Beryl=Local and NHC Advisories

[cycloneye]

WTNT32 KNHC 202346
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
800 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

...BERYL CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM PLYMOUTH TO WOODS HOLE...INCLUDING CAPE
COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF WOODS HOLE
MASSACHUSETTS WESTWARD TO NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT...AND FOR EASTERN
LONG ISLAND EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST OR ABOUT 135
MILES...215 KM...SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...BERYL WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER NANTUCKET ISLAND AND
SOUTHEASTERN CAPE COD EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
BERYL.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...39.8 N...71.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN

[cycloneye]

402
WTNT32 KNHC 210244
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
1100 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

...BERYL HEADING TOWARD EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM PLYMOUTH TO WOODS HOLE...INCLUDING CAPE
COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF WOODS HOLE
MASSACHUSETTS WESTWARD TO NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT...AND FOR EASTERN
LONG ISLAND EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
BERYL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY THIS TIME
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION
WITH BERYL.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...40.2 N...71.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN


010
WTNT42 KNHC 210242
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
1100 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION HAS BEEN DIMINISHING
AND SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE STORM. DESPITE
BERYL'S RAGGED APPEARANCE... THE AIRCRAFT MEASURED 54 KT FROM 850
MB AT 2314 UTC... WHICH EQUATES TO ROUGHLY 45 KT AT THE SURFACE
USING STANDARD REDUCTION FACTORS. LOW-LEVEL WINDS FROM A DROPSONDE
VERY NEAR THAT LOCATION IN THE MAXIMUM WIND BAND ALSO SUPPORTED
SURFACE WINDS OF ABOUT 45 KT... A LITTLE SURPRISING GIVEN THE LACK
OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THAT AREA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN
45 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. SLOW WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE
CYCLONE MOVES OVER COLD WATERS LESS THAN 22C AND GENERALLY
INCREASING SHEAR. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN A
DAY OR SO DUE TO THE ABOVE FACTORS.

BERYL IS MOVING 040/11...ABOUT THE SAME AS BEFORE. ON
THIS HEADING BERYL WILL BE PASSING VERY NEAR NANTUCKET AND
SOUTHEASTERN CAPE COD IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. INCREASING
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO ACCELERATE
NORTHEASTWARD AFTER IT DEPARTS SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS WELL-CLUSTERED ON THE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK SOLUTION AND
LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE FORECAST TRACK. WIND RADII BEYOND 12
HOURS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED IN ACCORDANCE WITH GLOBAL MODELS SHOWING
MOST OF THE WIND ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT
OF BERYL.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 21/0300Z 40.2N 71.3W 45 KT
12HR VT 21/1200Z 41.9N 69.0W 40 KT
24HR VT 22/0000Z 44.8N 64.3W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 22/1200Z 47.5N 58.5W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 23/0000Z...ABSORBED

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN

[JonathanBelles]

000
WTNT22 KNHC 210243
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
0300 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM PLYMOUTH TO WOODS HOLE...INCLUDING CAPE
COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF WOODS HOLE
MASSACHUSETTS WESTWARD TO NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT...AND FOR EASTERN
LONG ISLAND EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 71.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 71.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.8N 71.8W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.9N 69.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 44.8N 64.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 47.5N 58.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N 71.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
200 AM EDT FRI JUL 21 2006

...CENTER OF BERYL APPROACHING NANTUCKET ISLAND...TROPICAL STORM
WATCH DISCONTINUED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM PLYMOUTH TO WOODS HOLE...INCLUDING CAPE
COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED WEST
OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT...AND FOR LONG
ISLAND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25
MILES...45 KM...SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
BERYL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY THIS TIME
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NANTUCKET JUST REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 41 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION
WITH BERYL.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...41.0 N...70.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Coredesat]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 210849
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 AM EDT FRI JUL 21 2006

