NW Pacific: TS Prapiroon (0606)

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NW Pacific: TS Prapiroon (0606)

#1 Postby P.K. » Fri Jul 28, 2006 5:13 am

This is unofficially down as 96W on the NRL page. If it was to be upgraded the next number is 0606.

WWJP25 RJTD 280600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600.
WARNING VALID 290600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 44N 146E
51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 42N 180E 37N 171E 39N 150E 40N 142E.
SUMMARY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13N 129E NNW SLOWLY.
LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 160E SE 10 KT.
LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 166E SSE 10 KT.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 28N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 113E TO 38N 124E 37N 131E 38N 138E 35N
145E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 158E TO 34N 169E 40N 174E 45N 180E 48N
176W.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
Last edited by P.K. on Fri Aug 04, 2006 7:08 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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Re: NW Pacific: Tropical Depression (13N 129E)

#2 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Jul 28, 2006 5:47 am

P.K. wrote:This is unofficially down as 96W on the NRL page. If it was to be upgraded the next number is 0606.


Sorry, but next nummber is 0706.
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#3 Postby P.K. » Fri Jul 28, 2006 5:57 am

No, it is 0606. Here is an advisory from Kaemi, the last storm, which was 0605.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0605 KAEMI (0605)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 232100UTC 20.6N 124.1E FAIR
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 260NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 242100UTC 22.6N 121.1E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
45HF 251800UTC 23.2N 117.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
69HF 261800UTC 24.5N 113.5E 220NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
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#4 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Jul 28, 2006 9:09 am

P.K. wrote:No, it is 0606. Here is an advisory from Kaemi, the last storm, which was 0605.



Hi P.K., at JTWC and many other sources "Kaemi" was 0606.
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#5 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 28, 2006 9:22 am

TheEuropean wrote:
P.K. wrote:No, it is 0606. Here is an advisory from Kaemi, the last storm, which was 0605.



Hi P.K., at JTWC and many other sources "Kaemi" was 0606.


But the official office in this part of the world is JMA, which has only named five systems so far. Therefore if this system develops it will be 0606.

Always remember that JMA uses 10-min, therefore, if a system is 40 mph 1-min the JTWC will upgrade it to tropical storm, but not the JMA since it will be a 35 mph 10-min system.
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#6 Postby P.K. » Fri Jul 28, 2006 12:54 pm

That is correct yes. It is the year first and the system number second though so 0706 won't form until next year. :)
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#7 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 29, 2006 2:38 pm

Image

Image

WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200.WARNING VALID 301200.WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.GALE WARNING.DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPAAT 37N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS.EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEASTSEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.WARNING.DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAIYELLOW SEA.WARNING.DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 142E47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 38N 165E 36N 150E 39N 142E.SUMMARY.TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14N 128E WNW SLOWLY.HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 130E WNW SLOWLY.STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 119E TO 38N 126E 36N 132E 34N 139E 34N 147E30N 155E.JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=



It has blossomed over the past few hours. It's convective coverage is looking really good, and flooding and landslides should be the main concern for the Phillipines.
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#8 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:10 pm

Image

WTPN21 PGTW 300230
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 300221Z JUL 06//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
A 210 NM RADIUS OF 14.4N 126.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CY-
CLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 292330Z INDICATES THAT A
CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 126.9E. THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14.4N 126.9E, APPROXIMATE-
LY 360 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION
INCREASING IN THE VICINITY OF A BROAD BUT TIGHTENING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS MAY EXIST WITHIN
THE BROAD LLCC BUT CONSOLIDATION INTO A WARNABLE SYSTEM IS EXPECT-
ED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR O-
VER THE LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ALOFT. A CIRC-
ULAR FORMATION AREA IS BEING USED DUE TO POOR MODEL PERFORMANCE THUS
FAR WITH THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE AT
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004
MB. DUE TO INCREASING ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC AND ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 310230Z.//

Image

Looking better!!!
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#9 Postby whereverwx » Mon Jul 31, 2006 12:54 am

The storm looks badly sheared and will be nearing landfall soon.

Image
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#10 Postby P.K. » Mon Jul 31, 2006 4:43 am

Well it has now dropped to 1002hPa after being at 1004hPa for two days.

WWJP25 RJTD 310600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600.
WARNING VALID 010600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA
AT 35N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
300 MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E
47N 151E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 37N 165E 35N 148E 36N 141E.
SUMMARY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 16N 122E WNW 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 144E WNW 10 KT.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 29N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1032 HPA AT 48N 172E ESE 10 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 107E TO 35N 112E 38N 115E 40N 121E 41N
126E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 141E TO 30N 150E 41N 157E 41N 162E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
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#11 Postby P.K. » Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:43 pm

Winds are up to 30kts.

WARNING AND SUMMARY 311800.
WARNING VALID 011800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA
AT 16.7N 119.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 142E
51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 37N 160E 36N 149E 35N 141E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1002 HPA AT 40N 121E NE 25 KT.
LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 149E NE SLOWLY.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 44N 159E NE 20 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 143E WEST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 30N 127E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 53N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY.
WARM FRONT FROM 44N 159E TO 45N 164E 44N 169E.
COLD FRONT FROM 44N 159E TO 41N 157E 38N 154E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 154E TO 37N 152E 31N 150E 27N 145E 26N 140E
26N 134E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 108E TO 35N 116E 40N 121E 41N 130E 38N
139E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
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#12 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:45 pm

Links and satellite imagery for this TD (07W) is now available on the Storm2k Worldwide Tropical Update.

http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/
http://tropicalupdate.storm2k.org/wpac.htm
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#13 Postby Cyclenall » Tue Aug 01, 2006 1:59 am

Image

This is the current shot at the storm. As of this posting time, wow that is big!
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#14 Postby P.K. » Tue Aug 01, 2006 2:14 am

A lot of things have been upgraded over night!

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0606 PRAPIROON (0606) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010600UTC 17.0N 117.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
30KT 110NM
FORECAST
24HF 020600UTC 17.9N 114.7E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
48HF 030600UTC 18.8N 112.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 040600UTC 20.0N 110.9E 220NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
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#15 Postby P.K. » Tue Aug 01, 2006 2:02 pm

Upgraded again.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0606 PRAPIROON (0606) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011800UTC 17.5N 116.0E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
30KT 200NM
FORECAST
24HF 021800UTC 18.4N 113.2E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
48HF 031800UTC 19.7N 111.0E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
72HF 041800UTC 21.1N 109.3E 220NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
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#16 Postby senorpepr » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:04 pm

Links and satellite imagery for STS Prapiroon (07W) is now available on the Storm2k Worldwide Tropical Update.

http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/
http://tropicalupdate.storm2k.org/wpac.htm
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#17 Postby P.K. » Wed Aug 02, 2006 8:08 am

Now a 65kt typhoon.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0606 PRAPIROON (0606) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021200UTC 19.2N 113.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 200NM
FORECAST
24HF 031200UTC 20.2N 110.6E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
48HF 041200UTC 21.4N 108.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 051200UTC 22.1N 107.1E 220NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
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#18 Postby P.K. » Thu Aug 03, 2006 8:50 am

It peaked at 70kts (965hPa), but it now down to 65kts as it makes landfall.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0606 PRAPIROON (0606)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 031200UTC 21.6N 111.5E FAIR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM EAST 200NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 041200UTC 23.5N 108.1E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
48HF 051200UTC 23.7N 105.4E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION

Image
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#19 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:05 pm

whats the latest?
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#20 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:09 pm

BTW, Prapiroon means "God of Rain".
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