TS Beryl Recon Discussion Thread

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CrazyC83
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#41 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:39 pm

30 knot surface winds is the best we have now. But we are only in the SW quadrant - normally the weakest part.
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#42 Postby StormsAhead » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:42 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:30 knot surface winds is the best we have now. But we are only in the SW quadrant - normally the weakest part.


Actually this is 850mb so the reduction is 80%. 35 knots flight-level is 28 knots at the surface.
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#43 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:44 pm

how low do you guys think the pressure will be when it gets to the center? I am going to say 1002mb
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#44 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:45 pm

I'd say 1004mb.
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#45 Postby Trugunzn » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:45 pm

995 mb
Last edited by Trugunzn on Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#46 Postby Ivan14 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:46 pm

1000
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#47 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:46 pm

999mb
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#48 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:46 pm

823mb
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#49 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:46 pm

998mb
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#50 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:47 pm

1001

Vortex Data Message shortly.
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#51 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:47 pm

hahahahahahaha just kidding! :lol:
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#52 Postby bkdelong » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:50 pm

So the biggest gust appears to be 56kts at 35.35N, 73.49W
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#53 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:50 pm

cycloneye wrote:1001

Vortex Data Message shortly.


I didn't see a wind shift. But we will probably get one in a few mins.
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#54 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:51 pm

bkdelong wrote:So the biggest gust appears to be 56kts at 35.35N, 73.49W


That's just in the SW quad, strongest winds have been in the NE Quad.
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#55 Postby StormsAhead » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:54 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 191850
AF309 0302A BERYL HDOB 29 KNHC
1840 3612N 07338W 01526 0011 044 018 168 168 019 01579 0000000000
1840. 3613N 07340W 01522 0013 036 020 154 154 021 01577 0000000000
1841 3614N 07341W 01526 0014 037 020 152 152 021 01583 0000000000
1841. 3615N 07343W 01527 0019 039 024 154 154 027 01588 0000000000
1842 3616N 07344W 01518 0020 030 027 152 152 027 01580 0000000000
1842. 3617N 07346W 01525 0023 035 028 146 146 030 01591 0000000000
1843 3618N 07347W 01524 0024 033 029 124 124 034 01590 0000000000
1843. 3619N 07349W 01528 0025 034 029 126 126 031 01596 0000000000
1844 3620N 07350W 01522 0029 029 033 134 134 036 01594 0000000000
1844. 3621N 07351W 01526 0032 028 041 130 130 045 01601 0000000000
1845 3622N 07353W 01521 0036 019 044 130 130 045 01599 0000000000
1845. 3623N 07354W 01524 0037 011 047 124 124 048 01604 0000000000
1846 3624N 07355W 01521 0040 009 049 124 124 052 01604 0000000000
1846. 3625N 07357W 01527 0042 011 050 128 128 051 01612 0000000000
1847 3626N 07358W 01523 0044 013 047 136 136 049 01610 0000000000
1847. 3627N 07359W 01526 0045 014 046 136 136 046 01614 0000000000
1848 3628N 07401W 01523 0047 016 047 144 142 047 01613 0000000000
1848. 3629N 07402W 01524 0049 018 046 150 134 047 01616 0000000000
1849 3630N 07403W 01523 0052 021 047 150 128 047 01618 0000000000
1849. 3631N 07405W 01524 0054 022 047 150 126 048 01621 0000000000

NW quad-nothing higher yet
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#56 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:55 pm

52kts in NW Quad is higher they what they reported this morning from that Quad.
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#57 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 1:59 pm

45 knots seems to be the surface speed at this point. We have a 50 mph storm at least now...
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#58 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 19, 2006 2:09 pm

Still waiting for the first vortex message from that first pass thru the SW Quad.
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#59 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 2:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:Still waiting for the first vortex message from that first pass thru the SW Quad.


They seem to just flown over to the NW Quad. I think they are trying to sample TS force winds in the west of side of the storm first, so they know if and where to issue new TS watches in Southern New England.
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#60 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 2:15 pm

According to the data found so far, Beryl is a TD.
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