curtadams wrote:wxmann_91 wrote:Wow, I had no idea. In any way, the disturbance in the bottom image is much more organized.
Good comparison wxman57!
It's very hard to determine organization from a single shot, but I think 99L is much more organized. Convection in the lower shot is rather scattered and there's some going on well away from the disturbance. Since it's a single shot, I can't say whether the updraft of the disturbance is generating any convection. With 99L, all the convection is occuring in the center's updraft - there's nothing whatsoever else going on. It's weak and it's sheared but it's as organized as a TD-level disturbance can be.
At the very least the environment around TD 10 is much better. I think someone here said that outflow boundaries aren't good for TC's, well you can compare. In addition, at least the center isn't separated from the convection.
It is clear that the strong shear is displacing the convection to the south. Bone-dry air in the mid-upper levels just adds to the misery. Only thing keeping this dude alive is the upper level divergence.