00188 0000000000
1953. 3309N 07410W 00171 0006 347 012 230 228 013 00188 0000000000
1954 3307N 07410W 00169 0006 345 012 230 230 013 00186 0000000000
1954. 3306N 07410W 00171 0006 343 012 230 230 012 00187 0000000000
1955 3304N 07410W 00171 0005 341 012 230 230 012 00187 0000000000
1955. 3303N 07410W 00170 0005 340 012 230 230 012 00186 0000000000
1956 3301N 07409W 00169 0006 335 011 230 230 012 00186 0000000000
1956. 3259N 07409W 00172 0006 329 012 228 228 012 00189 0000000000
1957 3258N 07409W 00169 0006 326 012 230 230 012 00186 0000000000
1957. 3256N 07409W 00170 0006 325 012 230 230 012 00187 0000000000
1958 3254N 07409W 00172 0006 322 012 230 228 013 00189 0000000000
1958. 3253N 07409W 00169 0006 322 013 230 220 013 00186 0000000000
1959 3251N 07409W 00169 0006 319 012 230 224 013 00186 0000000000
1959. 3250N 07409W 00172 0006 321 012 230 228 012 00189 0000000000
2000 3248N 07408W 00168 0006 317 011 228 228 012 00185 0000000000

WindRunner · #120 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 3:06 pm

TS Beryl Recon Reports

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