Tropical Storm Chris

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HurricaneHunter914
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#841 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:41 pm

We'll it is forecasted to become a cane, but things can change quickly.
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WindRunner
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#842 Postby WindRunner » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:41 pm

Image

And that last point should say 21:37Z
Last edited by WindRunner on Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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StormsAhead
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#843 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:41 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 012139
AF303 0103A CHRIS HDOB 30 KNHC
2127. 1918N 06025W 00302 0048 108 031 236 208 032 00360 0000000000
2128 1918N 06027W 00301 0048 104 032 234 214 032 00359 0000000000
2128. 1918N 06029W 00303 0047 104 032 232 220 033 00361 0000000000
2129 1918N 06031W 00312 0048 106 031 234 214 032 00371 0000000000
2129. 1919N 06034W 00319 0048 105 032 232 214 033 00377 0000000000
2130 1919N 06036W 00322 0048 104 032 230 226 032 00380 0000000000
2130. 1919N 06038W 00327 0047 104 034 232 216 034 00384 0000000000
2131 1919N 06040W 00334 0047 101 034 228 226 034 00392 0000000000
2131. 1919N 06043W 00346 0048 098 036 228 220 036 00404 0000000000
2132 1920N 06045W 00349 0048 099 035 228 222 036 00407 0000000000
2132. 1920N 06047W 00351 0048 098 036 228 220 036 00409 0000000000
2133 1920N 06050W 00362 0048 098 034 226 226 035 00420 0000000000
2133. 1920N 06052W 00346 0047 097 036 228 222 036 00404 0000000000
2134 1920N 06054W 00309 0045 095 035 230 224 035 00364 0000000000
2134. 1921N 06057W 00304 0044 093 034 234 224 035 00359 0000000000
2135 1921N 06059W 00305 0045 094 033 232 226 034 00361 0000000000
2135. 1921N 06101W 00304 0045 089 033 232 228 033 00360 0000000000
2136 1921N 06104W 00305 0045 092 034 234 222 035 00360 0000000000
2136. 1921N 06106W 00306 0045 088 034 232 228 035 00362 0000000000
2137 1922N 06108W 00304 0045 084 033 232 228 033 00359 0000000000
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Extremeweatherguy
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#844 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:41 pm

I would not be surprised to see a Cat. 2 or 3 cane out of this down the road.
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HurricaneHunter914
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#845 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:41 pm

Sorry, I was just quoting what he said.
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raindrops68
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#846 Postby raindrops68 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:44 pm

Having a bad gut feeling about this one :(
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Grease Monkey
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#847 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:44 pm

stormtruth wrote:
Grease Monkey wrote:I doubt this will be a wilma, but I wouldn't be suprised to see a Cat3 out of this somewhere during it's tropical life span.


Are your hurri senses telling you that? :lol: It is starting to look canish already on the visible satellite.


No I came up with this all on my own. Using my hurri senses would be cheating. :wink:
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#848 Postby GeneratorPower » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:44 pm

I think we need to issue a "Bomb Watch" due to the potential for favorable conditions in the Gulf and warm water. If this tracks right through the FL Straits, it's a serious problem.

Interaction with land is the only thing that could substantially halt the intensification processs on the way to the Gulf.

All of this is courtesy of, and a tip-o-the-hat to, August.
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#849 Postby CaneCurious » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:44 pm

:roll: I think we, in the GOM, might have to worry.
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WindRunner
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#850 Postby WindRunner » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:44 pm

Making a northern leg now . . . setting up for a NW-SE pass. Should be interesting to see what they find in the SE quad, since that was very strong earlier.
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#851 Postby hial2 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:46 pm

I hate to bring this up but....this setup reminds me a lot about a certain hurricane back in 1992 whose name begins with the letter "A".... :eek:


Very similar track, and the ULL that was going to destroy it @ same place...
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Trugunzn
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#852 Postby Trugunzn » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:47 pm

is the center in between those to red lines????