...CENTER OF BERYL PASSES OVER NANTUCKET...WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR
THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING CAPE COD...MARTHA'S
VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES... 55 KM...NORTHEAST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS AND ABOUT 365
MILES...590 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED TODAY. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF BERYL NEAR OR
OVER NOVA SCOTIA TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS BERYL LOSES TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 44008 RECENTLY REPORTED 10-MINUTE
AVERAGE WINDS OF 41 MPH WITH A GUST TO 56 MPH.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY BOTH AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NANTUCKET ISLAND IS 1001 MB...29.56
INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS SHOULD DIMINISH
TODAY.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NOVA SCOTIA
IN ASSOCIATION WITH BERYL.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...41.7 N...69.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Coredesat]

000
WTNT42 KNHC 210857
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 AM EDT FRI JUL 21 2006

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT BERYL IS A SHEARED TROPICAL CYCLONE
THIS MORNING...WITH THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED TO A FEW
BANDS IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT MEASURED 67-KT WINDS AT 850 MB IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
QUADRANT. HOWEVER...COMPARISON OF THE AIRCRAFT WINDS WITH SURFACE
DATA FROM NANTUCKET AND NEARBY NOAA BUOYS SUGGESTS THAT ONLY 50-60
PERCENT OF THE FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS ARE OCCURRING AT THE SURFACE.
THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AND THE OVERALL LACK
OF CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS BASED MAINLY ON A
42-KT DROPSONDE WIND JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
QUADRANT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/16. BERYL IS ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD
IN DEEP-LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
EASTWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS MOTION TREND
SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CYCLONE'S LIFE. THE TRACK
GUIDANCE...PARTICULARLY THE CONSENSUS MODELS...HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE
TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. THEREFORE... THE NEW FORECAST
TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT AS WELL...ABOUT HALFWAY
BETWEEN THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND THE CONSENSUS MODELS.

THE AIRCRAFT DATA SUGGESTS THAT BERYL IS STARTING EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE STORM SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT BECOMES
EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HR...THEN IT SHOULD GET
ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 21/0900Z 41.7N 69.7W 45 KT
12HR VT 21/1800Z 43.7N 66.6W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 22/0600Z 46.7N 61.5W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 22/1800Z 49.5N 55.5W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 23/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

WTNT32 KNHC 211438
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
1100 AM EDT FRI JUL 21 2006

...BERYL BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.4 WEST OR ABOUT 5095
MILES...8195 KM...NORTHWEST OF AND ABOUT 215 MILES...345 KM...
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
TRACK WILL BRING THE CYCLONE ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NOVA SCOTIA
IN ASSOCIATION WITH BERYL.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...43.1 N...67.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

WWWW


WTNT42 KNHC 211438
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
1100 AM EDT FRI JUL 21 2006

THE LIMITED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH BERYL IS BECOMING
DETACHED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CENTER AS THE CYCLONE ACQUIRES
EXTRATROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. SINCE THE CENTER IS BECOMING
ELONGATED THE INITIAL MOTION IS UNCERTAIN BUT BEST ESTIMATE IS 045
DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS. BERYL SHOULD INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS NOVA SCOTIA TODAY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
FOR WEATHER DETAILS IN NOVA SCOTIA SEE STATEMENTS FROM ENVIRONMENTAL
CANADA.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON BERYL. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 21/1500Z 43.1N 67.4W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 22/0000Z 45.0N 64.5W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 22/1200Z 48.0N 59.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 23/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
WWWW

RIP to Beryl.See you in 2012.

[CrazyC83]

Slow and painful death. Not much left to it; it is no so much extratropical as it has dissipated.

[HURAKAN]

SEE YOU IN 2012!!!

[CrazyC83]

5 Beryls and never a hurricane.

[AnnularCane]

Take care, little one. Have fun in Canada. Well, not TOO much fun.

[CrazyC83]

Take care, little one. Have fun in Canada. Well, not TOO much fun.

There isn't much left to have fun with; it got sheared off so much. Much of what was Beryl is now in the cold front behind it.

[tropicana]

POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 PM ADT
FRIDAY 21 JULY 2006.

...POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL HITTING MARITIMES...

