Tropical Storm Chris

[Scorpion]

Looks like NHC was only 10 kts off...

[Brent]

64 kts!

Are you sure? What is that at?

2043 1757N 06049W 00461 5038 137 057 240 238 064 00433 000000000

[max]

That converts to 51 knots surface

So thats a little faster mph than it was before.

[Audrey2Katrina]

cant wait till next year when we can finally get past the "rita" and "katrina" references......

You'll be hearing about them being referenced for many years to come--just as we still hear about Ivan, Charley and Andrew--which was 14 years ago.

A2K

[Aquawind]

Vortex looks to be soon..

[max]

Please tell me we aren't watching a rapid strengthing like Hurricane Wilma or quicker. I hope not. I don't think it will but just saying.

It better not.

[WindRunner]

That converts to 51 knots surface

So thats a little faster mph than it was before.

Well, the NHC has its intensity at 40kts in two minutes . . .

[Jim Cantore]

up to 45mph and down 2mb

Looks like he's bubbling up some convection, wouldn't be suprised to see further strengthening

[CrazyC83]

What are the chances of it reaching the Loop Current and becoming a monster?

[Scorpion]

up to 45mph and down 2mb

Looks like he's bubbling up some convection, wouldn't be suprised to see further strengthening

It's now up to 60... pressure should be down some.

[shaggy]

cant wait till next year when we can finally get past the "rita" and "katrina" references......This storm is also tracking like a dozen other storms and it may never even get close to the track or intensity of rita!

I think it will take a LONG time before Rita and, especially; Katrina references subside.

i dont want to come across as downplaying their destruction but to compare apples to oranges is getting a bit tiresome.If it was september then the ridge setup would be different and we would be getting "this is just like floyd" post!..

Chris is going to make a name for himself and thats what people need to focus on not what he reminds them of!

[WindRunner]

[Toadstool]

I just still wonder if the storm turns north or stays pressed west by the ridge...

[max]

That converts to 51 knots surface

So thats a little faster mph than it was before.

Well, the NHC has its intensity at 40kts in two minutes . . .

Is that good or bad?

[MiamiensisWx]

I personally believe the current track will be shifted slightly northward and eastward in the Gulf of Mexico due to the evolution of heights (ridging) to the north of Chris and troughing synoptics evolving in the mid-central United States now.

Link

Right now, there is a slightly amplifying trough in the mid-central U.S., which may be progged to erode the mid-level to low-level ridging over the east-central U.S. (Ohio Valley) and southeast United States. Given the synoptics, it may be rather difficult for Chris to get even as far west as southeast to south-central Texas. I see an east-central to central (not far western) Gulf and southern/southeast Florida or middle Keys impact as more likely.

[Trugunzn]

64 flight level winds

[TexasF6]

Why didn't the NHC wait for RECON? That is odd, unless they don't wish to alarm people....if he is booming we should know! He looks OK on sat pics...

[cheezyWXguy]

Please tell me we aren't watching a rapid strengthing like Hurricane Wilma or quicker. I hope not. I don't think it will but just saying.

It better not.

Its practicly impossible to get strengthening faster than wilma's record for most rapid strengthening in the world...but steady-quick strengthening is certainly not out of the question

[WindRunner]

That converts to 51 knots surface

So thats a little faster mph than it was before.

Well, the NHC has its intensity at 40kts in two minutes . . .

Is that good or bad?

That just means that the NHC is wrong for their 5pm advisory intensity. As to whether or not they issue an update, we'll have to see . . .

[southerngale]

Political comments have been removed - please keep them out of here.