Image
Last edited by Trugunzn on Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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WindRunner
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#853 Postby WindRunner » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:47 pm

hial2 wrote:I hate to bring this up but....this setup reminds me a lot about a certain hurricane back in 1992 whose name begins with the letter "A".... :eek:


Very similar track, and the ULL that was going to destroy it @ same place...


. . . and the environmental pressures are high . . . scary thoughts you bring up there.
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#854 Postby StormScanWx » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:49 pm

I'm lurking around these threads and not posting a lot, but I will say this:

Chris has sure pulled his look together since yesterday!!!

People in South Florida and all the GOM coast states should keep a close watch on Chris!
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ericinmia
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#855 Postby ericinmia » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:50 pm

WindRunner wrote:
hial2 wrote:I hate to bring this up but....this setup reminds me a lot about a certain hurricane back in 1992 whose name begins with the letter "A".... :eek:


Very similar track, and the ULL that was going to destroy it @ same place...


. . . and the environmental pressures are high . . . scary thoughts you bring up there.


Oh man... I just got Incredible chills thinking of that. Too hard to compare them now, but wow... some things are similar.

Don't bash, we all know this isn't Andrew and prob. wouldn't be... but there is alawys a chance for something like that again.
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#856 Postby StormsAhead » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:51 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 012149
AF303 0103A CHRIS HDOB 31 KNHC
2137. 1922N 06110W 00306 0045 083 030 230 224 031 00361 0000000000
2138 1922N 06113W 00305 0045 084 032 232 218 033 00360 0000000000
2138. 1922N 06115W 00305 0045 087 034 234 212 035 00360 0000000000
2139 1922N 06117W 00305 0045 088 032 236 210 032 00361 0000000000
2139. 1922N 06119W 00304 0046 093 032 240 188 032 00361 0000000000
2140 1923N 06122W 00306 0047 091 031 242 196 031 00363 0000000000
2140. 1923N 06124W 00303 0046 089 033 236 214 034 00360 0000000000
2141 1923N 06126W 00306 0047 087 034 236 212 035 00364 0000000000
2141. 1923N 06129W 00304 0047 085 035 234 222 035 00362 0000000000
2142 1923N 06131W 00305 0046 088 034 234 210 035 00362 0000000000
2142. 1924N 06133W 00304 0046 092 036 238 192 036 00361 0000000000
2143 1924N 06136W 00302 0047 090 036 240 190 036 00359 0000000000
2143. 1924N 06138W 00296 0046 085 036 236 218 037 00353 0000000000
2144 1924N 06140W 00304 0046 072 030 238 234 033 00361 0000000000
2144. 1924N 06142W 00306 0045 075 029 236 232 029 00361 0000000000
2145 1924N 06143W 00304 0045 077 031 236 232 032 00359 0000000000
2145. 1925N 06145W 00305 0045 076 031 238 230 032 00361 0000000000
2146 1925N 06147W 00306 0045 077 030 240 232 032 00361 0000000000
2146. 1925N 06149W 00304 0045 075 030 236 234 030 00359 0000000000
2147 1925N 06151W 00305 0045 073 030 238 234 030 00361 0000000000
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HouTXmetro
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#857 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:52 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:I would not be surprised to see a Cat. 2 or 3 cane out of this down the road.


If it manages to get into the GOM intact all bets are OFF!!!
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#858 Postby wxwonder12 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:52 pm

Question?? If the NHC was posting the forecast path to the right of the models earlier today, what has made them shift more to the South at this point. Does this look like it may be the trend now and perhaps miss S Florida all together?? Thanks in advance.
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N2DaTropics
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#859 Postby N2DaTropics » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:53 pm

CaneCurious wrote::roll: I think we, in the GOM, might have to worry.




I don't think we have a lot to worry about here in the FL Panhandle as it appears as though we will be protected by a ridge building in that should keep Chris on a more westerly track...now, if I lived in LA/TX I would be more concerned...that is not to say that I have written Chris off, but at this point it appears as though the Eastern GOM is not going to be directly impacted by Chris
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#860 Postby WindRunner » Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:53 pm

Image
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