04 vs 05 vs 06 Scorecard

[dwg71]

Information purposes only - not an opinion on past or future storms. Just a comparative to consider.

2004 as of August 27TH 6/4/3 Next storm GAston 8/28

2005 as of August 27TH 11/5/3 Next storm Lee formed on 8/31.

2006 as of August 27TH 5/0/0 Next storm ?


In 2002 Gustav became a hurricane on 9/11 (the lastest the first hurricane of the season has formed since 1941)

[gatorcane]

06 is about the same as 2004....but is going normal so far.

[storms in NC]

Maybe back to a normal Year from last year

[all_we_know_is_FALLING]

Maybe back to a normal Year from last year

Do you mean a more normal year than last year because 2 named storms by the middle of July is still ABOVE average.

[Jim Cantore]

Maybe back to a normal Year from last year

a normal year is about 10 named storms, I say almost no doubt we have more then that.

[beachbum_al]

Well if we are comparing it to 2004 I think I will climb back in a hole and come out at the end. 2004 was not a good year for us down here. Something by the name of IVAN!

[Aquawind]

Maybe back to a normal Year from last year

a normal year is about 10 named storms, I say almost no doubt we have more then that.

Actually they upped it to 11 named storms. I beleive that is what Chris Landsea mentioned this spring and yes the average during this hyperactive period is more like 15 as well..

[Josephine96]

If this is like 2004 than the state of Florida will be a bulls eye.. Lets see..

[gatorcane]

If this is like 2004 than the state of Florida will be a bulls eye.. Lets see..

I find it hard to believe that Florida will see something like 2004 anytime soon. I believe that was a once-in-150-year event for Florida. The setup was perfect for Florida that year.

[Jim Cantore]

Maybe back to a normal Year from last year

a normal year is about 10 named storms, I say almost no doubt we have more then that.

Actually they upped it to 11 named storms. I beleive that is what Chris Landsea mentioned this spring and yes the average during this hyperactive period is more like 15 as well..

I remember a few years ago the average was 9

[NCHurricane]

.....
2005 as of July 24th 7/3/2 Next storm Harvey formed as depression 8/2.....

7/3/2 by July 24th.

Man, that still amazes me. There were whole seasons that didn't see that much activity!

EDIT: Heh, just noticed I'm a Cat1. How'd that happen? I don't post enough.

Chuck Copeland
(Enter website here)

[Grease Monkey]

If this is like 2004 than the state of Florida will be a bulls eye.. Lets see..

I find it hard to believe that Florida will see something like 2004 anytime soon. I believe that was a once-in-150-year event for Florida. The setup was perfect for Florida that year.

I thought they were saying something similiar in 2005 and we all know how that turned out.

[Swimdude]

Honestly guys, I think this is a fairly normal season so far, even looking on the 150 year averages. I know, it'll get crazy for the next few months, I'm sure - but as of now, this is pretty darn close to "average."

[beachbum_al]

I have some pictures of Orange Beach/Gulf Shores area since Ivan was mention. I am going to post them in the Recovery Forum if anyone is interested.

I hope we never see a 2005 year again. And 2004 is history in my book.

[Hohwxny]

Honestly guys, I think this is a fairly normal season so far, even looking on the 150 year averages. I know, it'll get crazy for the next few months, I'm sure - but as of now, this is pretty darn close to "average."

This is totally average...it's just that after last year, if we don't have 7 storms by July 31st, it is a BUST of a season.

[brunota2003]

How about this...lets enjoy the peace and quiet while we can and take time to make sure our preparedness plans are finished AND up to date...sounds like a good plan to me...check your food and make sure it hasnt expired, check and recheck everything that is in your hurricane box and make sure there isnt anything you are forgetting...just my $0.02 though...you can ignore it if you want...yes this year has been "normal" so far thank god

[wxwatcher91]

.....
2005 as of July 24th 7/3/2 Next storm Harvey formed as depression 8/2.....

7/3/2 by July 24th.

Man, that still amazes me. There were whole seasons that didn't see that much activity!

agreed. when I read that I thought to myself "heh, people making up stories again"

whenever I get into that dumb state in which I simply look at the numbers up through July for 2005, I remember that August actually wasnt as unusual activity-wise (besides Katrina that is). if there is going to be any race at all between 2006 and 2005, 2006 will have the chance to catch up in August.

[dwg71]

updated info in OP

[dwg71]

Updated for Chris

[vacanechaser]

Maybe back to a normal Year from last year

a normal year is about 10 named storms, I say almost no doubt we have more then that.

Actually they upped it to 11 named storms. I beleive that is what Chris Landsea mentioned this spring and yes the average during this hyperactive period is more like 15 as well..

I remember a few years ago the average was 9

thats correct... but landsea said at the conference this year that the average number of storms has gone up due to the 1995-2005 seasons.... however if you take just those years 1995-2005, you get an average near 15 or so.... pretty incredible....


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team