Invest 99L E of Lesser Antilles,Comments,Sat Pics,Etc #3

[HurricaneHunter914]

Continues to look better today, now banding features are appearing on the visible. I think this might be a Fl storm, but much more to the south like around the Key West area.

[HURAKAN]

Continues to look better today, now banding features are appearing on the visible. I think this might be a Fl storm, but much more to the south like around the Key West area.

Are you seeing the same image that I'm seen, because I don't see anything here that looks with potential to become a tropical depression anytime soon.

[MortisFL]

Continues to look better today, now banding features are appearing on the visible. I think this might be a Fl storm, but much more to the south like around the Key West area.

Thanx for pinpointing it down.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Continues to look better today, now banding features are appearing on the visible. I think this might be a Fl storm, but much more to the south like around the Key West area.

Are you seeing the same image that I'm seen, because I don't see anything here that looks with potential to become a tropical depression anytime soon.

I didn't say TD, I said, looks better today, this has a long way to go to become a TD because of the SAL and Dry air, but once it enters the Carib, then we might see something.

[Scorpion]

Are you seeing the same image that I'm seen, because I don't see anything here that looks with potential to become a tropical depression anytime soon.

I don't know what image you are looking at, but I see a more organized wave that will no longer crash into South America. Chances of development IMO are higher than they were yesterday.

[wxman57]

If it moves in the direction that the models are indicating, then it should encounter very strong wind shear that'll likely rip it apart. A more westerly track is likely, just like the wave ahead of it. Storms may flare up briefly just north of the eastern Caribbean Sea, but as the wave continues west, those storms will die out.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 0split.jpg

If it can take a westerly track, then it can also avoid most of the SAL in the area.

[HURAKAN]

If it moves in the direction that the models are indicating, then it should encounter very strong wind shear that'll likely rip it apart. A more westerly track is likely, just like the wave ahead of it. Storms may flare up briefly just north of the eastern Caribbean Sea, but as the wave continues west, those storms will die out.

Thanks. Chris is not coming from this system. It's time to say, NEXT!!

[HurricaneHunter914]

If the NHC still think this has the POTENTIAL to become a TD then I wouldn't write it off.

[Scorpion]

Thanks. Chris is not coming from this system. It's time to say, NEXT!!

Way to early to say that. By the way, looking at the shear tendency the southern Caribbean looks extremely favorable. Now the area near Hispaniola is pretty bad, but if the system is developed by then it shouldn't have that much of a problem with it.

[cheezyWXguy]

do you think it will have a chance to develop in the caribbean, wxman57

[hial2]

If it moves in the direction that the models are indicating, then it should encounter very strong wind shear that'll likely rip it apart. A more westerly track is likely, just like the wave ahead of it. Storms may flare up briefly just north of the eastern Caribbean Sea, but as the wave continues west, those storms will die out.

Thanks. Chris is not coming from this system. It's time to say, NEXT!!

Not yet, me thinks...Loop the pictures and you will see a definite "spin", a kind of wrapping around effect..(no link provided re: too long to download )

[Extremeweatherguy]

Continues to look better today, now banding features are appearing on the visible. I think this might be a Fl storm, but much more to the south like around the Key West area.

Are you seeing the same image that I'm seen, because I don't see anything here that looks with potential to become a tropical depression anytime soon.

Are you kidding??? This looks exponentially better than it has anytime over the last 24 hours, and there does look to be some banding features. I think what your doing is trying to believe nothing is there, even when the NHC itself says there is (and they say it could become a TD).

[Extremeweatherguy]

If the NHC still think this has the POTENTIAL to become a TD then I wouldn't write it off.

exactly. Especially since it now looks better than it has in days.

[SouthFloridawx]

If it moves in the direction that the models are indicating, then it should encounter very strong wind shear that'll likely rip it apart. A more westerly track is likely, just like the wave ahead of it. Storms may flare up briefly just north of the eastern Caribbean Sea, but as the wave continues west, those storms will die out.

Thanks. Chris is not coming from this system. It's time to say, NEXT!!

Actually it's time to stop passing judgement and just let it do what it's going to do. As long as it's a wave and it's in the atlantic and it's late july it warrants being watched. I think I remember a certain td that degraded back into tw then as everyone was saying it was dead the northern end formed in the bahamas crossed florida and created the aguably the worst natural disaster in american history.

[Fego]

NRL Navy: Invest 99 (14:15) 12N - 51.5W 1011 mb 25 kts

[Thunder44]

Continues to look better today, now banding features are appearing on the visible. I think this might be a Fl storm, but much more to the south like around the Key West area.

Are you seeing the same image that I'm seen, because I don't see anything here that looks with potential to become a tropical depression anytime soon.

Are you kidding??? This looks exponentially better than it has anytime over the last 24 hours, and there does look to be some banding features. I think what your doing is trying to believe nothing is there, even when the NHC itself says there is (and they say it could become a TD).

Do you see the massive outflow boundaries spitting on the north side? It just doesn't look as pathetic as it did at this time yesterday. Maybe tomorrow we might see something better.

[HURAKAN]

If it moves in the direction that the models are indicating, then it should encounter very strong wind shear that'll likely rip it apart. A more westerly track is likely, just like the wave ahead of it. Storms may flare up briefly just north of the eastern Caribbean Sea, but as the wave continues west, those storms will die out.

Thanks. Chris is not coming from this system. It's time to say, NEXT!!

Actually it's time to stop passing judgement and just let it do what it's going to do. As long as it's a wave and it's in the atlantic and it's late july it warrants being watched. I think I remember a certain td that degraded back into tw then as everyone was saying it was dead the northern end formed in the bahamas crossed florida and created the aguably the worst natural disaster in american history.

That was 2005, this is 2006. Current climatological conditions can't compare to what we had in 2005. Right now we have a very poorly organized tropical wave with a surface circulation and it's a day or so from the Caribbean Sea. I don't know if I got bored already of watching potential tropical waves that turn into nothing, but I just don't have much faith in this one. So far the Caribbean Sea has not been very hospitable to tropical waves, yes, they flare up but the atmosphere isn't favorable for a cyclone to develop. The best of the season is yet to come, and I'm willing to wait until mid to late August and September to see truly Cape Verde Systems and not some wannabees!!!

[HurricaneHunter914]

Isn't the outflow boundary that line of clouds north of 99L?

[Thunder44]

If it moves in the direction that the models are indicating, then it should encounter very strong wind shear that'll likely rip it apart. A more westerly track is likely, just like the wave ahead of it. Storms may flare up briefly just north of the eastern Caribbean Sea, but as the wave continues west, those storms will die out.

Thanks. Chris is not coming from this system. It's time to say, NEXT!!

This is just as bad calling the system "Chris". It will still be out there tomorrow and the next day after that.