Hurricane Daniel (05E) in CPAC

WmE · #241 Postby **WmE** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 12:24 pm

Agreed! Our ZAMG (like NOAA, only without ocean) page has an awesome loop of Monica.

If you'd like to see it http://www.zamg.ac.at then click on Wetter and Wirbelstürme

Cyclenall · #242 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 12:29 pm

RQSTR wrote:
Cyclenall wrote: This is now in my top 10 best looking tropical cyclones ever list.

can you give your complete top 10 list? and yes, definitely, i really enjoy to follow Daniel! it's good to see a wonderful cane without any victim!

I don't have one done yet but I can give you an idea.

#1 -- Hurricane Katrina
#2 -- Cyclone Monica (2006) (Perfect Tropical Cyclone)
#3 -- Hurricane Isabel tied with Hurricane Wilma and now Hurricane Daniel (Triple Tie)

That's all I can say.

Wow, that was a fast ERC, and just in time for the visible, too.

Yeah I know, I was hoping it was going to be quick so by the time I wake up it's perfect and ready to roll.

My #1, by far, is Cyclone Monica at peak intensity (perfectly circular).

Cyclone Monica just blew me away. I have never seen a TC so well circular and perfect. Monica would be #1 in my books, but Katrina just was so large and near perfect looking too.

I will post a image with Isabel and Daniel very soon.

Cyclenall · #243 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 12:33 pm

Here it is:

Sorry about the sizes since Daniel is zoomed out a bit more. Should do for now to give you an idea.

#244 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 12:35 pm

Sorry Daniel, but Isabel rules!!!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #245 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 12:47 pm

He looks like Isabel near her peak when she had the red over the southern part of her eye. This thing Daniel is at least 15 knots stronger then the nhc saying. Katrina would be 130 knot hurricane if it where where this is.

#246 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 1:21 pm

Not many storm names can say that they have been major hurricanes in two editions, and hurricanes in four editions, and at least tropical storm in six editions, but Daniel can.

#247 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 1:36 pm

HURRICANE DANIEL (EP052006) ON 20060721 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060721 1800 060722 0600 060722 1800 060723 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.4N 126.9W 14.0N 129.1W 14.5N 131.2W 14.9N 133.3W
BAMM 13.4N 126.9W 13.9N 129.0W 14.2N 130.8W 14.6N 132.8W
LBAR 13.4N 126.9W 13.8N 128.9W 14.5N 131.4W 15.2N 134.1W
SHIP 120KTS 115KTS 103KTS 89KTS
DSHP 120KTS 115KTS 103KTS 89KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060723 1800 060724 1800 060725 1800 060726 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.1N 135.4W 15.4N 138.6W 15.9N 140.6W 17.4N 143.3W
BAMM 15.0N 134.5W 15.7N 136.8W 17.3N 138.1W 19.5N 141.2W
LBAR 15.5N 137.0W 16.4N 142.3W 17.2N 146.6W 16.3N 150.4W
SHIP 75KTS 57KTS 48KTS 41KTS
DSHP 75KTS 57KTS 48KTS 41KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.4N LONCUR = 126.9W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 13.1N LONM12 = 124.9W DIRM12 = 279DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 12.6N LONM24 = 123.0W
WNDCUR = 120KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 115KT
CENPRS = 942MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 240NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 110NM RD34SE = 90NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 110NM

$$

Now up to 120 kts.

#248 Postby **P.K.** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 1:38 pm

21/1800 UTC 13.3N 126.9W T6.5/6.5 DANIEL -- East Pacific Ocean

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #249 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 1:56 pm

I go 130 knots...

Cyclenall · #250 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 2:03 pm

Come on, this hurricane is at least 135 Knots. Hurricane Isabel was much higher and Daniel looks the nearly the same.

BTW, everyone go check out his eye!!

#251 Postby **AnnularCane** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 2:09 pm

Cyclenall wrote:Come on, this hurricane is at least 135 Knots. Hurricane Isabel was much higher and Daniel looks the nearly the same.