AT 3.00 PM ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 43.8 N AND LONGITUDE 66.4 W... ABOUT 15 MILES
WEST OF YARMOUTH, NOVA SCOTIA . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 45MPH... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 998 MB.
BERYL IS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 27MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO 2PM ADT INCLUDE 59 MM AT YARMOUTH... 48 MM
AT BRIER ISLAND ... AND A LOCAL REPORT OF 45 MM FROM FREDERICTON
IN 2 HOURS THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WIND REPORTED WAS 96 KM/H OR 60MPH AT BACCARO POINT
NOVA SCOTIA.

THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE IS MAINTAINING RAINFALL
WARNINGS AHEAD OF THE TRACK OF BERYL... NAMELY THROUGH MUCH OF
MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA AND SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK. THE BACK EDGE OF
THE HEAVY RAIN HAS REACHED WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA AND RAIN WARNINGS
WILL BE ENDED IN THOSE AREAS. AS OF FORECAST TIME THE ASPC WAS
CONSIDERING RAINFALL WARNINGS FOR PEI BUT THEY HAVE NOT YET BEEN
ISSUED. WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SHELBURNE COUNTY OF NOVA
SCOTIA WITH GUSTS TO 90 KM/H ESPECIALLY IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS.
GUSTS TO 80 KM/H ARE EXPECTED AS FAR EAST AS HALIFAX.

GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR REGIONS SOUTH OF THE TRACK OF THE
LOW . MAXIMUM SEA STATE NEAR 5 METERS IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE TRACK. MODERATELY ROUGH SURF IS EXPECTED
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF SOUTHWEST NOVA SCOTIA TONIGHT.

CONVECTION HAS MAINTAINED ITSELF MOSTLY TO THE IMMEDIATE NORTHEAST
OF THE CENTRE TODAY. BERYL HAS UNDERGONE ITS POST-TROPICAL
TRANSITION EARLIER TODAY. WINDS AT BUOY 44037 HAVE NOW BACKED TO THE NORTH AND
JUDGING BY THE WINDS AND PRESSURE FALLS OVER SOUTHWEST NOVA SCOTIA
IT NOW LOOKS LIKE THE CENTRE OF BERYL WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR JUST
WEST OF YARMOUTH IMMINENTLY.
IN LIGHT OF THE TRAJECTORY OF BERYL EARLIER TODAY OUR TRACK HAS
BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE NORTHWEST. CONSEQUENTLY POST-TROPICAL BERYL
IS NOW EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SPINE OF NOVA SCOTIA THIS
EVENING EVENTUALLY REACHING CAPE BRETON OVERNIGHT. THIS TRACK IS
SIMILAR TO THE 06Z UKMET TRACK. LATER IN THE PERIOD THE TRACK ACROSS
NEWFOUNDLAND HAS ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY NORTH. THE REMNANTS OF
BERYL ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GRAND BANKS LATE
SATURDAY AND THEN MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC.
ALL THE MOISTURE IS SHEARED AHEAD OF THE STORM CENTRE WITH REPORTS
SINCE THIS MORNING OF 20-30 MM PER HOUR IN SOME LOCATIONS. WITH A
TRACK FARTHER NORTH THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
OF NOVA SCOTIA SHOULD BE LESS THAN EXPECTED EARLIER SINCE MOST OF
THAT RAIN WILL BE IN BANDS.

-justin-

[Andrew92]

Beryl, bye bye, don't let the door hit ya!

[Grease Monkey]

Beryl, bye bye, don't let the door hit ya!

Why so mean to Beryl?

[Stormcenter]

Thank goodness, no more Beryl.

[tropicana]

POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 PM ADT
FRIDAY 21 JULY 2006.

...POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL NOVA SCOTIA...

AT 9.00 PM ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 45.3 N AND LONGITUDE 63.7 W... ABOUT 19 MILES
OR 30 KM WEST OF TRURO NOVA SCOTIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45MPH...74 KM/H...AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 1002 MB. BERYL IS MOVING
EAST NORTHEAST AT 29MPH ...46 KM/H.

