Happy Alex Day!

[cheezyWXguy]

Its the 2nd Anneversary of when Alex formed! I dont have anyy discussions or anything but im sure yall can help w/ that.
but heres a pic i found!

[brunota2003]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT JUL 31 2004

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OFF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST HAS SHOWN
INCREASING CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KT FROM TAFB AND 25 KT FROM SAB. THUS...
ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED ON THE SYSTEM AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ONE WITH 25 KT WINDS. WHILE THE DEPRESSION HAS A LARGE CYCLONIC
ENVELOPE...THE CENTER WAS VERY POORLY DEFINED ON THE RECONNAISSANCE
FLIGHT THIS MORNING...AND IT WOULD NOT BE A SURPRISE IF THE FLIGHT
SCHEDULED FOR 0000Z FINDS THE SAME.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 315/8. THE DEPRESSION IS
CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY THE WESTERN END OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE...WHILE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND LARGE-SCALE MODELS SHOW
DEEP-LAYER TROUGHING OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES MOVING EASTWARD.
ALL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE CYCLONE RECURVING NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH...WITH THE BIGGEST DIFFERENCES IN THE GUIDANCE BEING HOW
FAST IT MOVES AFTER RECURVATURE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK WILL
CALL FOR THE SYSTEM TO TURN NORTHWARD AT ABOUT 24 HR AND
NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 36 HR...BRUSHING THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST.
WHILE THE OFFICIAL TRACK CALLS FOR LANDFALL IN NORTH CAROLINA...
SEVERAL MODELS RECURVE THE CYCLONE SHARPLY ENOUGH TO KEEP THE
CENTER OFFSHORE.

THIS LARGE AND POORLY DEFINED SYSTEM WILL LIKELY TAKE TIME TO
CONSOLIDATE EVEN THOUGH CONDITIONS GENERALLY APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
INTENSIFICATION. THE INTENSITY FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR SLOW
STRENGTHENING UNTIL THE SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST. WHAT
INTENSIFICATION MAY OCCUR AFTER THE CYCLONE CLEARS THE U.S. EAST
COAST IS QUESTIONABLE...AS THE LARGE SCALE MODELS DISAGREE ON
WHETHER IT WILL DISSIPATE OR STRENGTHEN DURING INTERACTION WITH THE
WESTERLIES. FOR NOW...THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL COMPROMISE
BETWEEN THE TWO EXTREMES AND KEEP A STEADY 40 KT UNTIL
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.

THE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST REQUIRES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA AT
THIS TIME. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED IN A LATER
ADVISORY.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 31/2100Z 30.6N 78.6W 25 KT
12HR VT 01/0600Z 31.5N 79.3W 30 KT
24HR VT 01/1800Z 32.9N 79.2W 35 KT
36HR VT 02/0600Z 34.0N 78.0W 40 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 02/1800Z 35.2N 76.6W 40 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 03/1800Z 37.5N 73.5W 40 KT...OVER WATER
96HR VT 04/1800Z 40.0N 69.0W 40 KT
120HR VT 05/1800Z 46.0N 57.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL


$$
NNNN

Your welcome...Alex hit me...it was a pretty nasty little storm there...

[HURAKAN]

Alongside with Alberto, 2000, Alex was one of the best looking "A" storms I have seen. Happy second anniversary!!!

[mempho]

Alongside with Alberto, 2000, Alex was one of the best looking "A" storms I have seen. Happy second anniversary!!!

Andrew, Audrey, Alecia?

[HURAKAN]

Alongside with Alberto, 2000, Alex was one of the best looking "A" storms I have seen. Happy second anniversary!!!

Andrew, Audrey, Alecia?

Unfortunately I wasn't able to track Andrew, and I was not alive to track Audrey and Alicia. The other good "A" storms I have been able to track have been Alberto and Alex. To the list then we can also throw Anita from 1977 which was a cat. 5 when impacted Mexico.


Anita approaching the coast of Mexico (Wikipedia.)

[Jim Cantore]

Dont forget Allen

and heres another piece of history

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT JUL 31 2004

...FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2004 SEASON FORMS OFF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...TROPICAL STORM WATCH
ISSUED...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE COAST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.6 N... 78.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$
NNNN

[cheezyWXguy]

one thing that sucks for me is that i only tracked alex into hatteras and thought it was gone for good after that. so I missed the major status and checked TWC 2 days later and and saw the massive eye collapse