Tropical Storm Chris

Website · #661 Postby **Brent** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:34 pm

brunota2003 wrote:I say 50 MPH at 5 PM advisory...

Same here.

Should be out shortly...

cheezyWXguy · #662 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:34 pm

i say 55

jhamps10 · #663 Postby **jhamps10** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:35 pm

stormtruth wrote:The increase in the number of of users is directly proportional to the increase in the wind speed of the tropical system.

But on a serious note, it wouldn't suprise me to see NHC go to 50 or 55 MPH at 5pm.

WindRunner · #664 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:35 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
CapeVerdeWave wrote:Starting to turn back towards the area of deepest convection... based on the wind patterns, I suspect we may see some impressive flight-level winds begin to show up.

Agreed and that's why I think it is perfect timing that recon is going back in now.

The only problem is that the advisory will most likely be sent by the time they reach the center, which will not occur in the next set of obs, but most likely the set after that, i.e. the vortex will come out right around 5pm.

Swimdude · #665 Postby **Swimdude** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:35 pm

I'm going with 50 mph @ 5.

MiamiensisWx · #666 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:35 pm

I say 45MPH at the 5PM EST advisory. Being conservative here.

Scorpion · #667 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:35 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:i say 55

Not possible. 50 mph seems a definite, unless recon finds stronger winds soon.

mtm4319 · #668 Postby **mtm4319** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:36 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:i say 55

Due to rounding, you usually don't see 55mph in an advisory. 45 knots = 50mph rounded to the nearest 5mph, and 50 knots rounds to 60 mph.

#669 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:36 pm

5 PM advisory shortly.It's possible that Puerto Rico and the VI will be with a Tropical Storm Warning.

Grease Monkey · #670 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:36 pm

I think that won't be suprising to a lot of us.

WindRunner · #671 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:37 pm

Psst . . . everybody . . . there is no 55mph.

45kts = 50 mph
50kts = 60 mph

:wink:

Aquawind · #672 Postby **Aquawind** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:38 pm

Whata difference a couple hours can make.. I didn't think it would be a TS from the visuals earlier today and Badda Bing.. it's stronger.. :lol:

TG for RECON! :cheesy:

cheezyWXguy · #673 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:38 pm

i hate the magic number...

DESTRUCTION5 · #674 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:38 pm

WindRunner wrote:Psst . . . everybody . . . there is no 55mph.

45kts = 50 mph
50kts = 60 mph

50 MPH Most likley...

jhamps10 · #675 Postby **jhamps10** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:39 pm

I just realized that, 50 MPH, my final answer.

DESTRUCTION5 · #676 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:39 pm

cycloneye wrote:5 PM advisory shortly.It's possible that Puerto Rico and the VI will be with a Tropical Storm Warning.

id Think more Like Guarenteed...

Derek Ortt · #677 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:40 pm

I'm going 45 in the nwhhc update at 5, unless I see some additional recon data soon. Surface estimates don't cut it

Scorpion · #678 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:40 pm

Hurricane Watch might be required.

#679 Postby **Toadstool** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:40 pm

WindRunner wrote:Psst . . . everybody . . . there is no 55mph.

45kts = 50 mph
50kts = 60 mph

Can I just say, I wish they would post in MPH or all of us lay people just switch to KTS... At least we should speak in the same terms. And why have hurricane categories based on MPH when we get reports in KTS? "Can't we all just get along?"

HouTXmetro · #680 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:40 pm

cycloneye wrote:5 PM advisory shortly.It's possible that Puerto Rico and the VI will be with a Tropical Storm Warning.

Would you be suprised if a Hurricane watch was issued?

Tropical Storm Chris

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