NE Hurricane Could Cripple Economy (forecasters worried)

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Hybridstorm_November2001
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#21 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:23 pm

Such a monster storm is something that I hope never happens in my lifetime. Being in the forecasting community in this part of the World it haunts my worst nightmares.
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#22 Postby HurricaneJim » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:13 pm

You think a hurricane is scary? I have an economist friend of mine who sat me down the other day and explained to me what a current US dollar really is, how it has evolved, what it's backed by and the house of cards it currently sits on...

But that's another issue.

A couple of things need to be examined when discussing storm impacts, terrain being a big first.

New Orleans got smoked so bad because lake water was allowed to enter the canal system, which burst, and then it couldn't get out. Once the wind surge went down and they got the pumps back online, they pumped it out. However, subterrainian flooding posed a major headache. We pumped 5.5 MILLION gallons out of the basement of the Ritz Carlton. Took a week, 24-7 with some serious units on site.

NYC would have similar underground flooding, but for the most part, the surge will run back out when the storm passes. Same for Long Island and NJ, all of which have had floods in the past but recovered.

Those areas, however, haven't been subjected to hurricane force winds lately, like FL has. Whereas areas where these winds come almost every season and thus everything that's wind vulnerable has been taken down already, NY, NJ, etc haven't experienced that. A stiff 3 and you'd see the power distribution network torn, tangled and thrown around like a ball of yarn. That's gonna be a real mean lady to fix and that's where the major impact will be...business don't go without 'da juice.

And then there's the bazzillions of stick and drywall crap houses that we build...up there without hurricane resistent building codes. I refer you to the old "Duck and Cover" movies for that scenario.

Between those two factors, it'd be very, very bad news.

PS: Cool vids mark.

Jim
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max

#23 Postby max » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:18 pm

HurricaneJim your right the building code is just not very good up there for Hurricanes like it is in Fl.

It will be a horrible mess when a major hurricane hits the NE.
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#24 Postby HurricaneJim » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:20 pm

The old stuff will survive...mortise and tenon. The new stuff is toast.

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