SJU Radar Loop

[Brent]

OK, I've added the topo maps now. I think the imagery speaks for itself. It's still losing latitude.


http://mywebpages.comcast.net/wxman0071 ... 0Z_02Z.gif

What happened to the land?

[AJC3]

OK, I've added the topo maps now. I think the imagery speaks for itself. It's still losing latitude.


http://mywebpages.comcast.net/wxman0071 ... 0Z_02Z.gif

What happened to the land?

Holy Atlantis, Batman! Fixing it now.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Come on chris lift your front up. I think he will this is normal when the high is building to the north.

[AJC3]

Ya know, kids, having had the chance to look at IR2 imagery, I think there's a good chance that Chris is in the process of decoupling. The CDO is starting to get pushed south of the low cloud elements. It'll be interesting to see if this trend continues.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Ya know, kids, having had the chance to look at IR2 imagery, I think there's a good chance that Chris is in the process of decoupling. The CDO is starting to get pushed south of the low cloud elements. It'll be interesting to see if this trend continues.

what would this mean for the future of Chris?

[tgenius]

Ya know, kids, having had the chance to look at IR2 imagery, I think there's a good chance that Chris is in the process of decoupling. The CDO is starting to get pushed south of the low cloud elements. It'll be interesting to see if this trend continues.

Decoupling huh? if so, what would be the typical timeframe for it to dissipate?

[Furious George]

Man, the thing looks like it's moving nearly SW and will almost clip PR. Probably won't happen, but I'd be worried if I was in Hispaniola right now. Won't side with the GFDL just yet, but the NHC update should be interesting.

[Damar91]

Ya know, kids, having had the chance to look at IR2 imagery, I think there's a good chance that Chris is in the process of decoupling. The CDO is starting to get pushed south of the low cloud elements. It'll be interesting to see if this trend continues.

What's decoupling?

[Stratosphere747]

possible poof....

[AJC3]

Ya know, kids, having had the chance to look at IR2 imagery, I think there's a good chance that Chris is in the process of decoupling. The CDO is starting to get pushed south of the low cloud elements. It'll be interesting to see if this trend continues.

what would this mean for the future of Chris?

Well, it would essentially shear the top half of the storm away. Would be pretty bad for its future -might spell the end IF, and that's a big if, the system was to completely decouple.

Not saying it's going to happen...just something to watch for if the trend continues.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

[Stratosphere747]

LOL...

Can hear the air going out of winds....

[AJC3]

Something else to look at here...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

Look at the top right corner. See those high clouds ripping off toward the SW? That's likely the back side of the trough or low that;s going to be chasing Chris. Actually, it looks like it may be already chasing it.

[tgenius]

Something else to look at here...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

Look at the top right corner. See those high clouds ripping off toward the SW? That's likely the back side of the trough or low that;s going to be chasing Chris. Actually, it looks like it may be already chasing it.

What would that translate to in short/longer term?

[marcane_1973]

You can clearly see now Chris is movin wsw and it is not a wooble. If it is a wobble it is one big wobble because this has been going on for several hours now. This is good news for the U.S. because Cuba just might tear this thing apart and byes byes goes Chris.

[AJC3]

LOL...

Can hear the air going out of winds....

Hey, not trying to be the downer-guy here. You still have a very vigorous TC out there that spun up and strenghtened in the face of some significant dry air and shear. You don't think Chris would go down without a fight, right?

[Furious George]

NHC has a 5% chance of dissipation in the next 72 hours. It also shows a 5% chance of being a CAT 4-5 storm in 72 hours.

6 Hours ago I would have thought the latter was more likely - still don't see disipation though unless trends continue and it interacts with land. All possible, but not too likely.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... html?table

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

LOL...

Can hear the air going out of winds....

Hey, not trying to be the downer-guy here. You still have a very vigorous TC out there that spun up and strenghtened in the face of some significant dry air and shear. You don't think Chris would go down without a fight, right?

AJC3, how close do you think this system can get to Puerto Rico? (approximately)...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I been tracking that tutt/ULL to its east for the last 24 hours. In it has catched it...But a high pressure at the surface is going to push it more to the west which will increase its forward speed. Come on Chris you can do it I'm on your side!

[Extremeweatherguy]

looks like Chris stalled at the end of that loop. Seems like it is just sitting there now. I actually AM hoping for this to come back and become a hurricane. We need to end the "curse of Chris" sometime or another!

BTW: The "curse of Chris" is the fact that the last many storms named Chris were all heavily sheared and never got past weak hurricane strength. It will only be broken when a storm named Chris can become a well-defined hurricane.