RAINFALL WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT AS OF 9 PM FOR PORTIONS OF PRINCE
EDWARD ISLAND AND HAVE BEEN LIFTED FOR NOVA SCOTIA. EXPOSED LOCATIONS
SOUTH OF THE TRACK OVER EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA COULD STILL SEE GUSTS
NEAR 50MPH 80 KM/H UNTIL LATE FRIDAY EVENING.
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN HAVE BEEN OCCURRING NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF
THE CENTRE WITH A MAXIMUM RAINFALL OF 61 MM AT BRIER ISLAND. THE OFFICIAL AMOUNT BASED ON DIRECT RAIN GAUGE MEASUREMENTS
AT YARMOUTH NS WAS 46 MM OR JUST UNDER 2 INCHES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA RAINFALL AMOUNTS REPORTED
AS OF LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON WERE GENERALLY IN THE 25 TO 35 MM
RANGE. WIND GUSTS IN THE HALIFAX AREA WERE BETWEEN 60 AND 80 KM/H AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS OCCURRED LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW SMALL TREE
BRANCHES WERE BROKEN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.
MODERATELY ROUGH SURF IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA UNTIL SATURDAY
MORNING. ROUGH SURF WILL OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF NEWFOUNDLAND
SATURDAY.


THE CENTRE OF POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL CAME ASHORE NEAR YARMOUTH
AROUND 18Z THIS AFTERNOON. OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS STRONGEST WINDS
HAVE MOSTLY BEEN CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM.
POST-TROPICAL BERYL SHOULD TRACK OVER WESTERN CAPE BRETON
OVERNIGHT AND ACROSS SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND ON SATURDAY. THE REMNANTS
OF BERYL ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GRAND BANKS
SATURDAY EVENING. SEVERAL MODELS...INCLUDING THE UKMET GFS AND NOGAPS
..THEN TAKE THE REMNANTS OF BERYL ON A SLIGHT EAST SOUTHEAST TURN ON
SUNDAY WHILE GOING AROUND AN UPPER RIDGE.

-justin-

[Andrew92]

Beryl, bye bye, don't let the door hit ya!

Why so mean to Beryl?

ALL tropical storms deserve that, destructive or not. Because even when they're not, sometimes people like me can get so caught up in them that they make us lose sleep.

In response to other posts:

"5 Beryls and never a hurricane."

I'm starting to be convinced that maybe she doesn't want to be a hurricane; that she just wants to bug us for the rest of our lives, kinda like Arlene (though at least Arlene has been a hurricane before).

"Take care, little one. Have fun in Canada. Well, not TOO much fun."

Well, I guess she is 24 now. Still, I remember Ophelia last year, the storm I called "the belligerent hurricane."

Oh well, sayonara Beryl. See ya in 2012. Try to become a hurricane out at sea that year, please.

-Andrew92

[tropicana]

POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 12.00 MIDNIGHT ADT FRIDAY 21 JULY 2006.

AT MIDNIGHT ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 46.3 N AND LONGITUDE 62.4 W... ABOUT 35 MILES
OR 55 KM EAST OF CHARLOTTETOWN, PEI.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 39MPH... 63 KM/H.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40MPH... 65 KM/H AND
CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 1002 MB.

WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL HAVE NOW DECREASED
OVER WATERS ADJACENT TO CAPE
BRETON AND EASTERN MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA. THE STRONGEST COASTAL GUSTS
ARE NEAR HART ISLAND
CURRENT RAINFALL IS EXCLUSIVELY NORTHEAST OF THE LOW CENTRE MOVING
INTO WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND AND APPEARS TO BE MERGING WITH THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM TO THE NORTH A BIT EARLIER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED.
SOME NEW STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS HAVE COME IN. THERE WAS A REPORT OF
71 MM AT SCOTT'S BAY ON CAPE SPLIT AND UNCONFIRMED RAIN GAUGE
MEASUREMENT OF 88 MM IN THAT AREA. LOCAL STREAMS HAD OVERFLOWED ONTO
ROADS AS A RESULT.

