Invest 90L E of Carolina's,Comments,Sat Pics Etc
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- BensonTCwatcher
- Category 5
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- ConvergenceZone
- Category 5
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- Location: Northern California
From the latest TWO
"An area of low pressure located about 150 miles east-southeast of
Cape Hatteras North Carolina is moving slowly east-southeastward.
Although the associated shower activity is not well-organized at
this time...this system has some potential for development over the
next day or so. "
"An area of low pressure located about 150 miles east-southeast of
Cape Hatteras North Carolina is moving slowly east-southeastward.
Although the associated shower activity is not well-organized at
this time...this system has some potential for development over the
next day or so. "
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- Scott_inVA
- Storm2k Forecaster
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senorpepr wrote:Scorpion wrote:Its funny how this isn't even in the TWO.
Usually, TWOs are to reflect tropical weather happenings within the next 36 hours. For what it's worth, 99L shouldn't have been in the TWO nearly as long as it has.
Yep. Invest 90L came off VA/NC coast and is not tropical in origin.
Can't make the case this does anything but track east.
Very quick trigger this year with Invests.
Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA
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- stormtruth
- Category 2
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With this moisture plunging south (from New England), I get the impression 90L will have to go south.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html
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- brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
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- brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
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Code: Select all
4. SUSPECT AREA (OFF CAROLINA COAST)
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 01/2100Z A. 02/1200Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST B. AFXXX 0204A CYCLONE
C. 02/1715Z C. 02/0800Z
D. 33.0N 70.0W D. 32.0N 69.0W
E. 01/2030Z TO 02/0000Z E. 02/1130Z TO 1500Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
5. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK CONTINUE 12 HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
DEVELOPES AND IS A THREAT
Figured that would be pretty interesting...I wonder if they will fly to it tomorrow...I think it needs to get some convection closer to the center first though...
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- ConvergenceZone
- Category 5
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- Location: Northern California
HURAKAN wrote:http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_90.gif
I like the agreement between the models!!!

I hate it when storms are in this area with unclear steering currents. Remember what a headache Ophelia was?
Jeanne also was to the SE of this one and was a similar headache. It's going out to sea, no Cape Hatteras, no Florida, no Wilmington, no Florida again.
Last edited by Regit on Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:53 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
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FWIW, we can go ahead and toss out BAMM and BAMD for this system. This system is still in its beginning stages where mid- and deep-layers won't be a factor. That leaves us with the climo model, UKMET, and simple extrapolation. At this point, I would tend to look at something close to extrapolation, maybe with an influence on climo.
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- ConvergenceZone
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