Disturbance near Florida

rockyman · #21 Postby **rockyman** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:40 pm

Low level flow is VERY weak right now:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

Stratosphere747 · #22 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:50 pm

In 4/5 hours....

Disturbance near Florida cancel....

#23 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:52 pm

Seems like every weekend (except last weekend) for the past 6 weeks or so, South Florida's weekends have been either ruined by a ULL, lingering trough, or tropical wave.....80% rain chances for South Florida all weekend again :roll:

ronjon · #24 Postby **ronjon** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 6:04 pm

ULL near 26N-88W. Axis of tropical wave near the east coast of the Yucatan. Imbeded within a west-east trough of low pressure extending southwest of FL across the keys and eastward is a small vortex or LLC near 25.5N-83.5N. I noticed the vortex this morning on radar just north of the dry tortugus. Pressure has dropped aboout 2 mbs at Tampa and Ft Meyers in 24 hours but pressures are lowering due to a breakdown in the rdige due to a cold front and trough advancing into the SE US. A lot of convection massing around the vortex - need to watch this as some of the models - notably NAM - have indicated some kind of development from this feature over the last few days.

#25 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 6:51 pm

18Z gfs still with the vorticity... granted it's not a large area or very potent but, a few runs now it has done this.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

#26 Postby **jlauderdal** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 8:08 pm

gatorcane wrote:Seems like every weekend (except last weekend) for the past 6 weeks or so, South Florida's weekends have been either ruined by a ULL, lingering trough, or tropical wave.....80% rain chances for South Florida all weekend again

it was sunny last weekend, i have a suntan to prove it

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #27 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 8:50 pm

A "band" of rain/wind/thunderstorms from this disturbance produced
Sustained Winds of 30 MPH with Gusts to 48 MPH earlier
this afternoon over St. Petersburg...those trees
were bent over...
Alberto was not much worse...Alberto had 51 mph maximum gusts
this was very close to that WOW....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KSPG.html

21 20:53 S 13 10.00 Thunderstorm FEW049 SCT060 80 72 29.99 1015.4
21 19:53 S 30 G 48 10.00 Thunderstorm and Windy SCT030 SCT036 BKN049 82 73 91 82 29.95 1014.3

#28 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 8:52 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:A "band" of rain/wind/thunderstorms from this disturbance produced
Sustained Winds of 30 MPH with Gusts to 48 MPH earlier
this afternoon over St. Petersburg...those trees
were bent over...
Alberto was not much worse...Alberto had 51 mph maximum gusts
this was very close to that WOW....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KSPG.html

21 20:53 S 13 10.00 Thunderstorm FEW049 SCT060 80 72 29.99 1015.4
21 19:53 S 30 G 48 10.00 Thunderstorm and Windy SCT030 SCT036 BKN049 82 73 91 82 29.95 1014.3

i can vouch for that

caneman · #29 Postby **caneman** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 8:53 pm

fact789 wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:A "band" of rain/wind/thunderstorms from this disturbance produced
Sustained Winds of 30 MPH with Gusts to 48 MPH earlier
this afternoon over St. Petersburg...those trees
were bent over...
Alberto was not much worse...Alberto had 51 mph maximum gusts
this was very close to that WOW....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KSPG.html

21 20:53 S 13 10.00 Thunderstorm FEW049 SCT060 80 72 29.99 1015.4
21 19:53 S 30 G 48 10.00 Thunderstorm and Windy SCT030 SCT036 BKN049 82 73 91 82 29.95 1014.3

i can vouch for that

Me too/ Weird weather pattern we're in

Tampa_God · #30 Postby **Tampa_God** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 9:04 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:A "band" of rain/wind/thunderstorms from this disturbance produced
Sustained Winds of 30 MPH with Gusts to 48 MPH earlier
this afternoon over St. Petersburg...those trees
were bent over...
Alberto was not much worse...Alberto had 51 mph maximum gusts
this was very close to that WOW....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KSPG.html

21 20:53 S 13 10.00 Thunderstorm FEW049 SCT060 80 72 29.99 1015.4
21 19:53 S 30 G 48 10.00 Thunderstorm and Windy SCT030 SCT036 BKN049 82 73 91 82 29.95 1014.3

Here in New Port Richey, we had a strong Thunderstorm with winds probably 25 mph and gusts of 35 mph. Not sure if this is part of the area we are talking about, but we are pretty close.

Josephine96 · #31 Postby **Josephine96** » Fri Jul 21, 2006 11:58 pm

Titan is a new state of the art radar. My CBS local stati here uses it

#32 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 12:42 am

Josephine96 wrote:Titan is a new state of the art radar. My CBS local stati here uses it

Thanks for the explanation.

#33 Postby **ericinmia** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 1:01 am

jlauderdal wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Seems like every weekend (except last weekend) for the past 6 weeks or so, South Florida's weekends have been either ruined by a ULL, lingering trough, or tropical wave.....80% rain chances for South Florida all weekend again

it was sunny last weekend, i have a suntan to prove it

Me too!

Inadvertantly too... i was outside hanging around and doing some yard work. two days later someone mentions... Hey Eric, you got a tan last weekend.

#34 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 3:59 am

Josephine96 wrote:Titan is a new state of the art radar. My CBS local stati here uses it

T51 here in South Florida has it available and will air it as soon as all the new graphics are ready. John Morales wants to show all the new stuff at one time and not piece by piece. But let me tell, it's really cool!! Especially when you put it 3D.

Ixolib · #35 Postby **Ixolib** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 5:41 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:A "band" of rain/wind/thunderstorms from this disturbance produced
Sustained Winds of 30 MPH with Gusts to 48 MPH earlier
this afternoon over St. Petersburg...those trees
were bent over...
Alberto was not much worse...Alberto had 51 mph maximum gusts
this was very close to that WOW....

And the lightening was AMAZING!! That was one ominous storm...

Nimbus · #36 Postby **Nimbus** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 5:43 am

Another quiet morning in the gulf, a little convection firing up again off Ft Myers this morning. The surface pressures still are not terribly low but they are down from 30.07 yesterday to 29.97 this morning. This area still looks like the eastern edge of An ULL interacting with a tropical wave but with the lower surface pressures, a persistant convection over one spot might get something started.

Aquawind · #37 Postby **Aquawind** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 6:34 am

Nimbus wrote:Another quiet morning in the gulf, a little convection firing up again off Ft Myers this morning. The surface pressures still are not terribly low but they are down from 30.07 yesterday to 29.97 this morning. This area still looks like the eastern edge of An ULL interacting with a tropical wave but with the lower surface pressures, a persistant convection over one spot might get something started.

Good Summary.. Unlikely but it might..

#38 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 1:08 pm

Eastern GOM definitely looking busy this afternoon:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg

Tampa_God · #39 Postby **Tampa_God** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 2:19 pm

Still don't really see anything. I see the trough and that is it.

kenl01 · #40 Postby **kenl01** » Sat Jul 22, 2006 3:10 pm

Nothing going on guys.

What a quiet season compared to last year. I think it's going to take a while longer this year. Tropical Atlantic looks very dry overall. Maybe around Aug.12 it might start picking up.

Disturbance near Florida

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