SEA STATE BUILT TO NEAR 4METRES AT THE HALIFAX HARBOUR BUOY SO WE STILL
CARRY 4 TO PERHAPS 5 METERS MAX SEA STATE WITH THIS STORM.

-justin-

[tropicana]

POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.30 AM NDT
SATURDAY 22 JULY 2006.

...RAIN FROM POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL MERGING WITH TROUGH
OVER WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...

AT 3.30 AM NDT... POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 47.3 N AND LONGITUDE 60.4 W... ABOUT 60 MILES
OR 95 KM WEST SOUTHWEST OF PORT AUX BASQUES, NEW FOUNDLAND.. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40MPH... 65 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE
AT 1002 MB. BERYL IS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 30MPH... 48 KM/H.

THE ORIGINAL AREA OF RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL STORM BERYL
IS MERGING WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
ST LAWRENCE. HOWEVER THERE IS AN AREA OF CONCENTRATED RAINFALLS OVER
SOUTHWESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND AT FORECAST TIME. A REPORT FROM PORT AUX
BASQUES AT 05Z REPORTED 21.5 MM OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR WHICH IS A RATE
SIMILAR TO THAT OBSERVED WHEN EX-BERYL MOVED THROUGH THE MARITIMES.

NO RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT..BUT THE PUBLIC SHOULD EXPECT A
BRIEF PERIOD OF LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW RACES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE ISLAND TODAY. THESE DOWNPOURS COULD
DROP UP TO 15 OR 20 MM OF RAIN WITHIN THE SPAN OR 1 OR 2 HOURS.
SHOWERS MAY LINGER A BIT LONGER OVER THE NORTHERN PENINSULA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH.

WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE ISLAND OF
NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST. GUSTS
ARE NOT LIKELY TO BE MUCH HIGHER THAN 70 KM/H IN THE USUAL EXPOSED LOCALITIES.
MODERATELY ROUGH SURF WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE
ISLAND TODAY.

MARGINAL GALE FORCE WINDS ARE BEING CARRIED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD SOUTH OF THE TRACK OF THE LOW. SEAS BETWEEN 3 AND 4 METRES
ARE FORECAST ALONG THE SOUTH COASTAL WATERS TODAY.


THIS HEAVY AREA OF RAIN WILL MOVE QUITE QUICKLY ACROSS THE ISLAND
THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THE FAST MOTION SHOULD KEEP THE
RAINFALL TOTALS LESS THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED IN THE MARITIMES. THE
MAIN AREA OF RAIN COULD BE MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OF GANDER NEW FOUNDLAND BY
MID MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM BERYL BECAME EXTRATROPICAL (OR POST-TROPICAL) BEFORE
MAKING LANDFALL AROUND 18Z JULY 21 NEAR YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA. THE
STORM THEN TRACKED ALONG THE ANNAPOLIS VALLEY..OVER TRURO..THEN
EASTERN PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WERE EXPERIENCED
OVER MOST OF MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA..SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK..PRINCE
EDWARD ISLAND AND NORTHERN CAPE BRETON ISLAND. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS
BETWEEN 60 AND 80 KM/H WERE EXPERIENCED SOUTH OF THE TRACK OF THE
STORM. SOME ISOLATED COASTAL AREAS REPORTED GUSTS NEAR 90 KM/H

GREATEST RAINFALLS WERE RECORDED OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM
YARMOUTH AND UP THROUGH THE ANNAPOLIS VALLEY ALONG THE STORM TRACK.
THE MOST RAINFALL WAS RECORDED IN THE CAPE SPLIT AREA WITH 71 MM AT
SCOTT'S BAY. IN THESE AREAS THERE WERE OVER 25 MM OF RAIN FALLING IN
ONE HOUR DURING THE WORST OF THE STORM. IN THE HALIFAX AREA WINDS
GUSTED TO NEAR 80 KM/H CAUSING SOME POWER OUTAGES WITH THE BREAKING
OF SMALL TREE BRANCHES.

-justin-