98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Cyclenall · #381 Postby **Cyclenall** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:13 pm

TV news makes many mistakes about tropical weather. One news man on WDIV from Detroit said Hurricane Katrina was now a F5. :lol:

Yankeegirl · #382 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:15 pm

I have the volume turned down on the tv, I am sending out family pictures, and I glanced over at the tv and saw tropical depression... kind of shocked... Oh well, they might need to use that graphic later on, maybe they wanted to wipe the dust off and see if it still worked... lol....

#383 Postby **Steve** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:16 pm

>>A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED JUST EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO IS...

For everyone who has to adamantly demonstrate his or her point just to be difficult, I think they should get a 7 day ban when they turned out to be wrong.

JMO

Steve

DJJordan · #384 Postby **DJJordan** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:16 pm

LOL it wasn't Chuck was it?

vaffie · #385 Postby **vaffie** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:17 pm

Well, based on how it's convection is consolidating in a large red firey ball over the estimated center, the debate over semantics won't last very long, as it looks like it could intensify rapidly now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

perk · #386 Postby **perk** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:18 pm

Katdaddy you're right about channel 2 news, they tend to over dramatize, especially in cases where a sensitive issue like tropical weather is concerned.

#387 Postby **Starburst** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:21 pm

Maybe someone can answer this question. Isn't there a warm eddy that broke off the loop current right around that area of firey convection we are seeing? I remember looking at it on a loop current map that someone here had posted a few months ago.

Extremeweatherguy · #388 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:22 pm

DJJordan wrote:Yeah CH. 11 had a graphic up that referred to it as a TD however David Paul did not call it a "depression" but a "disturbance".

yeah, Ch. 11 uses a "TD" graphic from any "Tropical Disturbance". The "TD" on their channel does not mean tropical depression. I know, it is REALLY confusing, but I have seen it before.

#389 Postby **Steve** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:24 pm

Just my amateur take:

Regardless of whether or not it develops into anything classified, there's a surface circulation. And its intensity will probably die out in favor of that storm on the other coast only to switch intensity back to the Gulf side tomorrow morning. We've probably had close to 1" of rain here today, but I don't know for sure. Look for 3-5" in a 3 day event from SE TX over to the Panhandle.

Like Jimi Hendrix said: Rainy Day, rain all day. Ain't no use in getting uptight, just let it groove its own way.

Steve

Extremeweatherguy · #390 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:24 pm

One thing I am noticing is the flow in the Gulf looks to be more toward the NE. Could this wind up being more of a central Gulf issue?

#391 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:26 pm

Looks like a budding TD to me:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg

Extremeweatherguy · #392 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:26 pm

JB's morning update says the overall situation is similar to that during Bret in 99', but 100 miles further west. Because it is further west (and close to land) JB thinks an extreme event like that is not possible. He still said that the worst case scenario would be a Frances or Fay type of event with most of the activity to the east of center (due to a northward motion).

Thunder44 · #393 Postby **Thunder44** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:27 pm

Buoy 42055 in the BOC reporting SSW winds now at about 11kts

http://ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #394 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:27 pm

Wow where I said had the best chance last night did something today. WOW! I will look at some data in maybe a update in a little while.

Ivan14 · #395 Postby **Ivan14** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:29 pm

Man, that is pretty big. Regardless if this develops somebody sure is going to get a lot of rain

T-man · #396 Postby **T-man** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:29 pm

Look at this one, northeast of the "disturbance"
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42002

HouTXmetro · #397 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:31 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
DJJordan wrote:Yeah CH. 11 had a graphic up that referred to it as a TD however David Paul did not call it a "depression" but a "disturbance".
yeah, Ch. 11 uses a "TD" graphic from any "Tropical Disturbance". The "TD" on their channel does not mean tropical depression. I know, it is REALLY confusing, but I have seen it before.

No, the headline said TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

Extremeweatherguy · #398 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:31 pm

T-man wrote:Look at this one, northeast of the "disturbance"
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42002

WOW! 37 knot (~43mph) sustained with 45 knot (~52mph) gusts earlier!

Extremeweatherguy · #399 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:32 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:
DJJordan wrote:Yeah CH. 11 had a graphic up that referred to it as a TD however David Paul did not call it a "depression" but a "disturbance".
yeah, Ch. 11 uses a "TD" graphic from any "Tropical Disturbance". The "TD" on their channel does not mean tropical depression. I know, it is REALLY confusing, but I have seen it before.

No, the headline said TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

ok, well in that case I guess they just made a mistake.

Thunder44 · #400 Postby **Thunder44** » Mon Jul 24, 2006 12:34 pm

Looks at visible imagery it appears the whatever LLC is forming, will be in that hook in the clouds right along the coast, just north of Tampico, Mx. It

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

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