Wave in Central Caribbean

[Thunder44]

Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 5:30 PM EDT on July 24, 2006


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

A westward-moving tropical wave is located about 1000 miles east of
the Windward Islands. This system is embedded within very dry air
and no significant development is expected.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Tuesday.
$$
Forecaster Franklin

[drezee]

pressure got down to 1010.8 and the center of the low was south of there...could have been 1009

[storms in NC]

Didn't think it would till it gets passed 60

[SouthFloridawx]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

I really think this is an area we need to watch out for in the next few days as it head closer to the Caribbean or North of the Caribbean as a couple of models take it. There is a definite spin on this thing out there. If it was not being influenced by dry air we would probably have our next storm by now.

[storms in NC]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

I really think this is an area we need to watch out for in the next few days as it head closer to the Caribbean or North of the Caribbean as a couple of models take it. There is a definite spin on this thing out there. If it was not being influenced by dry air we would probably have our next storm by now.

True but is normal for area this time of year. Over the next 2-3 weeks you will see it change. There was one year it didn't. We had no cv storms that year. I can't remmber what year that was. But all the Dry air stayed

[SouthFloridawx]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

I really think this is an area we need to watch out for in the next few days as it head closer to the Caribbean or North of the Caribbean as a couple of models take it. There is a definite spin on this thing out there. If it was not being influenced by dry air we would probably have our next storm by now.

True but is normal for area this time of year. Over the next 2-3 weeks you will see it change. There was one year it didn't. We had no cv storms that year. I can't remmber what year that was. But all the Dry air stayed

I agree with you on that. If the dry air does not change we won't see much from the Cape Verde area. But, I think we have seen in the past that things can change very quickly.

Here is the windshear forecast from the GFS. I try to limit watching it from 72 Hours out but, I see that windshear is forecast to remain low over this area of low pressure.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

[gatorcane]

it was mentioned in the 5:30 TWO!!!

[HurricaneHunter914]

it was mentioned in the 5:30 TWO!!!

We know, but they said significant development is not expected. But that probably means some slow development could occur.

[storms in NC]

The high clouds are being blown off by the shear and the ridges above it is trying to pull it to it. So it looks like the ridge may win. Any thoughts?

[vacanechaser]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

I really think this is an area we need to watch out for in the next few days as it head closer to the Caribbean or North of the Caribbean as a couple of models take it. There is a definite spin on this thing out there. If it was not being influenced by dry air we would probably have our next storm by now.

True but is normal for area this time of year. Over the next 2-3 weeks you will see it change. There was one year it didn't. We had no cv storms that year. I can't remmber what year that was. But all the Dry air stayed

but for this time of year, dry air and dust seem to be the norm.... things are starting to change a bit as we reach august.. looks like the azores high will weaken with time and that should allow the shear to weaken in the eastern atlantic and that will blow less dust into the atlantic as well... it seems we are right on schedule for the time of year....

also looks like "storms in nc" stold one of my photos for an avitar!!! lol... J/J


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[ThunderMate]

You mean the ridge kill it?

[storms in NC]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

I really think this is an area we need to watch out for in the next few days as it head closer to the Caribbean or North of the Caribbean as a couple of models take it. There is a definite spin on this thing out there. If it was not being influenced by dry air we would probably have our next storm by now.

True but is normal for area this time of year. Over the next 2-3 weeks you will see it change. There was one year it didn't. We had no cv storms that year. I can't remmber what year that was. But all the Dry air stayed

but for this time of year, dry air and dust seem to be the norm.... things are starting to change a bit as we reach august.. looks like the azores high will weaken with time and that should allow the shear to weaken in the eastern atlantic and that will blow less dust into the atlantic as well... it seems we are right on schedule for the time of year....

also looks like "storms in nc" stold one of my photos for an avitar!!! lol... J/J


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

This is a real picture it is down at Bogue Inlet pier in Emerald Isie NC it was when Ophelia was comeing though. I have more of them

[storms in NC]

[vacanechaser]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

I really think this is an area we need to watch out for in the next few days as it head closer to the Caribbean or North of the Caribbean as a couple of models take it. There is a definite spin on this thing out there. If it was not being influenced by dry air we would probably have our next storm by now.

True but is normal for area this time of year. Over the next 2-3 weeks you will see it change. There was one year it didn't. We had no cv storms that year. I can't remmber what year that was. But all the Dry air stayed

but for this time of year, dry air and dust seem to be the norm.... things are starting to change a bit as we reach august.. looks like the azores high will weaken with time and that should allow the shear to weaken in the eastern atlantic and that will blow less dust into the atlantic as well... it seems we are right on schedule for the time of year....

also looks like "storms in nc" stold one of my photos for an avitar!!! lol... J/J


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

This is a real picture it is down at Bogue Inlet pier in Emerald Isie NC it was when Ophelia was comeing though. I have more of them

yes i know... i shot that photo...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[vacanechaser]

ohh, and it is johnny mercer pier near wrightsville beach

http://www.vastormphoto.com/ophelia05.htm


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[SouthFloridawx]

On the SSD page "Floater #2 have been moved over this area.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float2.html

[gatorcane]

Yes, I believed they moved it this morning

[storms in NC]

Mike Stanley site the fishing report. Sorry I have never been to your site. You with Mark, Hurricanetracker.com from Leland. I love the pictures I have. If you want I will take it off. I didn't know they were yours cause the were on Mikes page. But will take off if you want.

[vacanechaser]

Mike Stanley site the fishing report. Sorry I have never been to your site. You with Mark, Hurricanetracker.com from Leland. I love the pictures I have. If you want I will take it off. I didn't know they were yours cause the were on Mikes page. But will take off if you want.

NOOOO way.... dont do that... i was just giving you a hard time thats all.... please, put it back up..... yes i have been working with mark since 2001... my site is where you will see most of the photos and write up on storms, when i make them of course... he links to it on hurricanetrack...

now, where did you say you saw it, cause i would have a problem with another site....


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept research Team

[storms in NC]

This I where it was at when I got home from La for 3 weeks helping down there. I live on this pier at the end for Kings.

I would love to go with Mark on one of his trips. But I think a 50 year lady can't keep up lololololol

http://www.bogueinletpier.com/Fishing_Reports.htm