Tropical Storm Chris

[Stratosphere747]

That shear map will change...

This is still almost a week from entering the Gulf, with a big IF.

[BreinLa]

Okay, I've got a question and please don't say we have already answered that cause I don't have time to go back and read this thread right now since I am supposed to be working. What happened between last night (poof it's gonna disipate and 2:00 PM some strengthening"

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

If shear diminishes...SCARY:
http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

[El Nino]

Shear in GOM is ... DECREASING

[Noles2006]

It's almost a week out from any possible GOM entrance... calm down everyone, geez!

[WmE]

Wow, that's really scary. Zero shear in the northern GOM!

[beachbum_al]

If shear diminishes...SCARY:
http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

Yes you are telling that those maps are scary. Especially looking at the central gulf coast. Could support a H4 pretty close in and the shear is decreasing.

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 011809
AF303 0103A CHRIS HDOB 09 KNHC
1757. 1820N 06140W 00304 0037 030 023 240 222 024 00351 0000000000
1758 1818N 06139W 00301 0036 029 024 240 222 025 00348 0000000000
1758. 1817N 06137W 00300 0035 024 025 240 224 025 00346 0000000000
1759 1815N 06136W 00301 0034 024 025 240 226 025 00346 0000000000
1759. 1814N 06134W 00301 0034 029 025 240 228 026 00345 0000000000
1800 1813N 06133W 00300 0033 030 027 238 230 027 00344 0000000000
1800. 1811N 06131W 00301 0032 025 025 240 232 026 00343 0000000000
1801 1810N 06130W 00302 0031 028 026 240 228 026 00343 0000000000
1801. 1808N 06128W 00298 0030 027 026 240 228 026 00339 0000000000
1802 1807N 06127W 00292 0029 030 026 240 230 027 00332 0000000000
1802. 1806N 06126W 00303 0026 028 026 224 224 027 00340 0000000000
1803 1805N 06124W 00299 0024 027 029 232 232 030 00334 0000000000
1803. 1804N 06123W 00300 0023 031 030 236 228 031 00333 0000000000
1804 1802N 06122W 00302 0022 028 030 234 230 031 00334 0000000000
1804. 1801N 06121W 00301 0021 027 031 232 232 033 00333 0000000000
1805 1800N 06119W 00300 0020 023 032 228 228 033 00330 0000000000
1805. 1759N 06118W 00300 0018 025 031 234 234 032 00329 0000000000
1806 1758N 06117W 00302 0017 025 030 234 234 031 00329 0000000000
1806. 1756N 06116W 00298 0016 029 032 234 234 034 00324 0000000000
1807 1755N 06114W 00303 0014 028 034 230 230 034 00328 0000000000

[mvtrucking]

well ty but I cant get the data to plot right. anyone know why

Same here Aric

[Evil Jeremy]

34 MPH?

[Scorpion]

34 KTS

[brunota2003]

no...34 knots

[SouthFloridawx]

Are they flying at 5,000?

[Brent]

Okay, I've got a question and please don't say we have already answered that cause I don't have time to go back and read this thread right now since I am supposed to be working. What happened between last night (poof it's gonna disipate and 2:00 PM some strengthening"

Basically, it was simply a different forecaster. The 11pm advisory also had no strengthening(which by 2am was already not true), and no Chris, so that probably affected it too.

[x-y-no]

34 MPH?

Knots. Flight level.

[Scorpion]

Yes, I believe they are.

[cycloneye]

Hey please comments at recon discussion thread!!!.

[Derek Ortt]

flight is at 1000 feet; thus, apply a .75-.8 reduction factor to get the surface winds

[beachbum_al]

I think the last two years has everyone around the Gulf of Mexico on the edge. Even the thought of a storm entering the Gulf gives a lot of people chills up their spine. Yes, this storm is at least 5 days out but people are nervous. Yes, a lot could happen but people are thinking about what happen last year.

So I am off on my way to the Gulf this afternoon to go see the inlaws. For those of you are being directly effected by TS Chris at the moment and days to come be careful!

[Stratosphere747]

*sigh*

Almost a week out.....And the current shear map is causing worries...??