99L Invest E of Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

[Stratosphere747]

Looking at visible satellite shows a tight spin with the cloud mass of this system,,,This is not a weak wave we are looking at...The mid level spin looks healthy right now...Earlier yesterday those three buoys/ship reports shown that this could have had a LLC. Based also on the low clouds...Also outside of this and quickscats there is really no other way to tell.

Tonight looks to be some popcorn convection forming over this MLC....With a tight area of spin...So I would stay watch it for some development...

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

"Looking at visible satellite" ??

Matt...

Help me and the others out here...

What visible satellite are you looking at?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Yes TPC has strayed but you'd expect a developing TC to have a poorly organized center. I would think just a well-defined center and strong deep convection will do for a TD, and of course over tropical waters.

This is not a TD yet.

even if not a TD right now, I think this may have been back 2 nights ago when this has convection right around the center.

I could be wrong but I thought I heard one time that tropical waves sometimes are briefly tropical depressions just after emerging off Africa,and then they weaken.

I believe Derk Ortt said that last year....I believe so to...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The one over the gulf...Which is the one center over the system.

[perk]

EWG i totally agree with you on the fact that JB was not disrespecting the NHC.The fact that JB said it qualifies it as being disrespectful to some on this forum.