The Wave SW of Cape Verde Islands

[Windtalker1]

looks like it came off bout the same place as 99 and we all see how well its doing...Not saying this one will or will not develop but each wave is different and yet every wave theres people always saying this ones going to make it...its got a long ways to go so lets all sit back and watch.

Thing is, models develop this one. 99 had no model support.

Link Please....Thanks

[shaggy]

looks like it came off bout the same place as 99 and we all see how well its doing...Not saying this one will or will not develop but each wave is different and yet every wave theres people always saying this ones going to make it...its got a long ways to go so lets all sit back and watch.

Thing is, models develop this one. 99 had no model support.

now 99 has had model support for several days as the ships has brought it to sotrm strength since they started running it but it still doesn't mean that its certain to develop anything can happen

[vacanechaser]

This wave is gonna get an invest in the next couple of days. This really worries me how these waves are looking better and better as time goes on. I was kind of hoping the the cape verde season would shut down again cause we don't really need anymore major canes.

well, just remember, katrina was not a cape verde hurricane.... most everything that hit the coast last year was home grown.... so the cape verde season really does not have much to do with it...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[HenkL]

The ECMWF model has some development on this one.
See: http://tinyurl.com/jskrf

[Eyewall]

This one does look a bit more formidable than 99
very large system, unlike most of the others this season

[Scorpion]

looks like it came off bout the same place as 99 and we all see how well its doing...Not saying this one will or will not develop but each wave is different and yet every wave theres people always saying this ones going to make it...its got a long ways to go so lets all sit back and watch.

Thing is, models develop this one. 99 had no model support.

now 99 has had model support for several days as the ships has brought it to sotrm strength since they started running it but it still doesn't mean that its certain to develop anything can happen

The SHIPS develops every invest into at least a TS. I was talking about global support.

[Scorpion]

By the way, I think we really have something here. We have the GFS, CMC, Euro, and NOGAPS showing development.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 0split.jpg

Seems like it has a Cyclonic Turn to it and it appears 99L has cleared out most of the SAL.

[Scorpion]

I believe that NHC will mention this in the 11:30 TWO.

[whereverwx]

It definitely looks pretty interesting...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The LLC/MLC is low lat but it has deep convection and good turning. Nice outflow...This thing might already have a LLC under that convection. This is looking very good.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Actually, it being at a low latitude is a good thing because it will keep it away from the SAL.

[Beam]

Looks quite promising. At the very least, a nice pick-me-up after 99's disappointing performance. If it develops this far out, it'll be a nice, long, fun storm to track. (Although, as far south as it is, it may not seem so fun anymore 10-12 days out.)

Hope for a fish I suppose. (If it develops.)

[SWFLA_CANE]

Has there been a change in conditions since 99 passed because I remember 99 looked very good in this general area?

[SouthFloridawx]

This wave is gonna get an invest in the next couple of days. This really worries me how these waves are looking better and better as time goes on. I was kind of hoping the the cape verde season would shut down again cause we don't really need anymore major canes.

well, just remember, katrina was not a cape verde hurricane.... most everything that hit the coast last year was home grown.... so the cape verde season really does not have much to do with it...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Your right Jesse... I had that in the back of my head. Being that TUTT has been pretty strong in the Caribbean has kept out numbers low thus far. But, climatologically speaking we're getting to the point where wind shear is gonna start relaxing and I think with the pattern setting up is going to help favor those cape verde waves and of course we always have potential for home grown development.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Td10=Katrina. Why becaues the energy from Td10 went to form convection.

[ronjon]

Looks to have some circulation to it already plus lots of model support. Interesting that long-range GFS makes it a fish spinner in the central Atlantic.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/loop-avn.html

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

HOLY CRAP! That's all I need to say about this wave/potential invest.

[curtadams]

Excellent. I agree, this is the first time we are seeing some consensus from the models. I only hope it doesn't affect the islands.

Consensus that something is there but not on the details, plus some weird forecasts. Multiple interacting systems, systems popping up and disappearing, systems moving due east for a full day - there's some strange stuff in those models.

[Brent]

Nice wave. I'll be watching this one...