Tropical Storm Beryl

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conestogo_flood
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#721 Postby conestogo_flood » Wed Jul 19, 2006 6:44 pm

We've had more discussion on tropical waves...
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terstorm1012
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#722 Postby terstorm1012 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 6:57 pm

NNE turn underway looks like according to the 8pm advisory...hopefully a grazing of the coast and then it misses hybridstorm's area too
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Trugunzn
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#723 Postby Trugunzn » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:16 pm

anybody check out the new gfs that came out.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation
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#724 Postby harmclan » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:18 pm

Beryl should continue to strengthen for the next 4-5 hours as it's crossing the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. However, weakening will occur early Thursday as Beryl encounters an area of high wind shear and begins to deal with cooler SST's.

Beryl should continue it's northward track through the rest of today, speeding up a bit before making a northeastern turn on Thursday due to an approaching trough of low pressure from the west. The intensity of this trough will be the deciding factor of how close Beryl comes to the New England coastline. Possible landfall some where near Long Island or Cape Cod on Friday is still not out of the question, but the NHC track shows Tropical Storm Beryl turning just south of New England.
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#725 Postby abryant.ma » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:19 pm

we'll see soon enough!
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Extremeweatherguy
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#726 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:20 pm

looks like Beryl is strengthening right now. Wouldn't be surprised to see Beryl become a hurricane before landfall.
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#727 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:20 pm

right thru boston
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SouthFloridawx
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#728 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:21 pm

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Extremeweatherguy
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#729 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:23 pm

this seems like such a weird place for a storm to be exploding like this! May be this is a sign of things to come this season.. :eek:
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Trugunzn
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#730 Postby Trugunzn » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:25 pm

Trugunzn wrote:anybody check out the new gfs that came out.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation


It shows like a weak huricane hitting long Island
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#731 Postby wxwatcher91 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:26 pm

woohoo!!!

will we get a whole season of New England hurricanes??!!!! :D :D :D
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#732 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:27 pm

Wow nice cdo Beryl...But recon has not changed???? Beryl 2 is starting to show Beryl 1!
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AnnularCane
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#733 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:31 pm

Beryl must be going nuts. She seems to have been exploding repeatedly all day. She is over the GS right now, right?
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#734 Postby Cyclenall » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:33 pm

Beryl is going crazy! Nice looking storm. The GFS does show a landfall.
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Extremeweatherguy
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#735 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:33 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rgb.html

Look at Beryl go... wow

Image
I think, based on this image, that Baryl is on the edge of Hurricane intensity.
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#736 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:34 pm

I will have to look at the data it looks to be at least 55 to 60 knots.
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HURAKAN
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#737 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:34 pm

So far this season has provide us we two good looking storms, nothing wimpy!!!
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#738 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:37 pm

HURAKAN wrote:So far this season has provide us we two good looking storms, nothing wimpy!!!
That is why I am scarred about what August through October will bring. I have a feeling that we will see an overall less active season than 2005, but a similar landfall season.

BTW: It is also interesting to note that both of these first 2 storms will have affected land.
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#739 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:38 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote:woohoo!!!

will we get a whole season of New England hurricanes??!!!! :D :D :D


Please dont say that...my 86 year old grandma lives in central long island, right where the GFS takes a cat 1 beryl into landfall...this could be a serious situation for NE
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#740 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:40 pm

the GFS shows nothing even remotely close to a hurricane hitting New England. I really do not understand where that conclusion was arrived at. GFS shows little change in intensity before landfall... and the latest recon data indicates that we have a 45KT storm now as the winds were weaker than the previous pass, so this is not intensifying and has likely peaked
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