Mid-Afternoon IR Loop (Gulf)

[Frank2]

The disturbance in the western Gulf appears to have better-defined outflow at this time, but, as mentioned in the TWO, the "center" is in the Brownsville area and moving northward, so, any strengthening into a TD or TS is not forecast, as long as it continues northward over coastal Texas.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html

Frank

[Frank2]

Just to let all know - while the satellite loop is more impressive, the radar image isn't, with little or no circulation visible...

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[teal61]

Just to let all know - while the satellite loop is more impressive, the radar image isn't, with little or no circulation visible...

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

Ummm....take a look NE of Brownsville, some sort of "vort" or MLC is clearly visible on the Brownsville radar loop.

[Frank2]

...well, as mentioned, "little or no circulation", there is a bit, just not much of one...

[teal61]

...well, as mentioned, "little or no circulation", there is a bit, just not much of one...

Ok.....Seems pretty evident to me.

[curtadams]

For daytime possibly developing depressions, the RGB loop is probably best. Sometimes you can make out what's going on at the lower levels even through strong convection, which you can almost never do on enhanced IR. It looks like the prior LLC is dissipating inland but several offshore centers are starting to push around the low clouds. One right on the coast near Brownsville looks most vigorous.

[Frank2]

Thanks for the link - as you said, the LLC west of BRO does seem to be dissipating, and, another circulation (MLC perhaps, but it's bright appearance) seems to be ENE of them, and, appears to be moving N or NNE, so, if this continues, it would be inland south of Corpus Christi sometime tomorrow...

Lots of if's, I know, but, that's what it appears to be doing, and, per the TWO, it does now seem that the entire area is moving N at a constant rate, which would mean it's lifespan over water is probably limited to less than 24 hours.

Frank

[x-y-no]

For daytime possibly developing depressions, the RGB loop is probably best. Sometimes you can make out what's going on at the lower levels even through strong convection, which you can almost never do on enhanced IR. It looks like the prior LLC is dissipating inland but several offshore centers are starting to push around the low clouds. One right on the coast near Brownsville looks most vigorous.

Yeah, I've been watching that area just offshore for a couple of hours now. Not a closed circulation as of yet, but if we're going to get an LLC at all then that's the area to watch as it drifts northward.