Tropical Storm Chris

[HURAKAN]

I think I will have to take out my "tropical storm warning" flag!!!

[greg_kfdm_tv]

This ought to be a reminder to those who were bashing forecaster Franklin at the National Hurricane Center.

In the first forecast on this system, he called for the eventual demise of Chris near the Bahamas. Many on this board were critical of his forecast.

We should always remember that no forecaster has all the answers.

[miamicanes177]

SXXX50 KNHC 031211
AF300 0503A CHRIS HDOB 45 KNHC
1159. 1943N 06734W 01492 0117 325 019 168 146 020 01641 0000000000
1200 1941N 06735W 01491 0116 321 022 164 160 023 01640 0000000000
1200. 1939N 06737W 01491 0117 324 022 162 162 023 01641 0000000000
1201 1937N 06738W 01491 0118 322 019 164 156 020 01641 0000000000
1201. 1935N 06740W 01491 0118 319 019 170 134 020 01642 0000000000
1202 1933N 06741W 01491 0119 320 020 166 140 021 01643 0000000000
1202. 1932N 06743W 01491 0119 318 019 172 118 019 01643 0000000000
1203 1930N 06744W 01492 0119 327 019 176 114 020 01644 0000000000
1203. 1928N 06746W 01491 0119 331 019 176 106 020 01643 0000000000
1204 1926N 06747W 01491 0120 327 018 166 138 018 01644 0000000000
1204. 1924N 06748W 01496 0122 320 016 164 150 016 01651 0000000000
1205 192vfvGgv 01494 0120 297 016 164 154 016 01647 0000000000
1205. 1921N 06745W 01491 0119 292 017 162 154 018 01643 0000000000
1206 1919N 06743W 01491 0119 292 018 164 150 018 01643 0000000000
1206. 1918N 06741W 01491 0119 295 019 162 154 019 01643 0000000000
1207 1916N 06739W 01577 0121 296 017 156 150 019 01731 0000000000
1207. 1915N 06737W 01971 0144 276 015 146 124 016 02148 0000000000
1208 1913N 06735W 02350 0155 271 015 128 104 015 02549 0000000000
1208. 1912N 06733W 02712 0176 293 012 106 072 014 02935 0000000000
1209 1911N 06731W 03059 0199 323 014 088 050 014 03306 0000000000

[miamicanes177]

692
URNT12 KNHC 031055 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/12:00:40Z
B. 20 deg 14 min N
066 deg 32 min W
C. 850 mb 1532 m
D. 30 kt
E. 45 deg 065 nm
F. 120 deg 028 kt
G. 045 deg 062 nm
H. EXTRAP 1013 mb
I. 17 C/ 1524 m
J. 19 C/ 1527 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 13 / 8
O. 0.02 / 6 nm
P. AF300 0503A CHRIS OB 16 CCA
MAX FL WIND 28 KT NE QUAD 10:11:40 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB

[Air Force Met]

This ought to be a reminder to those who were bashing forecaster Franklin at the National Hurricane Center.

In the first forecast on this system, he called for the eventual demise of Chris near the Bahamas. Many on this board were critical of his forecast.

We should always remember that no forecaster has all the answers.

Yep...and when some of us were suggesting yesterday that he didn't look good on satellite...you would think we were calling their kids ugly.

Seriously. I think we will see some bursting now that he is speeding up a bit towrds the COL. Whether it is enough to keep him alive long enough to make it to the promised land...nobody knows.

[HouTXmetro]

Signs of life, convection pooping up in the outer most bands?

[Normandy]

Honestly, it doesn't matter if Chris becomes a cane soon or not...All he needs to do is MAKE it to the gulf in some form, and he has a shot at becoming a big story.....so if he gets there I would be worried.

