99L Invest, East Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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gatorcane
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#161 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:23 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:There is a surface circulation on the QS


really here we go folks :eek:
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#162 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:24 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:Can someone post the Mariner's 1-2-3 Rule for the Atlantic or at least the link to it?


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/danger_atl.gif

Thanks. Nothing yet on that I see.


Is not updated as it's at 15:00 UTC,from 11 AM EDT.
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#163 Postby bvigal » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:24 pm

NHC keeps saying there's a low, but they didn't on't show it on the 18z surface map, and didn't mention a low in 8pm TWD. I'll post this scatterometer again, I think it got lost at bottom of earlier page. It's from pass at 20z
Image

What does everybody think this shows, a surface low? Or, not yet?
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#164 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:25 pm

I see a LLC but don't see one on the quickscat I'm looking at yet.
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#165 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:25 pm

gatorcane wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:There is a surface circulation on the QS


really here we go folks :eek:


I think here we go is right. Monitoring the global models over the past few days I have noticed a trend showing development after waves moving off of the African coast.
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#166 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:26 pm

Derek,do you have the link to the quickScat?
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#167 Postby bvigal » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:Derek,do you have the link to the quickScat?

Luis, the one I posted was from
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... ew2/zooms/
For current position, go to #113 ascending & descending
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#168 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:32 pm

Looks like some busy days are ahead...

:coaster:
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#169 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:33 pm

bvigal wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Derek,do you have the link to the quickScat?

Luis, the one I posted was from
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... ew2/zooms/
For current position, go to #113 ascending & descending


http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/hires/
There is a clickable map.
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#170 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:34 pm

NHC says there is a surface low, so I guess I will go with that for now. I really wonder what I'll wake up to tomorrow. Wouldn't be surprised to see a "TD 3 models, comments, and discussions" thread.
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#171 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:35 pm

ill be up early!
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#172 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:35 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:There is a surface circulation on the QS


Is this the image you're looking at, Derek?

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... 0_99ds.png

It was taken between 20Z-21Z this afternoon. I don't see anything but black rain-contaminated flags around 9N/32W. Is there another image somewhere?

Ok, now I'm REALLY going to bed!
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#173 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:38 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
bvigal wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Derek,do you have the link to the quickScat?

Luis, the one I posted was from
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... ew2/zooms/
For current position, go to #113 ascending & descending


http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/hires/
There is a clickable map.


Hmm, I can't make out an LLC on the QS image anywhere near 9N/30-32W:

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... Bds113.png

Lots of rain contamination but I see all E-ESE winds.
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#174 Postby bvigal » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:40 pm

Thanks for taking a look at that, wxman! I couldn't see one, but wanted a pro opinion.
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#175 Postby mempho » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:40 pm

This is about to go through a pocket of increased shear so don't flake out on this system if it doesn't develop into a TD tommorrow. Looks promising but I'd give it until Saturday to reach TD status. That said, if it holds together through this pocket, this is the type of system that could go straight to named status.
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#176 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:41 pm

WHOOPS!!!!!

Time for my 25 lashes

I for some strange reason (well, I was irate at Atlantic Broadband and didnt look carefully) placed a low center at 34N, which is just an axis upon closer examination
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#177 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:42 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:WHOOPS!!!!!

Time for my 25 lashes

I for some strange reason (well, I was irate at Atlantic Broadband and didnt look carefully) placed a low center at 34N, which is just an axis upon closer examination


so there is no Low?
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#178 Postby Aquawind » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:45 pm

so there is no Low?


Certainly no circulation thus not much Low Pressure at the surface.
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#179 Postby boca » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:45 pm

Does anyone see a spin down there?
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#180 Postby jabber » Thu Jul 27, 2006 9:51 pm

Nope not yet.... have to wait till sunrise then maybe
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