BTW, everyone go check out his eye!!

Wow!

That comment about "Isabel rules" must have done something to him. :lol:

Cyclenall · #252 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 2:11 pm

AnnularCane wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:Come on, this hurricane is at least 135 Knots. Hurricane Isabel was much higher and Daniel looks the nearly the same.

BTW, everyone go check out his eye!!

Wow!

That comment about "Isabel rules" must have done something to him.

No comment in this topic did anything to me :lol:

. Since Daniel is quite similar to Isabel, we should take a look at the eye to spot anything neat.

cheezyWXguy · #253 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 2:18 pm

come on you guys...nothing compares!

marcane_1973 · #254 Postby **marcane_1973** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 2:36 pm

Check this out!!! Click on daniels eye 3 times and you will see alot of twisting in there. http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... 5_sat.html

#255 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 2:53 pm

Derek Ortt · #256 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 2:56 pm

models keep trending farther to the west with each run

Looks almost certain that this will reach the CAPC. 6 years ago, another Daniel threatened Hawaii after being a major hurricane in the EPAC

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #257 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 3:06 pm

I say 135 knots....At this time....This is amazing.

#258 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 3:36 pm

WTPZ45 KNHC 212034
TCDEP5
HURRICANE DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
200 PM PDT FRI JUL 21 2006

DESPITE FORECASTS FOR THE CYCLONE TO BEGIN SLOWLY WEAKENING...
TENACIOUS DANIEL HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN. SATELLITE IMAGES
DEPICT A VERY LARGE AND WELL-DEFINED EYE SURROUNDED BY SYMMETRIC
RING OF DEEP CONVECTION...VERY INDICATIVE OF AN ANNULAR TYPE
HURRICANE. EVEN THOUGH CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE SLIGHTLY WARMED
DURING THE PAST COUPLE HOURS... THE EYE HAS ALSO CLEARED AND
WARMED... WHICH HAS PRODUCED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KT
FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 115 KT FROM AFWA. OBJECTIVE ESTIMATES ARE
BETWEEN T6.3 AND 6.7 OR ABOUT 125 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN INCREASED TO 125 KT.

ALL OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT DANIEL SHOULD SOON
BEGIN TO WEAKEN. SINCE THE HURRICANE IS NOW LITTLE STRONGER THAN
PREVIOUS FORECAST...THE INTENSITY FORECAST AS BEEN ADJUSTED
ACCORDINGLY. DANIEL'S WEAKENING SHOULD BE GRADUAL DURING THE NEXT
24-36 HOURS AS SHEAR IS FORECAST TO REMAIN LIGHT AND SSTS ONLY COOL
SLIGHTLY. LATER IN THE FORECAST...DANIEL IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER
MUCH COOLER WATERS WHICH SHOULD ACCELERATE THE WEAKENING.

DANIEL CONTINUES TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD AND THE INITIAL MOTION
IS ESTIMATED AT 280/10. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
ON A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. BEYOND
THREE DAYS...DANIEL IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWEST AS A DIGGING
TROUGH PRODUCES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST WAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS A
LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 21/2100Z 13.5N 127.4W 125 KT
12HR VT 22/0600Z 13.8N 128.9W 120 KT
24HR VT 22/1800Z 14.2N 130.7W 110 KT
36HR VT 23/0600Z 14.6N 132.3W 95 KT
48HR VT 23/1800Z 15.0N 133.9W 80 KT
72HR VT 24/1800Z 16.0N 136.0W 60 KT
96HR VT 25/1800Z 17.5N 138.0W 45 KT
120HR VT 26/1800Z 19.5N 140.0W 35 KT

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA

125 kts.

#259 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 3:39 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Not many storm names can say that they have been major hurricanes in two editions, and hurricanes in four editions, and at least tropical storm in six editions, but Daniel can.

Unless those fishies caught in there can make a case, he'll get another shot in 2012...

#260 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 3:43 pm

Only 11 mph more and it gets to cat 5.Will he get to cat 5?

Hurricane Daniel (05E) in CPAC

Who is online