Tropical Storm Chris

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Extremeweatherguy
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#3141 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:04 am

HouTXmetro wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:shear is taking it's toll on the LLC right now, but if it can move just 1-3 degrees further west the shear should lighten and that is when Chris will have an oppurtunity to re-organize.


Do you see the shear the NW of Chris? The odds are stacking against him.
there is actually very little shear west of Chris, he is moving into a better environment. Even pro mets on this board have said that. He is moving toward the COL.


What is a COL?
The favorable environment between the 2 upper lows. AFM had explained it well on another thread earlier. I will try to find his explanation if I can.
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#3142 Postby boca » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:05 am

I'll bet anyone that by tonight the swirl will be gone and no regeneration why because theirs a load of shear NE of the system taking its toll and the ULL to its NW.
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#3143 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:06 am

You willing to put money on that?
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#3144 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:06 am

HouTXmetro wrote: What is a COL?



http://www.theweatherprediction.com/adv ... abyextra3/
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Stephanie
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#3145 Postby Stephanie » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:07 am

I was like "What the heck happened" to Chris this morning?!?! It just looks like a blob of thunderstorms over the islands this morning.
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#3146 Postby Stormavoider » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:08 am

Air Force Met wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote: What is a COL?



http://www.theweatherprediction.com/adv ... abyextra3/


COOL
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Steve
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#3147 Postby Steve » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:08 am

I don't know, to this untrained eye, the outflow looks pretty good for a naked swirl. Everything appears to be in place with the system to rock if it can redevelop convection. If not, well, it's cool to watch. :D

Steve
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#3148 Postby boca » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:08 am

Yes I'm willing because it won't have the southern inflow due to DR.
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#3149 Postby jusforsean » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:12 am

amazing its like the perfect swirl . but uts empty, pretty cool. Otherwise the shear ne of it is it suppose to lessen anytime to give it room to grow???
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#3150 Postby Blown Away » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:12 am

Will the NHC issue a Chris Final advisory at 11am??
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#3151 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:13 am

I keep checking the lastest visibles to see if Chris will refire convection and so far, nada. This might be a premature call but I think time is running out for him. He sure did get everyone's attention around here but thankfully it's looking more and more like a non-event. With Dr. Gray lowering his numbers it's a good day for the battered gulf coast!
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#3152 Postby stormie_skies » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:16 am

Goodness! I suspected last night that it would be bad, but this is worse than bad....I'm embarassed for him..... :oops:

Someone needs to offer this fella a job at Chippendales!

:boog:
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#3153 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:18 am

stormie_skies wrote:Goodness! I suspected last night that it would be bad, but this is worse than bad....I'm embarassed for him..... :oops:

Someone needs to offer this fella a job at Chippendales!

:boog:


Oh NO! :lol:
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#3154 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:19 am

I think Chris might be stripper(not me)but soon enough he'll put his clothes back on
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#3155 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:19 am

Blown_away wrote:Will the NHC issue a Chris Final advisory at 11am??


No. It is a closed circulation. It's a TD....but as long as it is not a wave...there will be advisories.
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cheezyWXguy
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#3156 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:20 am

stormie_skies wrote:Goodness! I suspected last night that it would be bad, but this is worse than bad....I'm embarassed for him..... :oops:

Someone needs to offer this fella a job at Chippendales!

:boog:

hahahaha
that was good. :lol:
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#3157 Postby Portastorm » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:20 am

Can anyone recall in tropical weather history when a system in the kind of shape Chris is currently in came back to life?

Nevermind .. I see a link on another thread. Fran in 2001 for example. Wow.
Last edited by Portastorm on Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#3158 Postby Blown Away » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:23 am

Even w/o convection, didn't know that, thanks AFM!
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storms in NC
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#3159 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:24 am

Why wouldn't get cought up in the ull? Just asking cause I don't know the answer. I know they have it going south of the ull. I was looking at the loops and thought I would ask. So sorry if it is a dumb question
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Steve
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#3160 Postby Steve » Thu Aug 03, 2006 9:25 am

>>Can anyone recall in tropical weather history when a system in the kind of shape Chris is currently in came back to life?

Yeah, it happens a lot in years with easterly shear (2003 or 2004 I think was one of those years) or if my nominclature is incorrect, shear from the east. People get all excited about massive blowups which turn out to be mid-level energy with an exposed center usually at the west edge of the system that noses out and looks like nothing only to blow up again and re-wrap. You see the naked swirls often in the central pacific, but I don't recall too many of them refiring.

Steve
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