Tropics heating up! 3 areas of concern

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caneman

Tropics heating up! 3 areas of concern

#1 Postby caneman » Fri Jul 28, 2006 7:24 pm

From 8:00 discussion

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 37W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST NEAR 20
KT. THIS WAVE CONTINUES TO SHOW BROAD LOW-MID LEVEL CURVATURE. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS WAVE AS IT
PROGRESSES WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. PRESENTLY ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN
31W-37W...WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 40W-46W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 59W/60W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING QUICKLY
WEST 20 TO 25 KT. THE WAVE SHOWS A DEFINITE INVERTED V SHAPE AND
LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
MOSTLY W OF THE WAVE AXIS OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM 13N-18N
BETWEEN 60W-67W. THE WAVE WILL CONTINUE SPREADING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WESTWARD THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND SURROUNDING
ISLANDS OVER THE WEEKEND.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 77W SOUTH OF
23N MOVING WEST NEAR 20 KT. THIS WAVE CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH
AN UPPER HIGH CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF HONDURAS NEAR 14N81W.
PATCHES OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N-22N
BETWEEN 75W-85W. GFS SEEMS TO HAVE A DECENT HANDLE ON THE
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE...AND SEEMS TO MOVE A HEAVILY
SHEARED AND THUS WEAKER NORTHERN PORTION OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY THROUGH THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW WHILE THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN AND POTENTIALLY MORE ACTIVE
EXTENT OF THE WAVE CONTINUING TO PROGRESS WESTWARD INTO THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN.
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