[miamicanes177]

880
URNT12 KNHC 031219
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/12:08:50Z
B. 20 deg 21 min N
066 deg 48 min W
C. 850 mb 1538 m
D. 15 kt
E. 138 deg 079 nm
F. 221 deg 031 kt
G. 138 deg 088 nm
H. 1012 mb
I. 13 C/ 1526 m
J. 19 C/ 1524 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 13 / 8
O. 0.02 / 15 nm
P. AF300 0503A CHRIS OB 19
MAX FL WIND 31 KT SE QUAD 11:16:10 Z

[dwsqos2]

883
UZNT13 KNHC 031220
XXAA 53128 99204 70668 07906 99012 26411 ///// 00102 26011 29511
92787 21601 31008 85520 20226 01005 88999 77999
31313 09608 81141
61616 AF300 0503A CHRIS OB 20
62626 SPL 2037N06679W 1144 LST WND 019 MBL WND 30009 AEV 20604 DL
M WND 30508 009869 WL150 29010 093 =
XXBB 53128 99204 70668 07906 00012 26411 11880 19603 22850 20226
33843 19033
21212 00012 ///// 11009 28011 22997 29510 33869 30506 44843 03006
31313 09608 81141
61616 AF300 0503A CHRIS OB 20
62626 SPL 2037N06679W 1144 LST WND 019 MBL WND 30009 AEV 20604 DL
M WND 30508 009869 WL150 29010 093 =
;

[miamicanes177]

SXXX50 KNHC 031221
AF300 0503A CHRIS HDOB 46 KNHC
1209. 1910N 06729W 03285 0219 323 013 074 036 013 03552 0000000000
1210 1908N 06727W 03337 0229 315 013 070 038 013 03614 0000000000
1210. 1907N 06725W 03332 0232 315 013 070 036 014 03613 0000000000
1211 1906N 06723W 03331 0231 320 014 070 038 014 03609 0000000000
1211. 1904N 06721W 03332 0232 323 016 066 040 016 03611 0000000000
1212 1903N 06718W 03331 0231 321 017 066 042 017 03610 0000000000
1212. 1901N 06716W 03331 0233 317 017 066 040 017 03611 0000000000
1213 1900N 06714W 03331 0231 314 017 068 032 017 03611 0000000000
1213. 1858N 06711W 03330 0232 310 016 068 036 016 03610 0000000000
1214 1857N 06709W 03323 0228 309 015 068 038 015 03600 0000000000
1214. 1856N 06707W 03329 0225 295 015 068 044 017 03602 0000000000
1215 1855N 06705W 03334 0223 294 020 066 054 023 03606 0000000000
1215. 1853N 06703W 03328 0220 299 027 066 066 027 03597 0000000000
1216 1852N 06701W 03333 0218 310 027 064 064 029 03598 0000000000
1216. 1850N 06659W 03331 0217 293 026 032 032 028 03597 0000000100
1217 1849N 06657W 03327 0215 260 015 032 032 018 03590 0000000100
1217. 1847N 06655W 03334 0214 257 014 036 036 018 03596 0000000000
1218 1846N 06653W 03335 0220 261 019 052 052 019 03603 0000000000
1218. 1845N 06651W 03326 0221 272 024 052 052 026 03595 0000000000
1219 1843N 06650W 03337 0214 286 027 056 056 032 03599 0000000000

[cycloneye]

They are returning to ST Croix.

[miamicanes177]

Well they did not find very high winds. This is likely a 30mph tropical depression.

[Jagno]

Signs of life, convection pooping up in the outer most bands?

This was my first observation as well. Hang on tight.......I have a feeling this ride isn't over yet.

[cycloneye]

Well they did not find very high winds. This is likely a 30mph tropical depression.

Agree,TD at 11 AM.

[Normandy]

Well its a naked swirl so I wouldn't expect them to find anything substantial

[dwg71]

The convection is so far from the center to really make a difference... its not dead, but it is so close.

[HURAKAN]

The convection is so far from the center to really make a difference... its not dead, but it is so close.

Life support!!!

[O Town]

It looks so wierd to see the LLC and MLC split like that. I have never seen that happen before. Looks like it will a uphill battle for Chris for the next few days, and may be the end period.

[HURAKAN]

The system continues to gradually deteriorate.

[Patrick99]

Stick a fork in it. That track was going against the norm for this time of year from the get-go...that was a late August & September type track.