Galveston is a long, long drive...
Jim
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Air Force Met wrote:Somewhere west of 90...my gut call right now.
JB is singing...in the words of Glen Campbell..."Galveston, Oh Galveston."
Given it is at 18N already...and still moving WNW...I think it will survive Hispanola. Cuba might ding it...but the GOM will build it back.
Air Force Met wrote:Somewhere west of 90...my gut call right now.
JB is singing...in the words of Glen Campbell..."Galveston, Oh Galveston."
Air Force Met wrote:Somewhere west of 90...my gut call right now.
JB is singing...in the words of Glen Campbell..."Galveston, Oh Galveston."
Given it is at 18N already...and still moving WNW...I think it will survive Hispanola. Cuba might ding it...but the GOM will build it back.
Bailey1777 wrote:AFM as I said yesterday I really appreciate your expertiese. We are obviously from the same area so I ask you is a Galveston area hit looking that probable? That just seems like a very long way for a storm to travel without finding a weakness and heading North.
vbhoutex wrote:Bailey1777 wrote:AFM as I said yesterday I really appreciate your expertiese. We are obviously from the same area so I ask you is a Galveston area hit looking that probable? That just seems like a very long way for a storm to travel without finding a weakness and heading North.
It is a long way for a storm to travel and not find a weakness. However the ridge is expected to build in and extend far West into the GOM as time progresses. There aren't any troughs or other disturbances making it far enough South to make a dent in that ridge either. I don't like the scenario that is starting to take shape either, but at this point in time, which I know is far far out to even say anything, it appears to me that Western GOMers will be watching Chris very closely in about 7 days. I am praying that before Chris makes it too far West(ie before the Bahamas even)he does find a weakness to sneak into and head N into the Atlantic.
It will follow the upper low if the high to the north is where i think it will be.LaBreeze wrote:So you're thinking of more of a Texas hit KFDM? What about the possibility of the ULL hanging out in the western GOM? Wouldn't that block a westward progression of Chris? Just wondering on your thoughts.
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